Record-breaking high tides spark chaos – and kayak commutes – across California

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
Cite

Francisco, G. C. i. S. (2026, October 28). Record-breaking high tides spark chaos – and kayak commutes – across California. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/oct/28/california-extreme-weather-high-tides

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-10-29 · by Gabrielle Canon in San Francisco

Quick Summary

This week, record-breaking high tides caused significant flooding along California's coastline from San Diego to the San Francisco Bay Area. Streets were submerged in parts of Marin County north of San Francisco where residents used kayaks for transportation. The National Weather Service issued flood advisories warning of continued coastal flooding through Thursday in areas like San Diego and Orange counties, with Los Angeles facing moderate risks into the weekend. Climate scientist Daniel Swain warned that this is just the beginning of more severe conditions as a strong El Niño continues to impact the region.
Written by AI on 2026-10-29, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Coastal communities in California experienced record-breaking high tides and severe flooding this week, with water levels reaching up to 8 feet, 2 inches in the Los Angeles Harbor on Tuesday. The unusually high tides, fueled by El Niño conditions and warm temperatures, caused significant damage across Southern California, including widespread flooding of homes, roads, and critical infrastructure like train routes. In Newport Beach, emergency measures such as berms, seawalls, and sandbag blockades were overwhelmed, leading to extensive water intrusion. The chaos extended from San Diego to the San Francisco Bay Area, where kayakers and paddleboarders navigated flooded streets typically bustling with traffic.

Written for “Record-Breaking Tides Flood California” on 2026-10-29, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 113330 · logged 2026-10-29

Story

📰 Record-Breaking Tides Flood California
Environment · 4 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 29% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
The Guardian
Hedges 0 of 3 claims Outlet record 67/100
ABC News (US)
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 70/100
CBS News
Hedges 2 of 6 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles describe flooding caused by record-breaking tides in California, they cover different days and locations, suggesting separate but related events.”
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 3 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe similar flooding events along the California coast but are not reporting on the exact same incident with the same timing and place.”
New York Post
Hedges 2 of 17 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss high tides affecting coastal California, Article B describes a more severe and widespread event that occurred later in time with different locations (San Diego to San Francisco Bay Area) than the flood alert specified in Article A.”
New York Post
Hedges 2 of 25 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe flooding events along the California coast but refer to different periods and locations with varying levels of detail.”
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss high tides causing flooding along the West Coast, they refer to different periods of time and do not describe the exact same incident.”
Flooding hits both coasts Different event
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 3 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss flooding along the coasts, Article B provides a more detailed account of record-breaking high tides specifically in California, which is not necessarily the same specific incident as described in Article A's broader coverage of both East and West coast flooding.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
35
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
29%
10 of 35 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
67/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
4
Environment
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-29 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 1767 article(s) · 5 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 5 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Gabrielle Canon in San Francisco
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Kayakers and paddle boarders could be seen gliding through typically busy thoroughfares in Marin county, north of San Francisco, on Monday and Tuesday.
🔮 The wave is nearing southern California and expected to reach the San Francisco Bay Area by early October, as it crawls toward Alaska.
Also by Gabrielle Canon in San Francisco
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

California Los Angeles Marin county San Diego San Francisco

Subjects

California GPE · 4× Los Angeles GPE · 4× San Diego GPE · 4× San Francisco GPE · 2× Swain PERSON · 2× Marin county GPE · 1× Newport Beach GPE · 1× Orange GPE · 1× The National Weather Service ORG · 1× the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ORG · 1×

Narrative

Further south, in cities such as Newport Beach, water pounded the emergency infrastructure set up to keep out the swelling sea, which seeped through berms, seawalls and sandbag blockades along the shoreline.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-29
🔮 Kayakers and paddle boarders could be seen gliding through typically busy thoroughfares in Marin county, north of San Francisco, on Monday and Tuesday.

Claims (35 extracted, 10 hedged)

Historic high tides have caused chaos up and down the California coast this week, as parts of the state were inundated by record-breaking water levels. asserted
parts → cause → levels
Seawater surged into low-lying communities from San Diego to the San Francisco Bay Area, submerging streets, flooding homes and businesses, and jamming important transportation corridors and train routes. asserted
Seawater → surge → corridors
Kayakers and paddle boarders could be seen gliding through typically busy thoroughfares in Marin county, north of San Francisco, on Monday and Tuesday. uncertain
Kayakers → see → Monday
Several drivers had to be rescued from floating cars in the area, while cyclists who had attempted to cross the temporary lagoon that had formed quickly found themselves waist-deep. asserted
themselves → have → lagoon
Further south, in cities such as Newport Beach, water pounded the emergency infrastructure set up to keep out the swelling sea, which seeped through berms, seawalls and sandbag blockades along the shoreline. asserted
which → pound → shoreline
Up and down the state, all-time records were smashed. asserted
records → smash → state
Near Los Angeles and San Diego, tides rose above 8ft. asserted
tides → rise → ft
San Francisco registered its highest reading for the month of October on Wednesday, breaking a record set the day before. asserted
Francisco → register → record
The National Weather Service has issued a swathe of flood advisories and warnings that will last for days. asserted
that → issue → days
In San Diego and Orange counties, forecasters said significant coastal flooding was expected during high tides through Thursday. asserted
flooding → say → Thursday
“Numerous roads may be closed. uncertain
roads → close → ?
Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated,” they said in a Wednesday outlook. asserted
they → lie → outlook
In Los Angeles, moderate flood risks extended into the weekend, though tides would begin to drop after Thursday. asserted
tides → extend → Thursday
Shoreline erosion is expected across the California coast. asserted
erosion → expect → coast
The repeated onslaught from the rising sea has made for a tumultuous autumn, especially in southern California, which has been hammered several times over the last two months. asserted
which → repeat → months
Los Angeles has already logged 12 coastal flood days in 2026, according to records from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa) – outpacing any year in the last 50 – with months left to go. uncertain
months → log → 50
But the dangers won’t recede when the tides do, and the newly set records won’t be held for long. asserted
records → recede → ?
The worst flooding may be to come as severe impacts from an exceptionally strong and still-strengthening El Niño unfold in the months ahead, experts warned, with the potential to raise tides several feet above the levels recorded this week. uncertain
experts → come → levels
“What we are seeing now could be the beginning of what could be significantly more disruptive conditions later this year,” climate scientist Daniel Swain said during an online briefing Tuesday. uncertain
Swain → see → briefing
The sharply rising waters are the result of thermal expansion from a record-breaking oceanic heatwave layered on top of higher sea levels fueled by the human-caused climate crisis, Swain explained. asserted
Swain → rise → crisis
A coastally trapped Kelvin wave – a massive underwater band of warm water that has crept across the Pacific and up the North American shoreline – has also added to the fray, and the California coast could see plenty more of them through the winter and into early next year. uncertain
coast → trap → year
“I would expect these water levels to be exceeded multiple times this winter,” Swain said. asserted
Swain → expect → ?
San Diego, La Jolla, Los Angeles and Santa Monica all have above an 80% chance of high tide flooding in December according to a Noaa outlook. uncertain
Diego → have → outlook
Most of the stations near coastal communities to the north, going all the way to the Canadian border, were in the 60-80% category. asserted
Most → go → category
The floods seen this week were not so-called king tides, which are the highest predicted tides for the year. asserted
which → see → year
Those will show up right in time for busy holiday weekends, around Thanksgiving and Christmas this year, and around 20-23 January next year. asserted
Those → show → Thanksgiving
King tides can add an additional foot or two to water levels, which are already elevated by roughly a foot due to human-caused warming, the effects from El Niño and Kelvin waves. asserted
which → add → Niño
If each of these layers align as they are expected to, they will create up to 5ft of sea level rise above average, in many places at once. asserted
they → align → places
“We are well into extreme territory – and really in record-breaking territory,” Swain said. asserted
Swain → break → territory
That will set the stage for disastrous flooding, should a storm arrive when waters are high.” asserted
waters → set → flooding
Swain said that’s when things “get really hairy”. asserted
things → say → ?
The historic El Niño brewing in the Pacific has the power to unleash extreme weather around the world, and in California that could mean supercharged storms. uncertain
that → have → storms
Southern California especially tends to get doused during the El Niños, and this year the climate phenomenon, characterized by warmer-than-average equatorial sea surface temperatures, could pack an extraordinary punch. uncertain
phenomenon → tend → punch
Should a strong storm occur during the windows when the tides are highest, flooding could be disastrous. uncertain
flooding → occur → windows
“There’s at least a 30-40% chance we stack all of these this winter, and potentially more than once,” Swain said. asserted
Swain → ’ → these
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