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The Seattle Times says there's 'no serious scientific evidence' trans athletes have an advantage over women

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Calkins, M. (2026, November 10). The Seattle Times says there's 'no serious scientific evidence' trans athletes have an advantage over women. Fox News. https://www.foxnews.com/outkick-sports/seattle-times-says-no-serious-scientific-evidence-trans-athletes-advantage-over-women

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Fox News · collected 2026-11-10 · by Matt Calkins

Quick Summary

The Seattle Times published an article claiming there is no serious scientific evidence that transgender athletes have an athletic advantage over cisgender women. The piece examined Initiative 638 in Washington, which prohibits biological males from participating in girls' K-12 sports. Critics argue the article's assertion lacks credibility, pointing out studies showing persistent physical advantages for those who transition after male puberty even with hormone therapy. Journalist Benjamin Ryan and Seattle Red radio host Jason Rantz provided evidence contradicting the Times' claim by referencing scientific papers that highlight enduring muscle strength and aerobic capacity advantages in transgender women despite testosterone suppression.
Written by AI on 2026-11-11, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Seattle Times published an article on November 10, 2026, discussing Initiative 638 in Washington state, which prohibits biological males from participating in female K-12 sports. The initiative passed despite Democrats making gains elsewhere on the ballot. While the article includes perspectives from both sides of the issue, it contains a paragraph asserting that there is no serious scientific evidence suggesting trans girls or women have an athletic advantage over cisgender girls or women. This claim contrasts with earlier reporting by investigative journalist Benjamin Ryan, who cited a 2025 scientific paper indicating that testosterone suppression reduces performance in transgender women but also highlights substantial advantages in muscle strength and size for those who have undergone male puberty. The article's tone suggests skepticism about the fairness of women’s sports and potential prejudice against trans individuals.

Written for “Trans Athletes Controversy” on 2026-11-11, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.45, but 2 quote(s) could not be found in the article and the other 1 are attributed speech rather than the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 142197: no verified evidence · logged 2026-11-11

Story

Trans Athletes Controversy
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Fox News
Leans left Hedges 0 of 29 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss different topics and are not reporting on the same specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
37
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
3 of 37 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
67/100
Fox News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-11 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Fox News · 7215 article(s) · 14 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 14 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Matt Calkins
20 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
So one might expect some suspect copy to appear in the publication — and last weekend didn't disappoint.
Washington state's Initiative 638, which would require K-12 athletes to compete on teams aligned with their biological sex, held a substantial lead in unofficial election returns.
Four states have measures on Tuesday's ballot that could change who gets to compete in girls' and women's sports — and, in some cases, who gets to use their locker rooms.
Camas coach Matt LeGrand — who's in an impossible position — would not comment on why.
One could just as easily argue — or better yet, more convincingly argue — that she lacks empathy toward the women and girls who are losing competitions or sharing locker rooms with biological males.
The guide also says that a flagpole "cannot be used as a projectile, and must not be constructed of wood, metal or other materials that may cause harm to others."
This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners.
Sousa hoped the group could avoid ejection because soccer has no official breaks in play.
At the heart of the rally was Initiative 638 — a Nov. 3 ballot measure in Washington state that would enforce such separation in K-12 athletics.
She was the second-fastest female cross country runner on her team, and almost certainly would have advanced to regionals had she participated Wednesday.
Also by Matt Calkins
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 20 articles by Matt Calkins →

Topics

Democrats Initiative 638 The Seattle Times Times Washington

Subjects

Times ORG · 4× Washington GPE · 2× Benjamin Ryan PERSON · 1× Camas GPE · 1× Democrats NORP · 1× Ryan PERSON · 1× Sports Medicine ORG · 1× Substack ORG · 1× The Seattle Times ORG · 1× U.S. GPE · 1×

Narrative

In a Substack post on this topic in January, investigative journalist Benjamin Ryan linked to a 2025 scientific paper showing that, while testosterone suppression reduces athletic performance in transgender women who have undergone male puberty, substantial advantages in muscle strength, power, size and aerobic capacity can remain.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-11
So one might expect some suspect copy to appear in the publication — and last weekend didn't disappoint.

Claims (37 extracted, 3 hedged)

Full disclosure: I used to work for The Seattle Times. asserted
I → use → Times
And it got pretty weird there at the end. asserted
it → get → end
Pronoun buttons that you were "totally encouraged" to wear sat in a basket by the front door. asserted
you → encourage → door
One space near the entrance was labeled the "Lounge and DEI Reading Room." asserted
space → label → entrance
The newsroom's book club, meanwhile, featured multiple works declaring that all white people were racist. asserted
people → feature → works
So one might expect some suspect copy to appear in the publication — and last weekend didn't disappoint. uncertain
weekend → expect → publication
Sunday morning, the Times ran a story examining why Washington voters decisively backed Initiative 638, a measure barring biological males from girls' K-12 sports, even as Democrats made gains elsewhere on the ballot. asserted
Democrats → run → ballot
The article explored whether the result reflected concerns about fairness in women's sports or prejudice against transgender people. asserted
result → explore → people
To the reporters' credit, they quoted people on both sides of the issue. asserted
they → quote → issue
But there was one paragraph that looked as though it was inserted post-proofread as a prank. asserted
it → be → prank
"There is no serious scientific evidence that trans girls or women are better athletes than cisgender girls or women. asserted
girls → be → girls
A few transgender girls have won at the high school level, but across the U.S., just a few trans women have competed at elite college or professional levels, and none have dominated their sport. asserted
none → win → sport
Just how dense does the Times think its readers are? asserted
readers → think → ?
First, one has to ask — what is a "trans girl" or "trans woman?" asserted
girl → have → ?
Could this be as simple as a boy identifying as the opposite sex? uncertain
boy → identify → sex
This explains why a cross country runner in Camas, Washington, went from 76th in a boys JV race to first in a girls varsity race after switching teams midseason this year. asserted
runner → explain → teams
It also explains why there aren't complaints about biological girls switching sides and dominating the boys. asserted
girls → explain → boys
But even with hormone therapy, an array of studies have found that significant physical differences can persist between transgender women and biological females. asserted
differences → find → women
In a Substack post on this topic in January, investigative journalist Benjamin Ryan linked to a 2025 scientific paper showing that, while testosterone suppression reduces athletic performance in transgender women who have undergone male puberty, substantial advantages in muscle strength, power, size and aerobic capacity can remain. asserted
advantages → link → strength
Ryan also pointed to a 2020 review published in Sports Medicine that found transgender women typically lose just 5% of their muscle mass after a year of testosterone suppression, meaning much of the strength and muscle advantage gained during male puberty can remain after hormone therapy. asserted
much → point → therapy
Seattle Red radio host Jason Rantz also dug into the science in taking down the Times' claim. uncertain
Rantz → dig → claim
He cited a 2020 study of U.S. Air Force personnel showing that transgender women were still 12% faster than their female counterparts in a 1.5-mile run after two years of hormone therapy. asserted
women → cite → therapy
To his credit, Rantz also pointed to studies showing that hormone treatment can significantly reduce athletic performance. asserted
treatment → point → performance
So no, the research doesn't all point in the same direction. asserted
research → point → direction
Where did they look? asserted
they → look → ?
Equally ludicrous was the Times' line that no trans women have dominated their sport at "elite college or professional levels." asserted
women → dominate → levels
Penn swimmer Lia Thomas was ranked 65th in the country in the 500-yard freestyle in 2019. asserted
Thomas → rank → 2019
Then, despite undergoing feminizing hormone therapy for nearly three years, she won the NCAA Division I championship in the same event in 2022. asserted
she → undergo → 2022
If winning a national title isn't dominant, what is? asserted
what → win → title
Sorry, but this comes off as an advocacy piece dressed as a news story. asserted
this → come → story
They quoted a "family physician" criticizing I-638 without disclosing her background in transgender medicine. asserted
They → quote → medicine
They also sent a reporter to three different cross country meets involving the boy who switched to the girls team but never quoted a female runner from those events. asserted
who → send → events
I don't blame the reporter — who I saw talking to girls — for the latter. asserted
I → blame → latter
I suspect that an editor decided to omit those voices. asserted
editor → suspect → voices
Fortunately, the Times has a comment section at the bottom of each story where subscribers can push back. asserted
subscribers → have → story
The comments were turned off. asserted
comments → turn → ?
And my guess is that after the paper insulted their intelligence, the readers were as well. asserted
readers → insult → intelligence
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