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The Straits Times. (2026, September 15). Lula would beat Bolsonaro in a Brazilian runoff, CNT/MDA poll suggests. The Straits Times. https://www.straitstimes.com/world/lula-would-beat-bolsonaro-in-a-brazilian-runoff-cntmda-poll-suggests
The Straits Times. “Lula would beat Bolsonaro in a Brazilian runoff, CNT/MDA poll suggests.” The Straits Times, 15 Sept. 2026, https://www.straitstimes.com/world/lula-would-beat-bolsonaro-in-a-brazilian-runoff-cntmda-poll-suggests.
The Straits Times. “Lula would beat Bolsonaro in a Brazilian runoff, CNT/MDA poll suggests.” The Straits Times, September 15, 2026. https://www.straitstimes.com/world/lula-would-beat-bolsonaro-in-a-brazilian-runoff-cntmda-poll-suggests.
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A recent CNT/MDA poll suggests that if there were a second-round runoff for Brazil's upcoming election on October 4, current President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would receive 47.3% of voter support, compared to Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, who would get 40%. The poll also indicates that in a first-round scenario on the same date, Lula leads with 40.5%, followed by Bolsonaro at 30.4%. Should no candidate secure more than 50% of votes in the first round, a runoff is scheduled for October 25. The survey was conducted between September 9 and 13, interviewing 2,002 people, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.