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New poll finds soaring cost of living is the decisive issue as Americans deliver verdict on Trump

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Cite

Lange, J. (2026, November 3). New poll finds soaring cost of living is the decisive issue as Americans deliver verdict on Trump. The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/midterm-elections-trump-economy-b3078364.html

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The Independent · collected 2026-11-03 · by Jason Lange

Quick Summary

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that 48% of registered voters consider the cost of living as their top concern in the upcoming midterm elections. The survey, conducted from Thursday through Monday with 1,765 U.S. adults, also indicates that household finances have worsened for many since Trump returned to power in January 2025. Additionally, the poll reveals a significant number of voters believe fuel prices and economic conditions have deteriorated due to recent military actions initiated by Trump's administration.
Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On November 3, 2026, Americans voted in the midterm elections determining control of Congress for the final two years of President Donald Trump’s second term. These elections saw all 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senate seats up for grabs. Polling suggested a potentially disastrous outcome for Republicans, with Democrats likely to regain majority in the House and possibly in the Senate as well. Key issues included election integrity, extremism, and policy priorities like reinstating parts of the Affordable Care Act. The elections were marked by significant campaign twists, including the unexpected death of Republican Senator Lindsey Graham and questions about operatives' involvement in various races.

Written for “US Midterm Elections 2022” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 82 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 125754 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-03

Story

📰 US Midterm Elections 2022
Politics · 83 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
BBC News
Hedges 1 of 5 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects and sources regarding voter concerns; Article A covers personal interviews on various issues, while Article B reports a specific poll about the cost of living.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 23 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the same broader topic (cost of living and gas prices affecting voter behavior), but they do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
The Guardian
Hedges 6 of 74 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm elections and public concerns but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 47 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm elections; Article A focuses on a specific strike in Ohio and its context, while Article B presents national poll results on voter concerns.”
Washington Examiner
Hedges 0 of 3 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of voter concerns regarding economic issues but do not describe the same specific event.”
BBC News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 7 of 79 claims Outlet record 68/100
NBC News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 6 of 62 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Both articles discuss the rising cost of living as a major issue in the midterm elections but describe different aspects and sources (NBC News vs. Reuters/Ipsos poll).”
Fox News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 23 claims Outlet record 69/100
“While both articles discuss the impact of economic issues on voting behavior during the same midterm elections, they describe different aspects and do not refer to the exact same incident or data.”
CBS News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 3 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss related issues but do not describe the same specific incident; Article A is more general about the cost of living affecting voters' opinions, while Article B reports on a specific poll finding the cost of living as the decisive issue for midterm elections.”
NBC News
Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of voter concerns and issues leading up to an election day, but do not describe a single specific incident or occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
22
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
3 of 22 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
83
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-03 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 3628 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jason Lange
5 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The cost of living is the decisive issue for American voters as they go to the polls in Tuesday's midterm elections, which will settle control of Congress for the final two years of President Donald Trump's term.
🔮 "I may move the Fake News to a less obnoxious location," Trump wrote in his post.
🔮 Ceding control of either chamber of Congress could make it far more difficult for Trump to execute his agenda in the final two years of his term.
🔮 About 76% of adults view measles, mumps, and rubella immunizations as safe for children, down from 84% in May 2020.
🔮 Trump, who campaigned on promises to keep inflation in check and avoid long-lasting wars, initially pledged the conflict with Iran would take a few weeks.
Also by Jason Lange
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

American Congress Iran Reuters/Ipsos U.S.

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 7× Democrats NORP · 3× Republicans NORP · 3× U.S. GPE · 3× Iran GPE · 2× American NORP · 1× Americans NORP · 1× Congress ORG · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Reuters/Ipsos ORG · 1×

Narrative

Some 38% of voters ahead of the election said keeping transgender girls and women out of women's sports was a very important issue or the most important issue, compared to 25% who said that about protecting the rights of transgender people. Limiting the construction of data centers used to power AI was rated very important or the most important issue by 42% of registered voters in the poll.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03
🔮 The cost of living is the decisive issue for American voters as they go to the polls in Tuesday's midterm elections, which will settle control of Congress for the final two years of President Donald Trump's term.

Claims (22 extracted, 3 hedged)

The cost of living is the decisive issue for American voters as they go to the polls in Tuesday's midterm elections, which will settle control of Congress for the final two years of President Donald Trump's term. asserted
which → go → term
Nearly half of registered voters, 48%, named the cost of living as the top issue in deciding how they would vote, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll of 1,765 U.S. adults conducted nationwide from Thursday through Monday. uncertain
they → register → Monday
Democratic norms came second at 26%, with immigration third at 13%. asserted
immigration → come → %
The survey, which has a margin of error of 3 percentage points for registered voters, differs from an exit poll, which surveys voters as they leave polling stations. asserted
they → have → stations
The economy Americans' household finances have deteriorated since January 2025, when Trump returned to power, according to 49% of respondents, compared with 13% who said their finances had improved and 37% who said things were about the same. uncertain
things → deteriorate → %
Trump campaigned ahead of the November 2024 presidential election on a promise to turbocharge the economy, but his presidential approval has fallen in recent months to the lowest levels of his political career, including among Hispanic Americans who swung in his direction in 2024. asserted
who → campaign → 2024
In the latest poll, 54% of Hispanics said their household finances had suffered, while 10% said they had improved. asserted
they → say → Hispanics
Fuel prices in the U.S. have surged since the start of the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran in February. asserted
prices → surge → February
Trump has argued that war was necessary to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. asserted
war → argue → weapons
Only 25% of voters think the military action has been worth the cost, while 55% say it has not. asserted
it → think → voters
Trump told supporters to vote as if he were on the ballot Trump has urged his supporters to pretend he is on the ballot to energize his Republican Party. asserted
he → tell → Party
The poll found that 48% of people who planned to vote, or already had done so, thought of their ballots as a vote against Trump, compared to 25% who said they were voting for him. asserted
they → find → him
A further 25% said Trump was not a factor in their vote. asserted
Trump → say → vote
Voters overall trust the U.S. electoral process, with 77% saying they are confident their ballots will be counted. asserted
ballots → trust → process
Even so, 45% said they think voter fraud is widespread. asserted
fraud → say → ?
Trump has falsely claimed that massive numbers of non-citizens vote illegally, and election officials worry the administration could disrupt the election or certification of results it views unfavorably. uncertain
it → claim → results
The White House says its goal is to safeguard election integrity and voting security. asserted
goal → say → integrity
The ultra-rich face few limits on how much they can spend to influence federal elections. asserted
they → face → elections
A bipartisan majority of registered voters, including 93% of Democrats and 71% of Republicans, think it is inappropriate for billionaires to contribute tens of millions of dollars to influence elections. asserted
billionaires → register → elections
Some 38% of voters ahead of the election said keeping transgender girls and women out of women's sports was a very important issue or the most important issue, compared to 25% who said that about protecting the rights of transgender people. Limiting the construction of data centers used to power AI was rated very important or the most important issue by 42% of registered voters in the poll. asserted
who → say → poll
Some 43% of registered voters in the poll said Democrats had at least some good ideas, while 39% said the same of Republicans. asserted
% → register → Republicans
While poll respondents appeared to narrowly favor Democrats over Republicans for this year's congressional elections, they remain divided on which party has good ideas. asserted
party → appear → ideas
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