Three Ontario elections to watch that are not Toronto

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Cite

Oliver, K. (2026, October 26). Three Ontario elections to watch that are not Toronto. National Post. https://nationalpost.com/news/three-ontario-elections-to-watch-that-are-not-toronto

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National Post · collected 2026-10-26 · by Kenn Oliver

Quick Summary

Today marks Canada’s busiest day in municipal politics as residents in 444 Ontario cities vote for local leaders. While the Toronto mayoral race garners most attention, three other closely watched contests include Mississauga’s, where incumbent Carolyn Parrish faces former mayor Bonnie Crombie and councillor Alvin Tedjo. The debate between Parrish and Crombie turned contentious with personal attacks, reflecting their differing views on public safety issues such as police staffing and mental health services. Recent polls show a tight race among the top three candidates, with Crombie currently leading at 26 percent, followed by Tedjo and Parrish.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-26, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

On October 26, 2026, residents of 444 Ontario cities and towns voted in municipal elections to decide who would lead them for the next four years. While Toronto garnered much attention, Mississauga was also a key battleground with several candidates vying for mayorship. Incumbent Carolyn Parrish faced former mayor Bonnie Crombie, alongside councillor Alvin Tedjo and ten other contenders including Dipika Damerla. Public safety concerns, along with issues like taxes, transit, housing, homelessness, and infrastructure, were crucial factors influencing voter decisions in Mississauga.

Written for “Ontario Elections To Watch” on 2026-10-26, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 108501 · logged 2026-10-26

Story

📰 Ontario Elections To Watch
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
40
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
10%
4 of 40 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
60/100
National Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-26 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

National Post · 1145 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Kenn Oliver
23 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 With residents in 444 Ontario cities and towns deciding who will lead them for the next four years, today is Canada’s busiest day in municipal politics.
2026-10-26 · assertive framing · Three Ontario elections to watch that are not Toronto
🔮 During his interview, the self-described “constitutional lawyer” and co-founder of the Alberta Prosperity Project (APP) estimated that, by night’s end, anywhere from 600,000 to 700,000 people will have voted in favour of starting the formal process of Alberta seceding from Canada.
🔮 Health care facilities in Wainwright itself, a town of less than 7,000, were “completely overwhelmed,” an ER doctor at the Royal Alexandra told CBC, noting the number of incoming patients “would overwhelm the city of Edmonton.” “It is more patients than any of us want to count right now,” Dr. Warren Thirsk said.
🔮 Grégoire Trudeau recounted keeping herself and her ex grounded when ordinary people they would encounter in their official capacity started “losing it.”
🔮 Hinton, a 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics co-recipient alongside John Hopfield for their work on machine learning, has had a lot to offer recently about the field he advanced while working for Google, a company he quit in 2023 so he could speak more freely about its potential ramifications for humanity.
🔮 The Durham Regional Police Service (DRPS) has issued a safety alert that 48-year-old Keith Theodore Constantin, “who poses a significant risk to the community, especially children,” will be living at an undisclosed location in the region effective Sunday.
🔮 Although the decision does not mention it, under Canadian law, Udup Bang, a permanent resident who immigrated to Canada from Ethiopia with his family in 2017, could face deportation after serving his time.
🔮 In an email to National Post, a Public Safety Canada spokesperson said the temporary ministerial Firearms Act Exemption Order issued on Sept. 16 “will support the safe and effective management of a geographically and jurisdictionally complex border area while maintaining Canada’s commitment to strong border security and public safety.”
🔮 Duhaime committed to working with Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s minority Parti Québécois government “to cut bureaucracy, put money back in families’ pockets and reform the old Quebec model” but said the CPQ would not “support a referendum that will weaken Quebec.”
🔮 A man who killed his ex-girlfriend’s bipolar mother and hid her body in the woods to be ravaged by wild animals before her remains could be found will spend two years in prison, a B.C. judge ruled earlier this month.
Also by Kenn Oliver
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 23 articles by Kenn Oliver →

Topics

Canada Liberal Mississauga Ontario Toronto

Subjects

Crombie PERSON · 8× Parrish PERSON · 7× Mississauga GPE · 3× Ontario GPE · 3× Tedjo PERSON · 3× Canada GPE · 2× Damerla PERSON · 2× Liberal NORP · 2× Toronto GPE · 2× General Motors ORG · 1×

Narrative

Meilleur said Leiper and Lawson represent the “ideological extremes of the political spectrum,” while Baird’s labelled the former as a “hard left, ideological and out of touch candidate.” In response, Lawson called it “petty name-calling,” and Leiper argued, “malicious American-style politics has no place in our municipal politics.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-26
🔮 With residents in 444 Ontario cities and towns deciding who will lead them for the next four years, today is Canada’s busiest day in municipal politics.
2026-10-26 · National Post
Three Ontario elections to watch that are not Toronto · assertive framing

Claims (40 extracted, 4 hedged)

With residents in 444 Ontario cities and towns deciding who will lead them for the next four years, today is Canada’s busiest day in municipal politics. asserted
today → decide → politics
While many municipalities have their niche issues — like the cleanup of former General Motors land in St. Catharines or Mississauga’s Ridgeway Plaza — the topics most important to voters are consistent: taxes, transit, housing, homelessness and local infrastructure. asserted
topics → have → voters
And like so many urban centres across Canada, public safety is also paramount to deciding whether a candidate’s proposed policies will meaningfully address the issue of rising crime rates and increased public drug use. asserted
policies → decide → rates
Most eyes are sure to be locked on Toronto’s results, but here are three other adjacent races worth watching. asserted
races → lock → results
Incumbent Carolyn Parrish and former mayor and Ontario Liberal Party Leader Bonnie Crombie are the central figures in this closely watched contest, but councillor Alvin Tedjo has emerged as a potential spoiler. asserted
Tedjo → watch → spoiler
Parrish, a long-time city councillor and former four-term Liberal MP, is seeking her first full term, having replaced Crombie when she left municipal politics for provincial politics in 2024. asserted
she → seek → 2024
Crombie, also a former Liberal MP, failed to win a seat in the 2025 Ontario general election and announced her intention to reclaim the mayoralty. asserted
Crombie → fail → mayoralty
During a leaders’ debate on Oct. 1 at Food Banks Mississauga’ warehouse, Parrish and Crombie got into a heated back-and-forth, shouting at one another at times and launching personal barbs. asserted
Parrish → get → barbs
Parrish called Crombie a “blonde bombshell,” and Crombie accused her successor of being a mayor who “just sits behind her desk,” the National Observer reported. asserted
Observer → call → desk
“She can be very Trumpian,” Crombie said of Parrish to the outlet. asserted
Crombie → say → outlet
“I took her to task on her comments, but I never resorted to name-calling.” asserted
I → take → calling
Parrish reportedly said she may have lost her “cool a bit,” but doesn’t “believe anyone behaved particularly well.” uncertain
anyone → say → cool
Damerla, meanwhile, told the Bramptonist that the debate “felt like it was kindergarten” at times, and Tedjo said bickering “is part of the problem,” City News reported. asserted
News → tell → problem
Both said it showed a need for change in leadership. asserted
it → say → leadership
Criminal offences in the Mississauga and Brampton area have been on a downward trend since 2023, according to the Peel Regional Police website, but a 2025 annual report shows drug violations were up 14 per cent since the year prior. uncertain
violations → accord → website
The candidates’ approaches vary on police staffing, funding for law enforcement, the use of surveillance technology and the role of mental health and social service workers in responding to drug-related issues. asserted
approaches → vary → issues
That same poll indicates a three-way race between Crombie (26 per cent), Tedjo (25 per cent), and Parrish (22 per cent), with 16 per cent still undecided. asserted
cent → indicate → Crombie
A Liaison Strategies poll last week, however, finds Crombie leading with 35 per cent among decided and leaning voters, followed by Tedjo (31 per cent) and Parrish (28 per cent). asserted
Crombie → find → Tedjo
The nation’s capital also has 14 people on the mayoral ballot, among them incumbent mayor Mark Sutcliffe and his main challenger, longtime progressive councillor Jeff Leiper. asserted
capital → have → Sutcliffe
Two other candidates likely to pinch votes from either include Neil Saravanamuttoo, an economist and regular critic of City Hall, and homebuilder Alex Lawson, a political outsider vowing top-down reforms. “ asserted
candidates → pinch → reforms
It’s a competition of ideas. asserted
It → ’ → ideas
It’s a competition of agendas.” asserted
It → ’ → agendas
In July, Sutcliffe stood by fundraising and endorsement emails from two former Ontario politicians — former MPP and provincial cabinet minister Madeleine Meilleur and former MPP, MP and cabinet minister John Baird — that framed his opponents as radicals, CBC reported. asserted
CBC → stand → radicals
Meilleur said Leiper and Lawson represent the “ideological extremes of the political spectrum,” while Baird’s labelled the former as a “hard left, ideological and out of touch candidate.” In response, Lawson called it “petty name-calling,” and Leiper argued, “malicious American-style politics has no place in our municipal politics.” asserted
politics → say → politics
Citywide crime as of Aug. 17 is up eight per cent over the same period last year, according to the Citizen. uncertain
crime → accord → Citizen
Sexual violations are up 24 per cent, assaults are up five per cent, instances of violent crime grew four per cent and property crime inched up six per cent. asserted
crime → grow → crime
“The increase in the vulnerable population is overwhelming the social agencies that manage them. asserted
that → overwhelm → them
People aren’t feeling as safe as they used to with some of the social disorder and the open drug use and whatnot,” Ottawa Police Service Chief Eric Stubbs told the Citizen late last year. asserted
Stubbs → feel → Citizen
All the candidates’ platforms differ in how they balance police staffing and budgeting, enforcement and response to drug addiction and mental health crises. asserted
they → differ → addiction
Sutcliffe, first elected in 2022, has been the frontrunner since the get-go, but recent polling suggests his lead over Leiper has slipped to single digits. uncertain
lead → elect → digits
An Oct. 19 Quorus Consulting Group poll put him at 28 per cent among all respondents, Leiper at 24 per cent, Saravanamuttoo at seven per cent and Lawson at four per cent. asserted
poll → put → cent
Hamilton Incumbent Andrea Horwath, the former Ontario NDP leader, faces 12 challengers, including former chamber of commerce president Keanin Loomis and councillor and businessman Rob Cooper, who have arisen as her chief opponents. asserted
who → face → opponents
Horwath won the election in 2022 by defeating Loomis. asserted
Horwath → win → Loomis
The negativity was evident during a disorderly debate earlier this month that included allegations of Donald Trump-style politics, religious discrimination and candidate citizenship, the Hamilton Spectator reported of the occasionally raucous event featuring 12 of the 13 candidates. asserted
Spectator → include → candidates
Horwath went after her primary challengers, labelling Cooper a “hatchet man” and Loomis a “nowhere man.” asserted
Loomis → go → challengers
They countered that Horwath was spending too much without delivering the necessary public services. asserted
Horwath → counter → services
Cooper, an avowed Christian, was challenged on his abortion stance and forced to defend his faith, while Loomis, who moved to Hamilton from Washington, D.C., in 2009, had to pull out his Canadian passport when facing questions about his American roots. asserted
who → challenge → roots
The debate also featured an informal vote against the participation of candidate Paul Fromm, a self-described white nationalist. asserted
debate → feature → Fromm
Statistics Canada data released in July shows that crime rates in Hamilton over the past five have consistently stayed below provincial and national averages, but Hamilton Police Service Chief Frank Bergen said there’s a gap between the numbers and how people say they feel. asserted
they → release → numbers
Cooper and Loomis have put forth different strategies to deal with the spike in downtown incidents, the Spectator reported, while Horwath wants to create a new police substation incorporating other services. asserted
Horwath → put → services
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