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GOP Senate ready for lame duck Supreme Court confirmation — if Alito or Thomas change mind

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Cite

King, R. (2026, November 5). GOP Senate ready for lame duck Supreme Court confirmation — if Alito or Thomas change mind. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/11/05/us-news/gop-senate-ready-for-lame-duck-supreme-court-confirmation-if-alito-or-thomas-change-mind/

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New York Post · collected 2026-11-05 · by Ryan King

Quick Summary

Senate Republicans are prepared to confirm a new Supreme Court justice during the lame-duck session if Justices Samuel Alito or Clarence Thomas change their minds about retiring after recent election results. Both justices have told insiders they do not plan to retire, but some Republican senators like Chuck Grassley and Thom Tillis support rushing through a nominee if needed. Republicans worry that failing to secure a conservative majority now could leave them out of power for years, while Democrats project at least 54 Senate seats post-elections.
Written by AI on 2026-11-06, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Senate Republicans are considering holding a lame duck session to confirm a new Supreme Court justice if Justices Samuel Alito or Clarence Thomas retire after the midterm elections, which saw Democrats gain significant ground. This scenario echoes the situation in 2014 when Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg stayed on the court despite Republican gains in the Senate, ultimately leading to President Trump's appointment of her successor and a conservative majority that overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022. Both Alito, aged 76, and Thomas, 78, have told allies they will not retire early this term, though Republicans like retiring Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC) and Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) remain prepared to move quickly if circumstances change.

Written for “GOP Senate Awaits Supreme Court Changes” on 2026-11-06, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 GOP Senate Awaits Supreme Court Changes
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 16% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Fox News
Hedges 2 of 16 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss similar situations and concerns regarding potential Supreme Court appointments but describe different times and perspectives (immediate aftermath vs. next steps).”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 0 of 4 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of judicial nominations under President Trump's term and do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left further left than this Hedges 4 of 30 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of potential future scenarios regarding Supreme Court confirmations, not a single specific current event.”
Reason
Hedges 7 of 21 claims Outlet record 67/100
“While both articles discuss speculation about potential Supreme Court vacancies and confirmations during the lame-duck session, they do not describe a single specific incident but rather ongoing political analysis and anticipation.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 4 of 23 claims Outlet record 69/100
“While both articles discuss Justice Alito's potential retirement and its political implications, they describe different aspects of the situation rather than a single specific occurrence.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 3 of 34 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different perspectives and potential actions regarding future Supreme Court nominations by Democrats and Republicans but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
16%
3 of 19 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-06 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 17773 article(s) · 39 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 39 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Ryan King
125 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 It’s not fully clear what charges the leaker would face.
🔮 During the first 100 hours, Democrats will move to revive the Biden-era enhanced Obamacare subsidies that lapsed last year, end the roughly $1 trillion in Medicaid cuts Republicans enacted, quash Trump’s tariffs, and force Trump to end the war in Iran, aides told multiple outlets.
🔮 But both have told allies they will not step down early.
🔮 The House is expected to vote on an impeachment resolution against Hegseth that outgoing libertarian-leaning Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) introduced in September when it gavels back into session next week.
🔮 Top of the agenda will be preventing the Dec. 11 government shutdown, attempting to pass the so-called “reconciliation 3.0” package to plus up the Pentagon’s budget, and confirming President Trump’s nominees.
🔮 WASHINGTON — House Speaker Mike Johnson told his staff Wednesday that he will not vie to be minority leader in the next session of Congress after Republicans suffered a generational midterm wipeout, multiple sources on his team told The Post.
🔮 Democrat Abdul El-Sayed pulled off a stunning defeat over Republican Mike Rogers in the crucial Michigan Senate contest, shattering conventional wisdom that a hard-left candidate couldn’t win a purple battleground.
🔮 To cap off a difficult week for Miller, the congressman’s trial in his custody fight will kick off on Thursday.
🔮 “People agree with what I’m doing on Iran, but they really probably weren’t willing to do the short-term consequence of paying more for gasoline.
🔮 The son of one popular Republican governor and the brother of another, the GOP nominee was accused by Pappas of trying to trick voters into thinking they were backing Sununu’s younger sibling, Chris, by distributing yard signs reading “Sununu Senator.” “Look, if people thought they were voting for me, my brother would be up by 30 points.
Also by Ryan King
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 125 articles by Ryan King →

Topics

Democrats Republicans Senate Supreme Court the Supreme Court

Subjects

Senate ORG · 6× Democrats NORP · 5× Republicans NORP · 5× Thomas PERSON · 5× Alito PERSON · 4× Supreme Court ORG · 4× the Supreme Court ORG · 3× Republican NORP · 2× The Post ORG · 2× Trump PERSON · 2×

Narrative

But many insiders were skeptical of that approach, fretting that it would ensure Democrats pack the high court in the future and raising process concerns. Republican appointed justices have had at least five seats on the Supreme Court since the 1970s, with a few brief exceptions, including the stretch of time following late Justice Antonin Scalia’s death in 2016 at the age of 79.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-06
🔮 But both have told allies they will not step down early.

Claims (19 extracted, 3 hedged)

Senate Republicans are open to holding a lame duck Supreme Court confirmation if Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas change their mind about not retiring after the midterm blue tsunami. asserted
Alito → hold → tsunami
Republicans find themselves in a situation eerily similar to Democrats in 2014, when liberal Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 81, a progressive darling, stayed on the Supreme Court after Republicans swept the Senate by stronger margins than expected. asserted
Republicans → find → margins
She died six years later, allowing President Trump to appoint her successor, paving the way for a big conservative majority on the high court, which allowed it to overturn Roe v. Wade in 2022. Thomas, 78, and Alito, 76, are similarly revered among many conservatives. asserted
Thomas → die → conservatives
But both have told allies they will not step down early. asserted
they → tell → allies
“[They] have both been very clear that they don’t intend to retire this term. asserted
they → intend → ?
I don’t expect that decision to change,” one Supreme Court insider told The Post. asserted
insider → expect → Post
Many key Republicans, such as retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) and Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa), have all signaled support for rushing through a nominee if needed. asserted
Republicans → retire → nominee
There hasn’t been a Supreme Court retirement during a lame-duck session after a midterm election since 1922, when Mahlon Pitney stepped down, data from the Congressional Research Service show. asserted
data → step → Service
Given the size of the Democrats’ victories in Senate races, Republicans could be locked out of power in the upper chamber into at least the 2030s. uncertain
Republicans → give → 2030s
“I wish they would have retired in the spring,” one GOP Senate advisor told The Post. asserted
advisor → wish → Post
“[The] country will face the consequences of them not retiring in the spring for many years. asserted
them → face → years
But pressuring Alito or Thomas to change course would likely be futile, according to that source. uncertain
pressuring → pressure → source
Sen.-elect Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) is set to be sworn in early next week, and there are uncertainties over how moderate Republican senators would handle a last-minute confirmation effort. asserted
senators → set → effort
“I don’t think it would work or anyone thinks there’s a real chance,” the advisor said of a hypothetical pressure campaign against Alito and Thomas. asserted
advisor → think → Alito
Thomas will become the longest-serving justice in May, 2028 if he stays on the high court. uncertain
he → become → court
Then there’s also the risk of pushing Democrats toward packing the Supreme Court if they take the White House in 2028. asserted
they → ’ → 2028
One idea floated by Sarah Isgur, a Supreme Court luminary, is the possibility of Trump attempting to nominate candidates to succeed Thomas and Alito without a vacancy and to get the Senate to confirm them. asserted
Senate → float → them
But many insiders were skeptical of that approach, fretting that it would ensure Democrats pack the high court in the future and raising process concerns. Republican appointed justices have had at least five seats on the Supreme Court since the 1970s, with a few brief exceptions, including the stretch of time following late Justice Antonin Scalia’s death in 2016 at the age of 79. asserted
justices → fret → 79
Right now, Democrats are projected to get at least 54 Senate seats and are within striking distance of nabbing two more, depending on how the races in Alaska and Mississippi shake out. asserted
races → project → Alaska
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