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How Trump's immigration crackdown sparked a backlash that could boomerang in the midterms

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Cite

Sullivan, T., & Riccardi, N. (2026, October 29). How Trump's immigration crackdown sparked a backlash that could boomerang in the midterms. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/news/world/united-states/how-trump-s-immigration-crackdown-sparked-a-backlash-that-could-boomerang-in-the-midterms/article_74041496-c27e-5be3-b93b-e9b9a4df44ad.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Toronto Star · collected 2026-10-29 · by Tim Sullivan, Nicholas Riccardi

Quick Summary

The article discusses how President Donald Trump’s aggressive immigration policies have led to a backlash from voters who now disapprove of his approach, potentially harming Republican efforts in the midterms. Despite achieving record-high deportations and reducing illegal border crossings, Trump faces criticism for methods deemed unconstitutional by some critics. For instance, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement arrested nearly 51,000 immigrants illegally in August alone. This shift could undermine support for Republicans who still target Biden’s immigration policies in their campaigns.
Written by AI on 2026-10-31, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In 2026, President Donald Trump's strict immigration policies have led to violent clashes on American streets as authorities attempt to deport undocumented immigrants, sparking a significant backlash against his approach. While some voters still support strong border security measures, polling indicates growing disapproval of Trump’s methods, potentially harming Republican efforts to retain control of Congress in the upcoming midterms. The shift from migrant chaos at the borders under Trump's predecessor to current street violence reflects a dramatic change in public perception regarding immigration enforcement. Democrats, including Senator Chris Van Hollen from Maryland, have become critical of these measures, noting voter disapproval of the administration’s handling of immigration issues.

Written for “Trump's Immigration Crackdown Backlash” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence medium 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans left for article 113888 (medium confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-31

Story

📰 Trump's Immigration Crackdown Backlash
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 5% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
ABC News (US)
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 5 of 51 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles discuss different aspects related to Trump's presidency and its impact on midterm elections, but do not describe the same specific incident.”
Mother Jones
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 1 of 26 claims Outlet record 95/100
“The articles discuss different aspects related to political consequences and immigration policies rather than describing the same specific incident.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 4 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects related to Trump's influence on midterms; one focuses on tactics like redrawing electoral maps, while the other discusses backlash from an immigration crackdown.”
Mother Jones
Hedges 13 of 101 claims Outlet record 95/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's immigration policy and its impact on elections but do not describe the same specific incident.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects related to the midterms and voter sentiment, but do not describe the same specific incident or outcome.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 7 of 60 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe related events but different occurrences: one focuses on backlash in Minneapolis, while the other covers a vigil in Brownsville, Texas.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
59
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
3 of 59 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
64/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-31 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Toronto Star · 10784 article(s) · 28 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 28 correction(s)
2026-10-26
Correction
2026-10-24
Correction
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Tim Sullivan
4 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 While Trump maintains some support for his handling of the border, polling shows voters disapprove of his approach to immigration, a striking turnaround that could undermine Republican attempts to maintain control of Congress in the midterms.
🔮 Another attorney, Rolando Cantu, said Castro always intended to face the Minnesota charges and disputed prosecutors’ claims that he might flee to Mexico.
🔮 The man who sprayed vinegar at Democratic U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar during a Minneapolis town hall meeting as the city was going through an immigration crackdown and the deaths of two U.S. citizens is expected to be sentenced Wednesday after reaching a deal with prosecutors.
Also by Tim Sullivan
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
Nicholas Riccardi
13 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 In Alaska, Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan is facing three other challengers on the state’s final ballot in a race that could determine control of the Senate — Democrat Mary Peltola, who was previously the state’s lone House member, and two candidates who have barely campaigned, including a retired school teacher named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. Alaska Republicans have long suspected the second Sullivan of being a Democratic plant, and the Trump administration took the unusual step last week of suing to prevent certification of a possible Peltola victory until it could be determined if voters were confused. The New York Times this week reported that internal campaign texts and communications showed the Peltola campaign recruited the second Sullivan, leading the president to call for the Democrat’s prosecution and his Justice Department to issue a flurry of subpoenas in a criminal investigation.
🔮 While Trump maintains some support for his handling of the border, polling shows voters disapprove of his approach to immigration, a striking turnaround that could undermine Republican attempts to maintain control of Congress in the midterms.
🔮 The Democratic campaign for Alaska’s U.S. Senate seat was involved in efforts to place on the ballot a candidate with the same name as Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan in a bid to confuse voters in a race that could determine which party controls the chamber, The New York Times reported Wednesday.
🔮 “The least competitive election of our lifetimes will lead to the least accountable and least representative Congress of our lifetimes.”
🔮 Now, many like Martinez are souring on the president and his party, which could upend the balance of power in Washington in the Nov. 3 elections.
🔮 In Iowa's 2nd district, a region dominated by swine farming, Lindsay James faced scrutiny for supporting "meatless May" in a 2020 Facebook post.
🔮 Republicans have gone after two other Democratic House candidates on meat — hammering Lindsay James in Iowa’s 2nd district, an area filled with hog farms, for supporting “meatless May” in a 2020 Facebook post, and Amish Shah in Arizona’s 1st district for his longstanding vegetarianism and animal rights activism.
🔮 The registered Republican and 28-year Air Force veteran was doing something he never expected to do — attending a party for a Democratic congressional candidate.
🔮 It’s likely, however, that conservatives will continue slamming Omar.
🔮 He will graduate in the spring with an economics degree and an interest in data analytics, but true adulthood seems maddeningly far away.
Also by Nicholas Riccardi
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 13 articles by Nicholas Riccardi →

Topics

American Americans MINNEAPOLIS Republican the White House

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 14× American NORP · 3× Democrats NORP · 3× Biden PERSON · 2× El Salvador GPE · 2× Krikorian PERSON · 2× MINNEAPOLIS GPE · 2× Maryland GPE · 2× Republicans NORP · 2× Donald Trump PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Even some of the most liberal Democratic candidates, like Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed, are careful to note that they want strong borders. “I don’t know of a candidate who’s in a swing race who’s saying anything other than ‘We’ve got to secure the border’ and ‘We’ve got to remove criminals,’” Sharry said.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-31
🔮 While Trump maintains some support for his handling of the border, polling shows voters disapprove of his approach to immigration, a striking turnaround that could undermine Republican attempts to maintain control of Congress in the midterms.

Claims (59 extracted, 3 hedged)

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) — When Donald Trump was running for president two years ago, Americans’ television screens were filled with images of migrant chaos. asserted
screens → run → chaos
There were tent camps on both sides of the border, caravans of people trudging through Central America and concerns about newcomers overwhelming social services. asserted
newcomers → be → services
That turmoil faded as President Joe Biden tightened immigration enforcement after Trump clamped down even more. asserted
Trump → fade → enforcement
Now any chaos is on American streets, where violent and even deadly clashes have defined a deportation campaign that’s designed to fulfill hardliners’ goals of uprooting anyone in the country illegally. asserted
that → define → country
The shift helps explain why Trump’s effort to fulfill his promises has turned into a backlash, undermining one of the core issues that fueled his return to the White House. asserted
that → help → House
While Trump maintains some support for his handling of the border, polling shows voters disapprove of his approach to immigration, a striking turnaround that could undermine Republican attempts to maintain control of Congress in the midterms. uncertain
that → maintain → midterms
“The American people supported strong border security,” said Maryland Sen. Chris Van Hollen, a Democrat who has become a prominent critic of the administration’s policies. asserted
who → support → policies
“What they got instead was shredding the Constitution, mass deportations and killing American citizens on the streets of Minneapolis. asserted
got → get → Minneapolis
Trump’s allies say the president is the victim of his own success. asserted
president → say → success
“The disaster at the border and the impunity of people just walking over and being released into the country was hard to ignore,” said Mark Krikorian, executive director of the Center for Immigration Studies. asserted
Krikorian → walk → Studies
Trump dramatically reduced illegal border crossings, Krikorian said, “and that’s often politically bad.” asserted
that → reduce → crossings
Krikorian praised Trump for adopting low profile but highly effective sweeps that have achieved month after month of record arrests. asserted
that → praise → arrests
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers arrested almost 51,000 immigrants in the country illegally in August, according to the Department of Homeland Security, up from 49,000 in July and 43,000 in June. uncertain
officers → arrest → June
An estimated 660,000 people have been deported in the past fiscal year, according to the Migration Policy Institute, short of the administration’s goal of 1 million annually. uncertain
people → deport → million
Biden’s immigration policies remain a regular target for Republicans this year. asserted
policies → remain → Republicans
Trump said at a recent Florida rally that Democrats let migrants “pour across our borders from all over the world.” asserted
migrants → say → world
“If they win in the midterms, they’ll do it again,” he warned. asserted
he → win → it
Trump returned to White House with deportation pledge asserted
Trump → return → pledge
In 2024, Trump warned repeatedly of an immigrant “invasion.” asserted
Trump → warn → invasion
“They’re poisoning the blood of our country,” he said of people crossing the border illegally. asserted
he → poison → border
He insisted, falsely, that immigrants were behind spikes in crime and eating household pets. asserted
immigrants → insist → pets
Even as Trump drew criticism for his rhetoric, his focus on the issue resonated with voters who had seen illegal immigration soar during the Biden administration, with border arrests from Mexico reaching a record 250,000 in December 2023. asserted
arrests → draw → December
Trump’s victory seemed poised to reshape immigration politics. asserted
victory → poise → politics
Forty-six Democrats in the House and a dozen in the Senate joined Republicans in voting for the Laken Riley Act, a bill named after a Georgia student killed by a man in the country illegally. asserted
dozen → join → country
The law requires detention without bond for noncitizens accused of murder and other violent crimes. asserted
law → require → murder
After Trump took office, he cranked deportations into higher gear. asserted
he → take → gear
Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a Maryland resident, was one of the people caught up in that net. asserted
Garcia → catch → net
Despite a court order forbidding it, the administration sent him to his native El Salvador, where he was confined to that country’s notorious central prison that was also used to house other Trump deportees. asserted
that → forbid → deportees
The U.S. Supreme Court directed the administration to “facilitate” Abrego Garcia’s return, and Van Hollen flew to El Salvador to meet with him. asserted
Hollen → direct → him
Some Democrats questioned the wisdom of confronting Trump on an issue where the president was so popular, the senator recalled. asserted
senator → question → issue
“We’ve gone from some of that sniping on the sidelines to a clear vote among Democrats to defund ICE,” Van Hollen said. asserted
Hollen → go → ICE
Minneapolis crackdown leads to backlash asserted
crackdown → lead → backlash
The early face of the Trump crackdown was top Border Patrol commander Gregory Bovino, who swaggered through raids in tactical gear and deployed forces to Los Angeles and Chicago, where he led a helicopter raid on an apartment building. asserted
he → swagger → building
More than 2,000 federal officers were sent to the city, and scenes of masked agents spilling from convoys of unmarked vehicles became commonplace. asserted
scenes → send → vehicles
Tens of thousands of protesters took to the streets. asserted
thousands → take → streets
Two U.S. citizens — Renee Good and Alex Pretti, both 37 — were killed during confrontations with agents. asserted
both → kill → agents
In the weeks that followed, the White House pushed aside Bovino and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem. asserted
House → follow → Bovino
Michael Pretti, Alex’s father, said this week that the family is still troubled by the bystander videos of the shooting. asserted
family → say → shooting
He had a holstered gun that he was legally allowed to carry, and none of the footage shows him brandishing the weapon or attacking federal agents in the moments before he was killed. asserted
he → have → moments
“I think it haunts many Americans to see a U.S. citizen who was peaceful and in his community shot multiple times on the back, in the back, while on the ground,” he told reporters. asserted
he → think → reporters
…and 19 more, not listed.
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