The Aporia · Bill Kristol and JVL: Trump Could Be More Dangerous Post-Election

Bill Kristol and Jonathan V. Last discuss potential dangers posed by President Trump regarding Iran after the midterm elections on The Bulwark Daily podcast with Tim Miller. They highlight concerns from a Democratic senator who has been briefed on Trump's war plans in Iran, describing them as "insane" and potentially leading to further conflict escalation. The conversation also touches on positive polling for Democrats and a special segment covering recent events involving Representative Haley Stevens.

Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

Story summary

As of November 2, 2026, The Bulwark reported that former President Trump's potential actions regarding Iran could be more dangerous post-election. A key Democratic senator briefed on the war plan described it as "insane," predicting a "devastating escalation" in conflict. The article highlights ongoing concerns about the impact of the Iran war on midterm elections, noting that Democrats are optimistic based on current polls. Bill Kristol remains bullish on Democratic prospects, while Tim Miller expresses nervousness about the Senate margin. Additionally, the podcast discussed Haley Stevens' recent behavior described as a "psychotic break."

Written for “Trump Poses Danger Post-Election” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Why this leaning score

The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.

POTUS is not finished with his misadventure in the Middle East.

left characterizes POTUS's actions as a 'misadventure'

Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article

Leaning: leans left for article 124075 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-11-03

📰 Trump Poses Danger Post-Election

Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

This article reads leans left and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.

Why the war in Iran might cost Trump and the Republicans at the ballot box Different event

CBC News

⚖️ Leans left Hedges 6 of 40 claims Outlet record 60/100

“While both articles discuss the impact of the war in Iran on U.S. politics, they describe different aspects and timeframes related to the conflict's consequences rather than the same specific incident.”

Americans 'frustrated' about Iran war going into midterms as Trump admin has decision to make: GOP lawmaker Different event

Fox News

⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 0 of 35 claims Outlet record 69/100

“The articles discuss related topics regarding the Iran war and its implications for the midterms but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”

What might Trump have planned for Iran following the midterm election? Different event

Deutsche Welle

⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 17 of 67 claims Outlet record 95/100

“While both articles discuss Trump's potential actions regarding Iran post-midterm elections, they do not describe the exact same incident or occurrence.”

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability

Source leaning vs. consistency

The Bulwark · 584 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected

No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Tim Miller

70 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction

🔮 Bill Kristol and JVL: Trump Could Be More Dangerous Post-Election The Iran war and its impacts at home are major issues in the midterms, but POTUS is not finished with his misadventure in the Middle East.

2026-11-02 · assertive framing · Bill Kristol and JVL: Trump Could Be More Dangerous Post-Election

🔮 This MAGA Blowhard Made a $1 Million Bet on Oil Prices Going Down MAGA podcaster Clay Travis bet $1 million that oil prices would fall before the midterms. MAGA podcaster Clay Travis bet $1 million that oil prices would fall before the midterms.

2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Whoops! This MAGA Blowhard Made a $1 Million Bet on Oil Prices Going Down

🔮 Over at the White House, POTUS flip-flopped and un-canceled his Midwest rallies—so there will be more opportunities for the flat-out racism to keep flowing into Election Day.

2026-10-30 · assertive framing · Jane Coaston: JD Thinks Trump Voters Are Stupid

🔮 David French: Kansas Hopium Is it possible Adam Hamilton could be the first Democratic senator elected from Kansas in 94 years?

2026-10-29 · mixed framing · David French: Kansas Hopium

🔮 The first sign of what kind of night the Dems are going to have will come when the polls close in Kentucky.

2026-10-28 · assertive framing · Harry Enten and Julian Borger: Voting with Fear and Loathing

🔮 The gang runs through the whole Senate map and how big the Democratic wave could get, then they react to reports that Pete Hegseth has his eye on Marsha Blackburn’s Senate seat.

2026-10-28 · assertive framing · JVL’s Wild 57-Seat Senate Scenario Has Tim Doing the Math

🔮 Plus: The Bulwark and "Pablo Torre Finds Out" teamed up for a new poll on the intersection of sports and politics, Pablo shares the skinny on how Vivek is exactly the kind of person who would use that ad against Amy Acton, Republicans are using straight racism as their closing message against El-Sayed, Hegseth's High T schtick is landing with no one, Trump can't quit his obsession with Comey, and Clay Travis stole his Cheesecake Factory valor.

2026-10-27 · assertive framing · Sarah Matthews and Pablo Torre: The Pedophile Protection Party

🔮 Elon Musk threatens The Bulwark, a MAGA candidate’s humiliating videos resurface, and Mike Rogers defends Trump’s war. Tim Miller responds to Elon Musk’s threats to The Bulwark’s after Musk said “if you want to live by the sword, that is how they will die too.”

2026-10-24 · assertive framing · Elon Musk Has Some Thoughts About The Bulwark. They’re Not Nice.

🔮 GOP Senate Candidate Mike Collins Has Some Explaining to Do | The Trio Tim Miller, Sam Stein and Will Sommer give their takes on the latest chaos from the MAGA universe. Tim Miller, Sam Stein and Will Sommer give their takes on the latest chaos from the MAGA universe.

2026-10-24 · assertive framing · GOP Senate Candidate Mike Collins Has Some Explaining to Do | The Trio

🔮 They discuss Sarah’s interview with Pete Buttigieg, why Jon Ossoff might be history’s choice for 2028 whether he likes it or not.

2026-10-21 · mixed framing · Elon Musk Could Face a MOUNTAIN of Subpoenas in 2027

Also by Tim Miller

Whoops! This MAGA Blowhard Made a $1 Million Bet on Oil Prices Going Down

2026-10-31 · The Bulwark

Tim Miller Has Had Enough of MAGA Phonies, Grifters and Frauds

2026-10-31 · The Bulwark

Jane Coaston: JD Thinks Trump Voters Are Stupid

2026-10-30 · The Bulwark

David French: Kansas Hopium

2026-10-29 · The Bulwark

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 70 articles by Tim Miller →

One key Democratic senator who's been briefed on the war plan says it's "insane" and would lead to a "devastating escalation" of the conflict.

framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03

2026-11-03 · The Bulwark

Bill Kristol and JVL: Trump Could Be More Dangerous Post-Election · assertive framing

Bill Kristol and JVL: Trump Could Be More Dangerous Post-Election The Iran war and its impacts at home are major issues in the midterms, but POTUS is not finished with his misadventure in the Middle East. uncertain

POTUS → finish → East

The Iran war and its impacts at home are major issues in the midterms, but POTUS is not finished with his misadventure in the Middle East. asserted

POTUS → finish → East

One key Democratic senator who's been briefed on the war plan says it's "insane" and would lead to a "devastating escalation" of the conflict. asserted

it → brief → conflict

In rosier news, the polls continue to look good for the Democrats. asserted

polls → continue → Democrats

Bill—who was bullish back in the summer—is even more so now, while Tim remains nervous about the Senate margin. asserted

Tim → remain → margin

And in a special bonus segment, JVL and Tim break down Haley Stevens's psychotic break over the weekend. asserted

JVL → break → weekend

Bill Kristol and Jonathan V. Last join Tim Miller. asserted

Kristol → join → Miller

We want to hear from you. asserted

We → want → you

Tim Miller’s Bulwark Daily is available wherever you get podcasts and on YouTube. asserted

you → get → YouTube

New shows drop each weekday afternoon. asserted

shows → drop → ?

If you like the show, leave a comment and ⭐⭐⭐⭐ wherever you listen. asserted

you → like → comment

Bill Kristol and JVL: Trump Could Be More Dangerous Post-Election

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