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AI-powered malware ‘highly likely’ to be used to hack UK infrastructure by 2028

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Cite

editor, D. M. G. t. (2026, November 3). AI-powered malware ‘highly likely’ to be used to hack UK infrastructure by 2028. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/nov/03/ai-powered-malware-artificial-intelligence-hacking-critical-uk-infrastructure

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The Guardian · collected 2026-11-03 · by Dan Milmo Global technology editor

Quick Summary

The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) warns that AI-powered malware is "highly likely" to be used in ransomware attacks targeting critical national infrastructure in the UK by 2028. The NCSC's annual review notes that AI can enhance hackers' ability to identify vulnerabilities, scout targets, and create more sophisticated malicious software. NCSC chief executive Richard Horne will caution that the near future could see an unprecedented rise in cyber incidents due to these advancements.
Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The UK's National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) has warned that it is "highly likely" that artificial intelligence-powered malware will be used in a ransomware attack on critical national infrastructure by 2028, according to its annual review. The NCSC, part of the GCHQ spy agency, noted that while AI hasn't invented new methods of cyberattacks, it has enabled the discovery and exploitation of vulnerabilities at an unprecedented scale. Richard Horne, chief executive of the NCSC, emphasized during a speech on November 3, 2026, that organizations must address long-tolerated weaknesses in their cybersecurity to prevent catastrophic impacts such as power outages or food shortages. The report also highlighted that China and Russia are likely to increase their use of AI for cyber-attacks, posing significant challenges to the UK's defenses.

Written for “UK Faces AI Cyberattacks By 2028” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 124477 · logged 2026-11-03

Story

📰 UK Faces AI Cyberattacks By 2028
Technology · 4 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 5% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Independent
Hedges 5 of 18 claims Outlet record 59/100
Daily Mail
Hedges 1 of 21 claims Outlet record 69/100
“While both articles discuss warnings about AI-powered cyberattacks on UK critical infrastructure by 2028, they do not describe a single specific incident or occurrence but rather general statements from the NCSC's annual review and a security chief's warning.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 0 of 11 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss potential AI-powered cyberattacks on UK critical infrastructure within a similar timeframe, they do not describe the exact same incident or occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
1 of 20 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
4
Technology
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-03 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2862 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Dan Milmo Global technology editor
10 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) said AI will probably enable a ransomware attack against critical national infrastructure [CNI] between now and 2028.
🔮 They appear in a document titled “Well-being Meeting Sound-check Notes”, which refers to discussions of how Meta could “turn other academics against Haidt” and to a “whisper strategy” aimed at achieving that goal.
🔮 The head of Ofcom, Dame Melanie Dawes, warned that “motivated children” will seek to bypass the restrictions, as has been the case in Australia.
🔮 The donation from the world’s most valuable company comes as the UK government confirmed its AI Security Institute, which tests advance AI models, will be able to examine cutting-edge technology developed by companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic and Google before they are released.
🔮 The UK’s communications watchdog, Ofcom, is investigating whether the $1.9tn (£1.4tn) company infringed the Online Safety Act (OSA) by failing to carry out adequate checks on whether its Instagram Instants product could show illegal content or be accessed by children.
🔮 Pornhub’s age checking regime may not be “highly effective”, according to Ofcom, and could be in breach of online safety laws requiring strict measures to prevent under-18s from accessing sexually explicit content.
🔮 Nick Clegg could make approximately $40m (£30m) from the planned float of Nscale as the UK-based datacentre company prepares for a US stock market listing.
🔮 “The scope of what we could theoretically access was huge,” said researchers at Hacktron AI.
🔮 You would expect that they move quickly.
Also by Dan Milmo Global technology editor
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 10 articles by Dan Milmo Global technology editor →

Topics

China GCHQ NCSC Russia The National Cyber Security Centre

Subjects

NCSC ORG · 6× Horne PERSON · 4× Russia GPE · 3× CNI ORG · 1× Capita ORG · 1× China GPE · 1× GCHQ ORG · 1× Royal Mail ORG · 1× Soviet Union GPE · 1× The National Cyber Security Centre ORG · 1×

Narrative

Alan Woodward, a professor of cybersecurity at Surrey University, said NCSC’s warning underlined the need for nation states and companies to access cutting-edge AI technology. “AI can help people find these flaws and patch them, but if we don’t get the access the bad guys will beat them to it,” he said.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03
🔮 The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) said AI will probably enable a ransomware attack against critical national infrastructure [CNI] between now and 2028.

Claims (20 extracted, 1 hedged)

AI-powered malicious software is “highly likely” to be used in hacking attacks against the UK’s power stations, airports and hospitals by 2028, according to the state cybersecurity body. uncertain
software → power → body
The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) said AI will probably enable a ransomware attack against critical national infrastructure [CNI] between now and 2028. asserted
AI → say → 2028
The UK’s definition of CNI covers a range of facilities and services across sectors including energy, transport, defence, food, health and finance. asserted
definition → cover → energy
The warning from the NCSC, part of the GCHQ spy agency, was published in the organisation’s annual review, which also warned that Russia and China will start using AI “routinely” in cyber-attacks. asserted
Russia → publish → attacks
“It is … highly likely that between now and 2028, AI-powered malware will have been used in a ransomware attack on UK CNI,” said NCSC. asserted
NCSC → power → CNI
Ransomware has become a cornerstone of the criminal hacker’s repertoire and is a signature ploy of gangs that typically operate out of former Soviet Union states. asserted
that → become → states
After gaining access to a victim’s IT systems, the attackers then encrypt files with bespoke malicious software – or malware – and then demand a payment in cryptocurrency to unlock the crippled systems and return any stolen data. asserted
attackers → gain → data
UK ransomware victims include Royal Mail, outsourcing firm Capita and various public bodies, including councils. asserted
victims → include → councils
AI is set to enhance the ransomware threat by helping attackers with tasks such as scouting targets, locating weaknesses in IT networks and writing malicious code, said the NCSC. asserted
NCSC → set → code
Last month, the government urged Britons to stock up to nine litres of bottled water and three days’ worth of food in order to ensure that households can survive a weather, cyber or other serious emergency. asserted
households → urge → weather
Wes Streeting, the defence secretary, said as the Be Ready campaign was launched that Britain needed to prepare for the threat of “state-sponsored terrorism” by Russia or other hostile powers targeting everyday infrastructure. asserted
Britain → say → infrastructure
NCSC’s chief executive, Richard Horne, will warn the public in a speech accompanying the review on Tuesday that AI is going to unleash a wave of cyber-attacks imminently. “In the coming months, we face a real prospect of an unprecedented rise in the number of cyber incidents,” he will say. asserted
he → warn → incidents
Horne will attribute the threat to the technology’s ability to uncover weaknesses in IT systems that have been “tolerated for far too long”. asserted
that → attribute → systems
An example of AI’s capacity to root out previously undetected vulnerabilities came last month, when the technology helped discover a critical weakness in PHP, a computer language used by almost 70% of the world’s websites. asserted
technology → root → websites
Alan Woodward, a professor of cybersecurity at Surrey University, said NCSC’s warning underlined the need for nation states and companies to access cutting-edge AI technology. “AI can help people find these flaws and patch them, but if we don’t get the access the bad guys will beat them to it,” he said. asserted
he → say → it
So far, leading AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic have given some companies advanced access to their most powerful models in order to help them identify serious IT glitches. asserted
them → lead → glitches
Horne will also say in his speech that communications networks used by the British military are subjected to daily attacks that are “persistent” and “sustained”. asserted
that → say → attacks
Horne will say Russia was one of the perpetrators, but the attacks have deliberately not crossed the line into warfare, with Moscow carrying out “notable campaigns” that “intentionally fall below the threshold of armed conflict as they escalate their attempts at hybrid warfare”. asserted
they → say → warfare
Horne will add that recent cyber-attacks on supermarket fridges in Europe, which have seen fridge temperatures raised by hackers to more than 50C, are a warning to companies and organisations to invest strongly in cyber resilience. asserted
temperatures → add → resilience
“For decades we have collectively got away with tech on the cheap,” he will say. asserted
he → get → cheap
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