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Who will Democrats pick to run for president in 2028 after midterm elections triumph?

Read the original at The Independent ↗
Cite

Croft, A. (2026, November 4). Who will Democrats pick to run for president in 2028 after midterm elections triumph? The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/democrats-2028-election-nominee-midterm-ossoff-aoc-newsom-harris-el-sayed-b3078992.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Independent · collected 2026-11-04 · by Alex Croft

Quick Summary

The Independent discusses potential Democratic candidates for the 2028 U.S. presidential election following the party's success in the midterm elections. Jon Ossoff, currently a senator at age 39, has seen his chances of becoming the party’s nominee rise to 24% on Polymarket due to recent electoral successes and comparisons to Barack Obama for his appeal across demographics. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, at 37 years old and representing New York's 14th district, also saw her odds increase to 18% after comfortably winning re-election with over 78% of the vote.
Written by AI on 2026-11-05, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

After the Democrats' successful performance in the U.S. midterm elections on November 4, 2026, the focus has shifted towards the 2028 presidential election. Jon Ossoff, at 39 years old, emerged as a significant figure after winning his Senate re-election bid with 59% of the vote. He is now seen as a rising star within the party and could be a potential candidate for the presidency in 2028. Other notable contenders include Abdul El-Sayed, who will become the first Muslim senator in U.S. history after winning a key Senate seat in Michigan, though his left-wing platform may make him less appealing to more centrist Democrats.

Written for “Democrats Consider 2028 Presidential Candidate” on 2026-11-05, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 128711 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-05

Story

📰 Democrats Consider 2028 Presidential Candidate
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 12% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 8 claims Outlet record 59/100
“While both articles discuss Jon Ossoff's increased chances in the 2028 presidential race following the midterm elections, they do not describe the exact same incident or time frame.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 8 claims Outlet record 59/100
“While both articles discuss Jon Ossoff's rise in political prominence after midterm elections, they do not describe the same specific incident or moment.”
TIME
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 12 of 80 claims Outlet record 59/100
“Both articles discuss the outcome of the midterm elections and their implications for future politics but do not describe the same specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
12%
3 of 26 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-05 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 3765 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Alex Croft
54 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 With the elections over, attention will now turn towards the 2028 presidential election and who will be the party’s candidate, as the Democrats look to take advantage of this new position of strength.
🔮 The American people have rebuked the depravity, corruption and incompetence of the failed lame duck president Donald J. Trump." His seat had initially been one of the primary Republican targets, as he was the only Democratic senator seeking reelection in a state won by Trump in 2024. But his successful campaign, which sharply criticised the administration and lashed out at “a failed president” who he accused of abusing his position for personal financial gain while undermining the nation's economic and political foundations. The campaign brought in more than $100 million in donations, fuelling speculation he could lead a charge for the 2028 presidency.
🔮 The campaign brought in more than $100 million in donations, fuelling speculation he could lead a charge for the 2028 presidency.
🔮 Several states that were once solidly Republican could turn blue in the senate this year as a result of widespread voter discontent. Thirty-five Senate seats are up for re-election this year, and Democrats need to win at least four seats to gain net seats.
🔮 A British-German startup developing hypersonic long-range cruise missiles that could strike deep inside Russia has received significant funding, the company has said.
🔮 "Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran," Carlson wrote in a post on X. "Netanyahu is cornered and desperate…
🔮 Russian gas would be sold through a US intermediary in order to avoid sanctions by the EU - which has legislated to end all purchases of Russia’s natural gas by the end of 2027.
🔮 “We always have that feeling that maybe one day the flood will just take away my house.
🔮 Fulfilling his duty towards 1.4 billion Catholics worldwide, the 71-year-old will embark on an intense tour of South America, visiting Uruguay, Argentina and Peru.
🔮 One day later, Flavio would address the Brazilian nation in a letter.
Also by Alex Croft
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 54 articles by Alex Croft →

Topics

Democratic Democrats Polymarket Senate U.S.

Subjects

Democrats NORP · 4× Polymarket ORG · 4× Trump PERSON · 4× U.S. GPE · 3× Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez PERSON · 2× California GPE · 2× Democratic NORP · 2× Gavin Newsom PERSON · 2× Ossoff PERSON · 2× Senate ORG · 2×

Narrative

She was the frontrunner for the candidacy just three months ago after a surge in her odds – which saw her given a 23 per cent chance in August – followed a high-profile interview on ABC’s This Week, in which she refused to rule out a presidential campaign.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-05
🔮 With the elections over, attention will now turn towards the 2028 presidential election and who will be the party’s candidate, as the Democrats look to take advantage of this new position of strength.

Claims (26 extracted, 3 hedged)

The Democrats have enjoyed a hugely successful night in the U.S. midterm elections with a “blue tsunami” meaning they have won back control of both chambers of Congress. asserted
they → enjoy → Congress
Votes are still being counted in what has become a referendum on the second Trump presidency, but it is already clear voters have issued a stark rebuke to the commander-in-chief. asserted
voters → count → chief
With the elections over, attention will now turn towards the 2028 presidential election and who will be the party’s candidate, as the Democrats look to take advantage of this new position of strength. asserted
Democrats → turn → strength
Here, The Independent takes a look at those whose stock is rising ahead of a defining Democratic primary beginning next year. asserted
stock → take → primary
One person who is not yet on this list is Abdul El-Sayed, who will become the first Muslim senator in US history after winning a key Senate seat in the battleground state of Michigan. asserted
who → become → Michigan
Running on a staunchly left-wing platform, including criticism of Israel’s war inside Gaza, he has gained nationwide attention, but made more centrist Democrats nervous. Jon Ossoff asserted
he → run → Democrats
The 39-year-old senator, who stormed to victory in his re-election bid for the Senate with more than 59 per cent of the vote, is a rising star within the party. asserted
who → storm → party
US-based prediction market platform Polymarket gives him a 24 per cent chance of winning the Democratic primary to become the party’s presidential nominee, after his electoral success saw a nine-point surge in recent hours. asserted
success → base → hours
Ossoff has built his popularity through his direct and unsparing criticism of Trump, who he described on Tuesday night as a “lame duck president”. asserted
he → build → president
He has drawn comparisons to former president Barack Obama, a strong orator with an appeal to both progressives and centrists who represents a youthful choice in an era of ageing presidents. asserted
who → draw → presidents
"Together, we’ve affirmed that our task is not just to contain one president’s wickedness, but to heal the brokenness beneath," Ossoff told a crowd of voters on Tuesday evening. asserted
Ossoff → affirm → evening
"The American people have rebuked the depravity, corruption and incompetence of the failed lame duck president Donald J. Trump." Polymarket now has him as the frontrunner to become the next U.S. president with an 18 per cent chance on Polymarket, leading Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by four points and Vice President J.D. Vance by five. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez The U.S. representative for New York's 14th congressional district, known widely as AOC, has solidified her own standing in the midterms. Ocasio-Cortez comfortably won re-election in her seat with more than 78 per cent of the vote, with 96 per cent of votes counted. It saw her chances of taking the candidacy boost by two points to 18 per cent, according to Polymarket. uncertain
chances → rebuke → Polymarket
The 37-year-old from the left of the Democrat party was first elected into her position in 2018, asserted
old → elect → 2018
She was the frontrunner for the candidacy just three months ago after a surge in her odds – which saw her given a 23 per cent chance in August – followed a high-profile interview on ABC’s This Week, in which she refused to rule out a presidential campaign. asserted
she → see → campaign
The 59-year-old veteran of Californian politics dominated the odds for months, peaking at 40 per cent likelihood of being the Democrats presidential nominee in November last year. But his chances have since steadily declined. asserted
chances → dominate → November
Analysts say his initial popularity was partly an immediate default candidate following Trump’s re-election in 2024. asserted
popularity → say → 2024
It was also a product of his combative media style and his social media presence, including X posts written in all caps and riddle with spelling mistakes in an open mockery of President Trump. asserted
It → include → Trump
Newsom will no longer be a governor after the midterms, having fulfilled the maximum of two terms permitted in California. asserted
Newsom → fulfil → California
In September, he said his children would have the final say on whether he takes on a 2028 presidential run. asserted
he → say → run
The former naval officer, who served as secretary of transportation during the Biden administration, has remained steadily among the top candidates in U.S. prediction markets since Trump retook office in January 2025. asserted
Trump → serve → January
Buttigieg ran in the 2020 presidential primary, and would have become the youngest, and first openly gay, American president had his campaign been successful. asserted
campaign → run → primary
After placing fourth in the South Caroline primary, Buttigieg dropped out of the race in early March and endorsed Biden. asserted
Buttigieg → place → Biden
Polymarket currently gives him a four per cent chance of succeeding in the Democratic primary, with his chances having dropped significantly from 13 per cent one year ago. asserted
chances → give → cent
Although Buttigieg has not officially launched a campaign, he has left the door open and refused to rule out a potential run. Kamala Harris Harris, the Democrat nominee for the 2024 presidential election, may be looking for a second chance. Having served as vice president during the Biden administration, she was dealt a difficult hand when she assumed the candidacy in July 2025, after Biden eventually dropped out of the race amid mounting speculation. Harris became the first presidential candidate to not have participated in the primaries since 1968, running the shortest presidential campaign in history at 107 days. But ultimately, Harris failed to win over voters and proved unable to detangle herself from the legacy of the Biden administration. uncertain
Harris → launch → administration
Harris has not confirmed a run, but neither has she ruled it out. asserted
she → confirm → it
Polymarket give her a 3 per cent chance of being selected, but many experts believe she may be gearing up to run again. uncertain
she → give → chance
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