Photo via The Sydney Morning Herald

Melbourne Cup LIVE: How to spot a winning horse, according to Francesca Cumani; Punters brave a rainy day at Flemington

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
Cite

Ward, R., & Campbell, E. (2026, November 2). Melbourne Cup LIVE: How to spot a winning horse, according to Francesca Cumani; Punters brave a rainy day at Flemington. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/sport/racing/melbourne-cup-live-punters-brave-a-rainy-day-at-flemington-trustyourinstinct-among-favourites-in-3pm-main-race-20261103-p61aju.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-11-02 · by Roy Ward, Eleanor Campbell analysis

Quick Summary

The article provides insights into selecting a winner for the Melbourne Cup from an expert perspective, featuring Francesca Cumani's commentary based on her extensive experience in Australian horse racing. It also highlights the popularity of Peter Rowland’s signature chicken sandwich at various high-profile events related to the cup over decades, emphasizing its enduring appeal and unique recipe.
Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Melbourne Cup race took place on November 7, 2026, with Francesca Cumani offering insights into selecting the winning horse. Veteran punters spend hours studying form guides, while newcomers often rely on personal preferences or superstitions. Cumani, who has been involved in Australian racing for over two decades, highlights that barrier number five has the most wins historically at Flemington. Additionally, chicken sandwiches remain a staple food during the event, with caterer Peter Rowland's version being particularly popular since 1962.

Written for “Melbourne Cup Live Betting Tips” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Melbourne Cup Live Betting Tips
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 2 of 66 claims Outlet record 61/100
“While both articles discuss tips and strategies for picking a Melbourne Cup winner, they appear to cover different aspects of the event on different dates.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
14
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
2 of 14 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-03 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 5892 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Roy Ward
30 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Some veteran punters like to spend hours studying the form guides, while newcomers might opt for their favourite number, silk colour, a name they like or rely on superstitions. But what does the data say?
🔮 When three-year-old gelding Doubt Time lines up behind the gates for Saturday’s Coolmore Stud Stakes, stablehand Montanna Gawith-Hutson is confident the horse will be relaxed and ready to race.
🔮 I’m Roy Ward and I’ll be taking you through all the major moments as Australia tries to bat out the day and avoid a loss while South Africa needs six more wickets and they will either win the match or need a short run chase.
🔮 The injury is expected to rule the 30-year-old out for the entire season, ending what former teammate and NBA All-Star Dwight Howard had forecast as the “greatest comeback story in NBA history” – just as ESPN was preparing to air a documentary on his return to basketball.
🔮 Why this seven-year-old, $34 shot might just be poised to spring an almighty Everest upset By
🔮 The Brisbane Lions remain resolute they want Essendon’s pick 17 for Coleman, but the Bombers have offered their No.27 and are unwilling to hand over either 17 or pick 21.
🔮 Australia’s chances of a competitive first innings score will rest on the success of Matt Renshaw, according to commentator Kerry O’Keeffe.
🔮 Paul needs to pass a fitness test on his injured ankle before he can make his NBL debut with the Cairns Taipans, which could come in their clash with Melbourne United at John Cain Arena on Saturday night.
🔮 It’s 14 degrees currently (feels more like 10 degrees), and the forecast suggests it will keep raining for the next few hours.
🔮 Scans would later show he had a grade two strain, and should have been on the sidelines for a month.
Also by Roy Ward
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 30 articles by Roy Ward →
Eleanor Campbell
10 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Some veteran punters like to spend hours studying the form guides, while newcomers might opt for their favourite number, silk colour, a name they like or rely on superstitions. But what does the data say?
🔮 According to a series of X (Twitter) posts obtained by this masthead before Collins shut down his account, and before he was selected as a candidate, he posted in February 2020: “I’ve never once asked any woman for any form of consent, ever,” “It’s all implied by a woman’s actions and attraction levels which any astute man will be paying attention to.”
🔮 “It’s never happened before, we couldn’t sleep the whole night.”
🔮 A visual feature detailing plans to reinvent Sydney’s Darling Harbour netted The Age’s Matt Willis a nomination for innovation journalism, alongside The Sydney Morning Herald’s Megan Gorrey and Ricky Blank.
🔮 “It is extremely out of character for him to be out of contact, and if he could manage to, he would know how worried we all are and make every effort to get a message across,” Anita said.
🔮 “The exact circumstances are yet to be determined and detectives from the homicide squad will investigate,” police said.
🔮 Premier Ben Carroll and Opposition Leader Jess Wilson will lay out their visions for Melbourne’s future at a major public forum held on the eve of a consequential and unpredictable state election.
Also by Eleanor Campbell
Hit team seen running from execution in Melbourne’s north
2026-10-15 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 10 articles by Eleanor Campbell →

Topics

Australia English Melbourne Melbourne Cup Peter Rowland

Subjects

Melbourne GPE · 3× Peter Rowland PERSON · 3× Australia GPE · 1× Bauer PERSON · 1× Cumanis PERSON · 1× English NORP · 1× Francesca Cumani PERSON · 1× Luca Cumani PERSON · 1× Matthew Haigh PERSON · 1× Purple Moon PERSON · 1×

Narrative

“While some food trends have come and gone, the chicken sandwich has stood the test of time and shows no signs of losing its popularity.” The Peter Rowland version uses soft, crustless white bread lightly spread with butter and filled with a combination of poached chicken and house-made mayonnaise flecked with chopped chives and parsley. The exact recipe has remained a closely guarded secret.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03
🔮 Some veteran punters like to spend hours studying the form guides, while newcomers might opt for their favourite number, silk colour, a name they like or rely on superstitions. But what does the data say?

Claims (14 extracted, 2 hedged)

When it comes to rating international horses in this year’s Melbourne Cup, few people are better placed than Francesca Cumani. asserted
people → come → Cumani
The English commentator first came to Australia 20 years ago as a strapper for trainer Luca Cumani, her father, and has been coming back ever since. asserted
commentator → come → Cumani
She has seen the carnival from both sides of the fence. asserted
She → see → fence
The Cumanis came agonisingly close to winning our greatest race when Purple Moon finished second in 2007 and Bauer losing by a whisker the following year. asserted
Bauer → come → whisker
It’s the race that stops the nation – but how do you actually select a Melbourne Cup winner? asserted
you → ’ → winner
Some veteran punters like to spend hours studying the form guides, while newcomers might opt for their favourite number, silk colour, a name they like or rely on superstitions. But what does the data say? uncertain
data → like → what
Which barrier number has the most wins in Flemington history and are you better off picking a gelding or a mare? asserted
you → have → gelding
And in Melbourne, the one sandwich to rule them all is the one made by caterer Peter Rowland. asserted
sandwich → rule → Rowland
It’s been seen at some of Melbourne’s swankiest luncheons, parties and events since 1962 – an astonishing 50 tonnes have left the Peter Rowland kitchen over the past 64 years. asserted
tonnes → see → years
Matthew Haigh, who spent 11 years as Peter Rowland Group’s executive chef, says the chicken sandwich remains timeless. asserted
sandwich → spend → chef
“While some food trends have come and gone, the chicken sandwich has stood the test of time and shows no signs of losing its popularity.” The Peter Rowland version uses soft, crustless white bread lightly spread with butter and filled with a combination of poached chicken and house-made mayonnaise flecked with chopped chives and parsley. The exact recipe has remained a closely guarded secret. asserted
recipe → come → chives
The race that stop the nation might not be run until 3pm, but there’s so much to look forward to before and after as well. uncertain
that → stop → pm
Today we will take you inside the marquees, among the crowds piling in to Flemington and give you the best view of the fashion at the track. asserted
we → take → track
Buckle up, secure your fascinators, and let’s go. asserted
’s → buckle → fascinators
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support