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Here’s when top Wall Street executives expect OpenAI will launch its blockbuster IPO

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Gasparino, C. (2026, October 30). Here’s when top Wall Street executives expect OpenAI will launch its blockbuster IPO. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/30/business/heres-when-top-wall-street-executives-expect-openai-will-launch-its-blockbuster-ipo/

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New York Post · collected 2026-10-30 · by Charles Gasparino

Quick Summary

Wall Street executives expect OpenAI to launch its initial public offering in the first quarter of 2027, despite the company's official stance that it has no current plans for an IPO. Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, has expressed concerns about AI safety and has been raising private capital at a significant rate—around $300 billion in a recent round—that values the company at $1 trillion. This timing prediction comes amid increased competition from rival companies like Anthropic, which is set to launch its own IPO later this year, and Meta's planned secondary stock sale worth up to $95 billion.
Written by AI on 2026-10-30, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of October 30, 2026, senior Wall Street executives expect OpenAI to launch its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in the first quarter of 2027, despite the company's public statements denying any imminent plans for an IPO. According to sources close to the matter, Sam Altman, OpenAI’s CEO, has been privately raising around $300 billion in a funding round that will value the company at approximately $1 trillion. Despite warnings about potential risks from runaway AI agents, Wall Street insiders believe that Altman's actions suggest otherwise. In contrast, Anthropic filed its S-1 filing recently and is expected to go public by late November 2026, potentially valuing it as high as $2 trillion.

Written for “OpenAI IPO Expectations” on 2026-10-30, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 116923 · logged 2026-10-30

Story

📰 OpenAI IPO Expectations
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 21% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
AI Colonies Are Coming Different event
TIME
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 34 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of OpenAI's activities (one about a mathematical achievement and the other about potential IPO plans), indicating separate events.”
CBC News
Hedges 4 of 13 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different companies (Anthropic and OpenAI) with separate IPO filings and timelines.”
The Free Press
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 15 claims Outlet record 96/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of AI developments and plans, not a single specific event.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 8 of 47 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss different companies (Anthropic and OpenAI) planning separate IPOs, not the same specific event.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 1 of 2 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss different companies (Anthropic and OpenAI) with distinct plans regarding their IPOs.”
Semafor
Hedges 0 of 5 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different companies (Anthropic and OpenAI) and distinct time frames related to their IPOs.”
Semafor
Hedges 1 of 5 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different companies (Anthropic and OpenAI) and distinct topics (gross margin vs. IPO timing expectations).”
Mother Jones
Hedges 4 of 15 claims Outlet record 95/100
“The articles discuss different companies (Anthropic vs. OpenAI) and their IPO plans, which are not the same specific event.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
21%
4 of 19 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-30 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 15208 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Charles Gasparino
23 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 OpenAI is saying it has no plans to go public this year – but senior Wall Street executives say they fully expect it will happen in the first quarter of 2027, On The Money has learned.
🔮 But as I’ve recently discovered, there’s a notable exception to this unhappy trend, and that would be Pot Inc.
🔮 “It will be years of hearings, investigations and nonstop turmoil,” one major Wall Street deal lawyer said.
🔮 With investors likely to get more details of Anthropic’s pending initial public offering as soon as Friday, the question is whether the official disclosures for the AI giant will actually stoke demand – or cause investors to think twice before tapping into stock, On The Money has learned.
🔮 A new and life-changing business known as the internet, you will recall, was going to make us all rich, and not just the oligarchs behind the technology.
🔮 Those two questions have become maybe the biggest parlor game in media circles these days now that David “Zas” Zaslav is no longer the CEO of Warner Bros Discovery, so I thought I would snoop around.
🔮 With $80 billion in debt and a sprawling media empire to combine, David Ellison will have his hands full with the now court-approved combination of Paramount and Warner Bros Discovery, known as Skydance.
🔮 The worry is that the firm collects sensitive customer data on Americans that could be shared with Chinese spies–something the company has steadfastly denied.
🔮 That could mean more wagering on high-profile M&A deals (Skydance’s recent purchase of WBD was one of the recent biggies), or picking winners of “Dancing With The Stars” or the upcoming midterm races in hotly contested Senate seats in Texas and Michigan.
🔮 That showdown was one of the few bright spots of Powell’s tenure as chair: Even he knew that cutting Fed Funds when the economy was booming would upend confidence in the Fed, stoke already sticky inflation and worsen the price impact of Trump’s tariffs and the Iran conflict. But that doesn’t come close to exempting Powell from being a bad Fed chair, whether it’s over his opulent new office space or his poor record fighting inflation.
Also by Charles Gasparino
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 23 articles by Charles Gasparino →

Topics

Altman Anthropic On The Money OpenAI SpaceX

Subjects

Anthropic ORG · 7× OpenAI ORG · 6× Altman PERSON · 5× On The Money ORG · 5× Amodei ORG · 3× Charlie Gasparino PERSON · 2× Meta ORG · 2× Pentagon ORG · 2× SpaceX ORG · 2× Sam Altman PERSON · 1×

Narrative

In fact, people close to Amodei say his recent coyness about the timing of the sale was motivated less by market concerns and more about supply chain issues involving the Defense Department’s ban on using its AI systems for military uses.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-30
🔮 OpenAI is saying it has no plans to go public this year – but senior Wall Street executives say they fully expect it will happen in the first quarter of 2027, On The Money has learned.

Claims (19 extracted, 4 hedged)

OpenAI is saying it has no plans to go public this year – but senior Wall Street executives say they fully expect it will happen in the first quarter of 2027, On The Money has learned. asserted
Money → say → 2027
The artificial intelligence giant run by Sam Altman has been quick to shoot down rumors that it’s preparing to IPO imminently now that archrival Anthropic has filed its S-1 as a precursor to a deal that’s expected in late November. asserted
that → run → November
Altman has been among the AI industry’s top alarmists – as has Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei – although that isn’t stopping the latter from cashing in on an initial public offering that could value the company as high as $2 trillion, possibly even surpassing SpaceX’s record-breaking IPO. uncertain
that → have → IPO
Warnings of runaway AI agents that could trigger global armageddon are said to be behind Altman’s reticence, but top Wall Street executives are more inclined to watch what Altman does rather than what he says, sources with first hand knowledge of the matter tell On The Money. uncertain
sources → trigger → Money
Instead of scaling back on AI, Altman has been raising money privately – around $300 billion in a round that will value OpenAI at $1 trillion, people close to the firm say. asserted
people → scale → firm
Meanwhile, finance bigs are warning Altman that his iPO window could be closing with rising fears of an AI bubble and competition for investor capital – not just from the Anthropic sale but also a planned massive secondary stock sale by Meta, as first reported by On The Money With that, one Wall Street CEO said the OpenAI IPO is coming “probably in the first quarter” of 2027. uncertain
IPO → warn → 2027
An OpenAI spokesman had no immediate comment on the timing disclosed in this report. asserted
spokesman → have → report
In a statement, the rep previously told On The Money that the company has “been consistent in saying that we have not set a timetable for an IPO. asserted
we → tell → IPO
Last month our CEO made clear that the priority is safety and that we will not (be) going public this year.” AI is considered a game-changing technology with broad applications in business, medicine and even the military. asserted
AI → make → business
Yet concerns are growing that major players are ramping up spending and borrowing to levels that they can’t pay down. asserted
they → grow → that
A host of domestic and foreign players are competing in the space. asserted
host → compete → space
That said, Wall Street bankers have been prodding top AI companies to tap the market before a possible AI meltdown hits. asserted
meltdown → say → market
Meta is now planning to sell $95 billion in stock through several rounds, on top of Anthropic’s IPO sale, the size of which hasn’t been determined. asserted
size → plan → which
While Anthropic is valuing itself at $2 trillion, and the private fundraising for OpenAI gives it a $1 trillion valuation, the latter’s market value could be conceivably higher if the AI rally is given a jolt coming into the new year with a successful offering by Amodei. uncertain
rally → value → Amodei
In fact, people close to Amodei say his recent coyness about the timing of the sale was motivated less by market concerns and more about supply chain issues involving the Defense Department’s ban on using its AI systems for military uses. asserted
coyness → say → uses
The ban came after a very public spat between the company and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth when Amodei refused to give the Pentagon unrestricted access to its AI models. asserted
Amodei → come → models
Charlie Gasparino has his finger on the pulse of where business, politics and finance meet asserted
business → meet → pulse
Anthropic is challenging the order in court, and its S-1 shows that while losing money, Anthropic’s revenue growth remains strong as it seeks to dominate corporate and other AI usage. asserted
it → challenge → usage
OpenAI, meanwhile, has none of these issues with the Pentagon, which would appear to make its IPO path easier. asserted
path → have → Pentagon
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