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First Thing: US goes to polls in vote that will define the last years of Trump’s presidency

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
Cite

Belam, M. (2026, November 3). First Thing: US goes to polls in vote that will define the last years of Trump’s presidency. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/nov/03/first-thing-us-polls-vote-define-last-years-donald-trump-presidency

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-11-03 · by Martin Belam analysis

Quick Summary

Americans are voting today in the midterm elections, viewed as a referendum on President Donald Trump’s presidency with Democrats hoping to capitalize on his declining popularity by gaining seats in Congress. Meanwhile, six more individuals have been charged with voter fraud, part of the administration's efforts to ensure election integrity. However, these efforts were dealt a blow when the Supreme Court ruled against segregating ballots from alleged non-citizens claimed by the justice department. The article also touches on unrelated developments such as US strikes in Iran and potential changes in Ukraine’s peacekeeping policies involving NATO forces.
Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On November 3, 2026, U.S. citizens voted in midterm elections that resulted in a significant shift, with Democrats winning control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate, marking a major rebuke to President Donald Trump's Republican Party. Democrats flipped multiple key seats previously held by Republicans in states like Texas, South Carolina, Iowa, Michigan, and Kansas. This election was seen as a critical referendum on Trump’s presidency and his aggressive foreign policies, including the ongoing conflict with Iran. While many predicted a Democratic victory due to Trump's declining popularity, the extent of the shift surprised even seasoned political analysts. The results reflect growing public concern over economic issues such as rising prices for diesel, utilities, and goods linked to Trump’s policies and international conflicts.

Written for “Democrats Win Control Of Congress” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 329 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Democrats Win Control Of Congress
Politics · 330 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
⚖️ Centre further right than this Hedges 0 of 5 claims Outlet record 69/100
Dawn
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 4 of 26 claims Outlet record 72/100
Euronews
Hedges 0 of 3 claims Outlet record 60/100
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 30 claims Outlet record 66/100
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 7 of 57 claims Outlet record 66/100
Dawn
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 28 claims Outlet record 72/100
BBC News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 7 of 79 claims Outlet record 66/100
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 26 claims Outlet record 64/100
“While both articles discuss Election Day and mention President Trump's influence on voter perceptions and actions, they describe different aspects of the election process and include distinct details (e.g., DOJ charges in one article not mentioned in the other).”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 7 of 61 claims Outlet record 60/100
Semafor
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 5 claims Outlet record 59/100
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
48
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
4 of 48 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
330
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-03 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2029 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Martin Belam
26 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 We have a dispatch from Shrai Popat in New Hampshire, where Republicans were hoping to flip a Senate seat but now worry Trump may be dragging them down, and David Smith has been in Austin, where James Talarico is making an extraordinary bid to break the Texas Democrats’ losing streak.
🔮 The president bashed El-Sayed, a practicing Muslim, in brazenly racist terms, saying that Congress would have to “get a special metal detector for Abdul” if he were elected.
🔮 Originally only intended to appear in that single script, the production team believed the character would be popular with younger viewers, and decided to have the metallic mutt join the Tardis team.
2026-11-02 · assertive framing · John Leeson, voice behind Doctor Who’s K9, dies at 83
🔮 JD Vance letter may offer last chance to avert fresh conflict between US and Iran Hopes of averting a major new conflagration between Iran and the US could rest on Iran’s response to a personal letter from the US vice-president, JD Vance.
🔮 The campaign of the Alaska Democrat Mary Peltola was behind an effort to recruit a challenger with almost the same name as the Republican US senator Dan Sullivan, who will both appear on the ballot in next week’s midterm elections, the New York Times reported on Wednesday.
🔮 Israel could be in for weeks of political haggling after exit polls and partial official results showed neither Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition nor the opposition bloc led by the former general Gadi Eisenkot had won enough seats to form a government.
🔮 Donald Trump has been ordered by a US judge to cooperate with the discovery process mandated for his lawsuit against the BBC and to sit for a deposition by 11 December – or else he could be subject to sanctions, including possible dismissal of the $10bn lawsuit. - What request has Trump claimed he made of Google?
🔮 “He will die, as scheduled, by firing squad, but this event will not be streamed,” Trump said.
🔮 She said she would “vigorously defend my name, my reputation and my integrity” and that “my commitment to President Trump, the America First movement, and the country I love will never end”.
🔮 The defense secretary, Pete Hegseth, has said the execution of Nidal Hasan by firing squad will be livestreamed next month, in a radical departure from the previous norm.
Also by Martin Belam
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 26 articles by Martin Belam →

Topics

California Democrats European Iran Ukraine

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 4× Ukraine GPE · 4× California GPE · 3× European NORP · 3× Democrats NORP · 2× Iran GPE · 2× Russia GPE · 2× Russians NORP · 2× Savannah Guthrie PERSON · 2× Americans NORP · 1×

Narrative

Lauren Gambino has been in Los Angeles, casting her eye over Xavier Becerra’s California shoo-in to be governer, while Joseph Gedeon offers this analysis from Detroit of how Israel is at the heart of Haley Stevens’s extraordinary reversal to back Abdul El-Sayed’s Republican opponent in Michigan.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03
🔮 We have a dispatch from Shrai Popat in New Hampshire, where Republicans were hoping to flip a Senate seat but now worry Trump may be dragging them down, and David Smith has been in Austin, where James Talarico is making an extraordinary bid to break the Texas Democrats’ losing streak.

Claims (48 extracted, 4 hedged)

Americans are heading to the polls today in US midterm elections widely seen as a referendum on Donald Trump’s second presidency and a chance for opponents to rein in his power. asserted
opponents → head → power
The party holding the White House typically loses congressional seats at midterm elections and Democrats are hoping the president’s nose-diving popularity can be exploited. asserted
popularity → hold → elections
Meanwhile, the US Department of Justice in California has charged six more people with alleged voter fraud crimes, an escalation of the administration’s campaign against election integrity. asserted
Department → charge → integrity
However, in a blow to Trump, the supreme court has ruled against attempts to force California election officials to segregate and not count ballots from people the justice department claims are non-citizens. uncertain
department → rule → people
- Where have our reporters been covering the crucial midterm races? asserted
reporters → cover → races
We have a dispatch from Shrai Popat in New Hampshire, where Republicans were hoping to flip a Senate seat but now worry Trump may be dragging them down, and David Smith has been in Austin, where James Talarico is making an extraordinary bid to break the Texas Democrats’ losing streak. uncertain
Talarico → have → streak
Lauren Gambino has been in Los Angeles, casting her eye over Xavier Becerra’s California shoo-in to be governer, while Joseph Gedeon offers this analysis from Detroit of how Israel is at the heart of Haley Stevens’s extraordinary reversal to back Abdul El-Sayed’s Republican opponent in Michigan. asserted
Israel → cast → Michigan
- Where can you find the Guardian’s election coverage? asserted
you → find → coverage
This explainer has everything you need to know about how winners are called, how states count ballots and Trump’s election denialism. asserted
states → have → ballots
We also have an hour-by-hour rundown of when polls close around the US, and this valuable guide to the candidates and races that will decide the elections. asserted
that → have → elections
- We will be live blogging the election and results round-the-clock. asserted
We → blogge → clock
You can join my colleagues on the live blog here. asserted
You → join → blog
US strikes Iran’s Qeshm Island as Vance voices optimism about a deal The US has launched limited strikes on Iran’s Qeshm Island, hours after the vice-president, JD Vance, said he was optimistic that diplomatic efforts to end the war were moving in the right direction. asserted
efforts → strike → direction
The strikes targeted surface-to-air missiles being used against US assets, according to Reuters and the Associated Press. uncertain
strikes → target → Reuters
The US has targeted Qeshm Island on multiple occasions. asserted
US → target → occasions
Positioned in the mouth of the strait of Hormuz, the island has been used to launch attacks on shipping in the waterway. asserted
island → position → waterway
European troops in Ukraine would be allowed to fire back at Russians European troops, including Nato members, would be allowed to fire back if attacked by Russians when potentially stationed as peacekeepers in Ukraine after a ceasefire, western officials have said. asserted
officials → allow → ceasefire
The news comes as Russia bombed an aid distribution centre and neighbouring shelter in southern Ukraine, killing at least 26 people. asserted
Russia → come → people
US-led talks between Russia and Ukraine were due to resume next week, US special envoy Steve Witkoff said yesterday. asserted
Witkoff → lead → Russia
The talks – to be held in Abu Dhabi – come as Kyiv and its European allies worry that Trump has increasingly sided with Moscow. asserted
Trump → hold → Moscow
‘We cannot move forward’: Savannah Guthrie shares new post seeking information in mother’s disappearance Savannah Guthrie has issued a new plea for help on the whereabouts of her 84-year-old mother, who authorities believe was abducted in February. asserted
authorities → move → February
Guthrie said: “We ache for her, we cry out for answers, we cannot move forward. asserted
we → say → answers
We need someone to help us; tell us what you know. asserted
you → need → what
We want to celebrate her and give her the dignity she deserves.” asserted
she → want → dignity
In other news … - An ex-FBI chief in Chicago is suing the Department of Justice, claiming he was put under pressure to investigate Trump’s foes. asserted
he → sue → foes
Douglas DePodesta says he was made a “scapegoat”. asserted
he → say → ?
Lindsay Clancy returned to court on Monday in an attempt to dismiss the charges against her that she murdered her three young children. asserted
she → return → children
Lawyers for the Massachusetts mother argued a new trial would violate double jeopardy rules. asserted
trial → argue → rules
- A child in rural northern New York has died after contracting measles, the state’s first death from the disease in 30 years. asserted
child → die → years
In Pennsylvania, the governor, Josh Shapiro, is mounting a measles outreach program among the Amish community, which is “under-vaccinated”. asserted
which → mount → community
- A Washington state resident has died after being hospitalized with “severe illness” after contracting bird flu, local health officials have said. asserted
officials → die → flu
- A 30-year-old man accused of starting the deadly Palisades fire is being retried for arson this week, four months after his first trial ended with a hung jury. asserted
trial → accuse → jury
- An ambulance driver in Ohio abandoned a patient they were taking to hospital after getting lost and decided to call an Uber and go home. asserted
they → abandon → Uber
Apple posts stronger-than-expected $30.71bn revenue asserted
Apple → post → revenue
In its first earnings report for its new chief executive, John Ternus, Apple Inc posted stronger-than-expected revenue, bucking a downward trend for tech companies this quarter. asserted
Inc → post → companies
Apple made $30.71bn in the July-September period, up 12% for last year’s figure. asserted
Apple → make → figure
Culture Pick: Yaga – this erotic witchy thriller is a total head-messer The Heated Rivalry actor Hudson Williams plays two people in this genre-bending mystery streaming on AMC+, while Carrie-Anne Moss is fantastic as a horny author who might have supernatural powers. uncertain
who → play → powers
Lucy Mangan watches the latest batch of HBO’s The Gilded Age and asks what did we do to deserve such a terrible stinker, while Luke Buckmaster tears into what is described as the first end-to-end AI-created series on a major streaming service, raising the question … why? asserted
what → watch → question
Don’t miss this: Besieged West Bank school fortifies its defences against settler violence William Christou and Sufian Abu Taha report from the secondary school in al-Mughayyir where Israeli settlers killed five teenage students last academic year – one of them at the school gates. asserted
settlers → miss → gates
Teachers have developed emergency plans for settler attacks and incorporated lessons on avoiding confrontations into their curriculum, trying to preserve a sense of normality for the children. asserted
Teachers → develop → children
…and 8 more, not listed.
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