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Elon Musk gambled $445 million to boost Republicans in the midterms and came up short

Read the original at Toronto Star ↗
Cite

Ortutay, B., & Bedayn, J. (2026, November 5). Elon Musk gambled $445 million to boost Republicans in the midterms and came up short. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/news/world/united-states/elon-musk-gambled-445-million-to-boost-republicans-in-the-midterms-and-came-up-short/article_860d8866-3382-5c0d-becf-66a0fe18daf8.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Toronto Star · collected 2026-11-05 · by Barbara Ortutay, Jesse Bedayn

Quick Summary

Elon Musk spent at least $445 million to support Republican candidates in the midterms, but most of them lost. This massive investment did not prevent Democrats from gaining control of Congress and making significant gains in states like Texas. In Texas, where Musk had heavily backed Governor Greg Abbott and Attorney General Ken Paxton, both lost their races. Democratic candidates successfully positioned themselves against Musk, portraying him as a threat to everyday Texans. With Musk's influence now diminished among Republicans who lost the election, he faces potential investigations and subpoenas from Democrats in Congress.
Written by AI on 2026-11-06, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans strongly left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans strongly left for article 132209 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-06

Story

📰 Democrat's Gain Majority Midterms
Politics · 951 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

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This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 10% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans strongly left Hedges 0 of 28 claims Outlet record 66/100
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
49
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
10%
5 of 49 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
64/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
951
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-06 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Toronto Star · 12074 article(s) · 28 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 28 correction(s)
2026-10-26
Correction
2026-10-24
Correction
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Barbara Ortutay
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Nobody may have suffered bigger losses Tuesday than President Donald Trump.
🔮 Students using Google software in the classroom will not be allowed to access the company’s search engine unless their school system also opts in to artificial intelligence tools, the tech giant said Tuesday.
🔮 Meta said it was postponing the rollout of new terms for its business accounts after an outcry from media companies and open-web advocates who said the updated rules would allow the tech giant to scrape vast amounts of data and potentially build competing services.
🔮 The FBI’s cyber division said the vulnerabilities could allow malicious actors to remotely execute code in the programming language, PHP, potentially compromising sensitive data and networks.
🔮 It could bring the promise of advances in science and medicine, tech company executives say, but also risks.
🔮 It could bring the promise of advances in science and medicine, tech company executives say, but also risks.
Also by Barbara Ortutay
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 6 articles by Barbara Ortutay →
Jesse Bedayn
14 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Nobody may have suffered bigger losses Tuesday than President Donald Trump.
🔮 The contest between Ken Paxton, the state's Republican attorney general, and James Talarico has become one of the country's most heated and expensive campaigns, and Republicans fear they could lose.
🔮 Texas has not elected a Democrat to a statewide office since 1994, but a unique cascade of events set the stage for one of the nation’s most heated and expensive campaigns, and Republicans fear they could lose.
🔮 Doctors had told her it would be tough to beat.
🔮 Now, the U.S. Senate contest between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton is another tantalizing opening, and as the long race enters its final few days, the contest could well turn on its unusual points of friction.
🔮 If Talarico wins the November general election, Paxton would be the first Republican in nearly four decades to lose a Senate race in Texas. ___
🔮 “He’s not getting an A+,” she said, but maybe a “C or a B.” Talarico won a complicated primary Talarico beat U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, who is Black, in the Democratic primary.
🔮 Austin Mayor Kirk Watson, a Democrat, said Sunday he wants local police to have a role in investigating the shooting.
🔮 The acute concerns are adding to a bad political environment that may be worsening for Trump and his Republican Party as early voting gets underway in the November midterm elections.
Also by Jesse Bedayn
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 14 articles by Jesse Bedayn →

Topics

Congress Democrats Republican Republicans Texas

Subjects

Musk PERSON · 17× Texas GPE · 9× Democrats NORP · 4× Republicans NORP · 4× Congress ORG · 3× Elon Musk PERSON · 3× Republican NORP · 3× Talarico PERSON · 3× AUSTIN GPE · 2× Senate ORG · 2×

Narrative

Musk has also railed against what he’s called the “woke mind virus,” which appears to be a partisan motivation for him, and shot off a slew of posts on X leading up to the election against Talarico, almost entirely for past stances the Democrat has taken on transgender rights and other progressive causes.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-06
🔮 Nobody may have suffered bigger losses Tuesday than President Donald Trump.

Claims (49 extracted, 5 hedged)

AUSTIN, Texas (AP) — Elon Musk spent at least $445 million in a gambit to help Republicans keep control of Congress, an amount roughly equivalent to someone on a $100,000 annual salary saving every penny for 4,400 years. asserted
someone → spend → years
To the world’s first trillionaire, it’s a pittance, but the billions of dollars’ worth of business his companies do with the federal government is not. asserted
companies → ’ → government
And on Tuesday night, a Republican Party that had embraced Musk lost again and again, ceding control of Congress to a Democratic Party leery of the world’s richest person and keen to put his companies and his work at the Department of Government Efficiency under a microscope. asserted
that → embrace → microscope
Nobody may have suffered bigger losses Tuesday than President Donald Trump. uncertain
Nobody → suffer → Trump
But few others had more on the line than Musk, who gambled big and came up holding the midterm’s worst return on investment. asserted
who → have → investment
Democrats in Congress were already queuing to get their shot at Musk, with possible subpoenas and investigations. asserted
Democrats → queue → subpoenas
As the bloodiest election for Republicans in recent history wore on, Musk joked on X, the social media site he owns. asserted
he → wear → X
“Guess my election-interfering space lasers didn’t work this time,” he wrote with a shrug emoji. asserted
he → guess → emoji
Musk now faces new threats to his bottom line in places including Texas, where he has based himself and several of his companies. asserted
he → face → companies
Musk spent at least $5 million to try to reelect Republican Gov. Greg Abbott, who lost. asserted
who → spend → Abbott
Democrats also secured control of the Texas House and the U.S. Senate, partly by beating Texas Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton, who effectively benefited from $158 million of Musk’s spending but lost his Senate race against Democrat James Talarico. asserted
who → secure → Talarico
It was the first statewide win for Democrats in Texas in more than 30 years, and the candidates won in part by hammering Musk, the tax breaks and grants his companies receive, and his relationships with elected Republicans. asserted
companies → win → Republicans
“This era of open corruption is going to come to an end,” said Rep. Gene Wu, chairman of the state legislature’s newly empowered Democratic Caucus. asserted
Wu → go → Caucus
Musk did not respond to messages seeking comment. asserted
Musk → respond → comment
Musk’s reputation did not help with many Texas voters Slightly more than half of Texas voters said they had an unfavorable opinion of Musk, according to The AP Voter Poll of more than 5,000 voters in the state. uncertain
they → help → state
While Musk is overwhelmingly viewed positively by MAGA Republicans, those numbers dip for non-MAGA GOP voters and plummet for independent and Democratic voters. asserted
numbers → view → voters
Those were the voters who Talarico and Democrat Gina Hinojosa, who beat Abbott in the governor’s race, were targeting. asserted
who → beat → race
The two often framed politics not through partisanship but as billionaires versus everyday Texans, and Musk’s emergence as a major Republican benefactor played into that message. asserted
emergence → frame → message
“Paxton is funded by one dude. asserted
Paxton → fund → dude
Elon Musk wants our land. asserted
Musk → want → land
He wants our water. asserted
He → want → water
He wants our tax dollars. asserted
He → want → dollars
He wants his very own personal United States senator,” Talarico told a crowd in his final rally of the election, just after Hinojosa gave a similar excoriation on the same Austin stage. asserted
Hinojosa → want → stage
“We know that Elon Musk got a $1.7 billion property tax break here in Texas, property taxes that the rest of us have to pay full price on,” Hinojosa said. asserted
Hinojosa → know → price
Even as Musk’s money helped blanket Texas in negative ads largely against Talarico, the Democrats’ message was aimed at the heart of an electorate whose median household income of $85,000 a year is under a pressure test as the prices of gas, groceries, rents and mortgages keep climbing. asserted
prices → blanket → gas
Outgoing Rep. Chip Roy, R-Texas, said there was a point where the sheer amount of Musk’s donations became unhelpful to the GOP’s effort. asserted
amount → say → effort
“You’re reaching the upper bound of the benefit of any of these dollars,” he said in an interview. asserted
he → reach → interview
“People are so turned off by all of the ads, and all you’re doing is running the same ad every single time.” asserted
you → turn → ad
Investor jitters after election drop Musk’s net worth by $45 billion Musk’s two publicly traded companies, Tesla and SpaceX, both saw prices for their shares drop considerably on Wednesday even as the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index climbed. asserted
index → trade → Wednesday
Tesla shares declined Wednesday afternoon and wiped out about $40 billion from the electric carmaker’s market capitalization, standing at $1.54 trillion. asserted
shares → decline → trillion
SpaceX also lost about $40 billion from its market value, now at $1.83 trillion. asserted
SpaceX → lose → trillion
Musk lost about $45 billion of his net worth on Wednesday, which stood at $865.6 billion, according to Forbes, though it could rebound. uncertain
it → lose → Forbes
Investors are signaling some jitters about the impact of the election on Musk’s businesses. asserted
Investors → signal → businesses
Worries that he may face congressional investigations “contributed to the early plunge for his benchmark firms,” said Joe Mazzola, head trading and derivatives strategist at Charles Schwab. uncertain
Mazzola → face → Schwab
Musk’s genius is also his danger, said Michael Morris, a professor of leadership at Columbia Business School. asserted
Morris → say → School
“I can understand that the same strategic mind that makes him so good at some of the business ventures and the hedging, it makes him think that he can also take control of politics, but it’s a different animal,” he said. asserted
he → understand → politics
“He obviously has way more money than he will ever need, and his companies are doing well,” Morris continued. asserted
Morris → have → money
“I do think it’s kind of a game to him.” asserted
it → think → him
Musk now faces a leery Congress Democrats have not forgotten Musk’s time in Washington last year heading DOGE, which blitzed through agencies culling federal workers, and a recent fiasco in which SpaceX internet service in Ukraine, Starlink, was throttled amid the war with Russia. asserted
service → face → Russia
“Elon Musk waved a chain saw on stage and laughed while he fired public servants and gutted the services Americans rely on,” wrote Rep. James Walkinshaw, a Virginia Democrat, in an X post just before the election. asserted
Walkinshaw → wave → election
…and 9 more, not listed.
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