Two key unions turn on Labor, running attack ads and pulling campaign funds a month out from Victorian election

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
Cite

Kolovos, B., & Belot, H. (2026, October 28). Two key unions turn on Labor, running attack ads and pulling campaign funds a month out from Victorian election. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/oct/28/unions-turn-on-labor-attack-ads-campaign-funds-victorian-election-exclusive

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-10-28 · by Benita Kolovos, Henry Belot

Quick Summary

Two major Labor-aligned unions in Victoria have turned against the state’s Labor government a month before the election. The Australian Services Union has launched attack ads calling Premier Ben Carroll a liar for not lifting council rate caps as previously agreed, while the Electrical Trades Union is redirecting its campaign funding to support members facing the construction royal commission. Both actions reflect declining confidence in Labor's prospects and its perceived lack of support for workers’ interests.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-28, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Two major unions in Victoria have withdrawn support for the Labor Party just one month before the state election. The Australian Services Union (ASU) has launched attack ads against Ben Carroll, a key figure in the Labor government, while the Electrical Trades Union (ETU) is redirecting funds previously allocated to support Labor. The ETU spent over $1.6 million backing Labor at the last election but now plans to reallocate these resources to prepare for and defend members who may be called before the construction royal commission. This shift comes amid concerns about potential attacks on blue-collar unions under a possible Coalition government.

Written for “Victorian Election Unions Turn Against Labor” on 2026-10-28, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans right (beta estimate) Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans right for article 111233 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-28

Story

📰 Victorian Election Unions Turn Against Labor
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 13% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 3 of 45 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different political events involving distinct actions by a Liberal candidate and unions in relation to the Victorian state election.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 3% hedged 2 of 67 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles discuss different aspects of union activities in Melbourne: one focuses on Mick Gatto's personal situation and advice-seeking, while the other reports on major unions turning against Labor and launching attack ads.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 2% hedged 1 of 43 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different political developments in Melbourne leading up to an election; one covers a local campaign event while the other discusses union actions against Labor.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 20 📰 publisher trust 68
“The articles describe different aspects of political events leading up to the Victorian state election but are not reporting on the exact same incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
30
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
13%
4 of 30 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-28 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2552 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Benita Kolovos
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Meanwhile, the Electrical Trades Union (ETU) state council resolved on Wednesday not to run a statewide campaign for Labor, despite spending more than $1.6m supporting the party at the last election, with funds to be diverted to support members who could be called before the construction royal commission.
🔮 But the AFP and Victoria police insist they had no intelligence to suggest 43-year-old Brendan Nugent would go on to allegedly drive a Toyota LandCruiser into the independent MP Helen Haines in a targeted attack.
🔮 On Thursday morning, the state’s health minister, Ingrid Stitt, announced if re-elected in November, Labor would invest $30m over four years to remove the out-of-pocket cost of abortion care, which can quickly add up to more than $1,000.
🔮 Now, they may be able to do the same in Melbourne with their cavoodle, Rupert.
🔮 The $568m community grants scheme will be the subject of a Senate inquiry after a report by the Centre for Public Integrity last week revealed the scheme favoured projects in notionally Labor-held electorates, including a $6m grant for a golf club in Anthony Albanese’s electorate.
🔮 A flood of water – emblematic of Victoria’s “tsunami of debt”, forecast to hit $199bn in the next four years – gushes from the steps of state parliament, towards a scared child. These are some of the AI-generated images being used as part of a social media advertising campaign attracting thousands of views less than 100 days out from the Victorian election.
Also by Benita Kolovos
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 6 articles by Benita Kolovos →
Henry Belot
9 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Meanwhile, the Electrical Trades Union (ETU) state council resolved on Wednesday not to run a statewide campaign for Labor, despite spending more than $1.6m supporting the party at the last election, with funds to be diverted to support members who could be called before the construction royal commission.
🔮 But the AFP and Victoria police insist they had no intelligence to suggest 43-year-old Brendan Nugent would go on to allegedly drive a Toyota LandCruiser into the independent MP Helen Haines in a targeted attack.
🔮 When Haines posted on X about an ABC QandA episode, Nugent wrote “Would’ve been nice to include a politician who takes climate change seriously, such as yourself”.
🔮 Another AI-generated video depicts the Brisbane Lions player Will Ashcroft.
🔮 Pocock was not satisfied by the response, and said “most taxpayers would be questioning if these payments are good value for money”.
🔮 “I refer to your correspondence on 3 September requesting that I intercede on behalf of NextDC Limited in the decision of the minister for planning …” Horne wrote to Scroggie on Monday. “I do not believe that it would be appropriate for me to lend my support to the application and nor do I wish to.”
🔮 A flood of water – emblematic of Victoria’s “tsunami of debt”, forecast to hit $199bn in the next four years – gushes from the steps of state parliament, towards a scared child. These are some of the AI-generated images being used as part of a social media advertising campaign attracting thousands of views less than 100 days out from the Victorian election.
Also by Henry Belot
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 9 articles by Henry Belot →

Topics

ASU ETU Labor Victoria Victorian

Subjects

Labor ORG · 11× ETU ORG · 7× ASU ORG · 5× Ben Carroll PERSON · 4× Carroll PERSON · 2× Victorian NORP · 2× Australian Services Union ORG · 1× Electrical Trades Union ORG · 1× Guardian Australia ORG · 1× Victoria GPE · 1×

Narrative

Instead, it plans to “reallocate resources previously earmarked for this campaign to prepare and defend the ETU and its members in the royal commission” and respond to what is describes as the “impacts of the oncoming attack on blue-collar unions and their members from a majority Coalition government”.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-28
🔮 Meanwhile, the Electrical Trades Union (ETU) state council resolved on Wednesday not to run a statewide campaign for Labor, despite spending more than $1.6m supporting the party at the last election, with funds to be diverted to support members who could be called before the construction royal commission.

Claims (30 extracted, 4 hedged)

Two major unions in Victoria have turned their back on the Labor government a month out from the state election, with one launching attack ads calling Ben Carroll a liar and the other pulling campaign funding. asserted
other → turn → funding
The Labor-aligned Australian Services Union (ASU), which launched the ads, has also confirmed it won’t doorknock for Labor in the coming weeks. asserted
it → align → weeks
Meanwhile, the Electrical Trades Union (ETU) state council resolved on Wednesday not to run a statewide campaign for Labor, despite spending more than $1.6m supporting the party at the last election, with funds to be diverted to support members who could be called before the construction royal commission. uncertain
who → resolve → commission
A copy of the resolution, seen by Guardian Australia, states that the ETU will “not run a third-party campaign at the 2026 state election”. asserted
ETU → see → election
Instead, it plans to “reallocate resources previously earmarked for this campaign to prepare and defend the ETU and its members in the royal commission” and respond to what is describes as the “impacts of the oncoming attack on blue-collar unions and their members from a majority Coalition government”. asserted
is → plan → government
The resolution cites polling commissioned by the ETU and received at the start of October, which predicted Labor would win just 25 seats at the election – 10 fewer than forecast before the July leadership spill that saw Ben Carroll replace Jacinta Allan as premier. asserted
Carroll → cite → premier
“This is reinforced by polling widely reported in the media, which shows that since the leadership change, Victorian Labor has gone backwards in support,” the resolution reads. asserted
resolution → reinforce → support
The ASU’s attack on Labor relates to its long-running campaign to lift a cap on rates that councils can charge residents, which has constrained their ability to fund higher wages for staff. asserted
which → relate → staff
The left-aligned union claims it had a deal with Allan to lift the cap, which Carroll quickly scrapped after taking over the leadership, due to concerns it would increase cost of living pressures for non-council workers. uncertain
it → align → workers
The ASU ads splash the words “Ben lied. asserted
Ben → splash → words
Labor lies” over a large image of the premier. asserted
Labor → lie → premier
The union has paid for these ads to run across news sites and on Google in Carroll’s own seat of Niddrie, the seat of Pascoe Vale, held by Labor on a 2% margin against the Greens and the seat of Bentleigh, a target seat for the Liberals. asserted
ads → pay → Liberals
The ads will also feature in seats held by the deputy premier, the treasurer and the local government minister. asserted
ads → feature → premier
“Premier Ben Carroll has chosen not to show up for workers and so workers can’t show up for him this November,” said Tash Wark, the secretary of the ASU’s Victorian branch. asserted
Wark → choose → branch
“We would normally be out knocking doors this close to an election. asserted
We → knock → election
We won’t be doing that while the government ignores the people who deliver council services, so voters … will hear from us directly through ads in their feeds.” asserted
voters → do → feeds
A Victorian government spokesperson said “Ben Carroll is fighting for working people”. asserted
Carroll → say → people
“A Liberal-One Nation coalition will scrap penalty rates, sack 31,700 public sector workers, end paid parental leave and unleash $40 billion in cuts,” the spokesperson said. asserted
spokesperson → scrap → cuts
Wark said the union would be willing to campaign for Labor if it got its way. asserted
it → say → way
“Nobody at the ASU wanted to be running ads against Labor MPs, and we don’t have to if the government does the right thing,” she said. asserted
she → want → thing
The ETU, which was a factional backer of the former premier, strongly opposed a royal commission into allegations of corruption on the Big Build, which it described as a lawyers’ picnic. asserted
it → oppose → picnic
In June, it was also one of three unions to launch an advertising blitz challenging claims that alleged corruption on government building sites cost taxpayers $15bn. uncertain
corruption → launch → 15bn
At the 2022 election, the ETU spent more than $1.6m campaigning for the party and worked with the Labor-aligned advertising agency, Creative Edge, to produce social media and broadcast ads supporting its re-election. asserted
ETU → spend → election
By the same point in the election cycle four years ago, the ETU’s ads had already been aired. asserted
ads → air → cycle
They went on to reach 2 million people on Facebook and another 1.4 million people on YouTube. asserted
They → go → YouTube
No ads have been published for this election. “The world is in a different place than it was six months ago, let alone four years ago,” said one ETU source, who requested anonymity to speak freely. asserted
who → publish → anonymity
One Labor MP, speaking anonymously as they were unauthorised to speak publicly, accused the ETU of “throwing the toys out the cot because they didn’t get what their way”. asserted
they → speak → cot
Carroll is seeking an unprecedented fourth consecutive term for Labor at the 28 November election. asserted
Carroll → seek → election
The latest polling cited in the report puts Labor behind the Coalition on a two-party-preferred basis, at 44% to 55%. asserted
polling → cite → %
The rise of One Nation, however, could complicate the final result. uncertain
rise → complicate → result
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