He had Howard’s photo on his van. Now the ex-Liberal MP wants a spot on One Nation’s NSW ticket

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
Cite

McGowan, M. (2026, October 25). He had Howard’s photo on his van. Now the ex-Liberal MP wants a spot on One Nation’s NSW ticket. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/he-had-howard-s-photo-on-his-van-now-the-ex-liberal-mp-wants-a-spot-on-one-nation-s-nsw-ticket-20261026-p617ju.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-25 · by Michael McGowan

Quick Summary

Former New South Wales Liberal MP Nathaniel Smith, who was known for supporting John Howard, is now seeking a position on One Nation's upper house ticket. To demonstrate his value to the new party, he is hosting fundraising events with Mike Newman, including an exclusive lunch priced at $2000 per person and another event in Oran Park costing $175. This shift comes as several other former Liberal MPs are also joining One Nation, causing some internal friction within the party over its anti-establishment image.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Former Wollondilly MP Nathaniel Smith, who once drove around with a John Howard campaign sign on his van, is now seeking a spot on One Nation’s NSW upper house ticket by hosting fundraisers for the party's leader Mike Newman. As of October 25, 2026, Smith plans to host an "exclusive private lunch" fundraiser where tickets cost $2000 per person and another event in Oran Park costing $175. Smith lost his seat to independent Judy Hannan at the last election and has previously run unsuccessfully for the Liberals in the federal seat of Whitlam. His father, Greg Smith, was NSW attorney-general under Liberal premier Barry O’Farrell. Despite not responding to interview requests, multiple sources suggest Nathaniel Smith is aligning himself with One Nation to demonstrate his value and fundraising prowess.

Written for “Howard Wants Spot On One Nation Ticket” on 2026-10-25, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Centre (beta estimate) Confidence medium
Leaning: centre for article 106193 (medium confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-25

Story

📰 Howard Wants Spot On One Nation Ticket
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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Claims extracted
31
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 31 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Centre
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-25 · how these are computed

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Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 4964 article(s) · 12 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 12 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Michael McGowan
16 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Smith, the former Wollondilly MP who lost his seat to independent Judy Hannan at the last election, will host an “exclusive private lunch” fundraiser with Mike Newman, the populist party’s leader, next month.
🔮 But the documents show the bill was larger – $7790.50 – and reveal public servants said they were only told that alcohol would be served at the event.
🔮 The Minns government will intervene to give a Hunter Valley coal mine a licence to dig up millions of tonnes more each year despite a seismic High Court ruling that found its approval was invalid because it had failed to reckon with emissions from Australian coal burnt overseas.
🔮 The spending, on top of the roughly $450,000 annual salary as a NSW senior trade and investment commissioner in Japan, will probably open Newman up to accusations of hypocrisy after his criticisms of NSW public service spending since his surprise appointment in September.
🔮 A conga line of Liberal and National Party defectors is vying to run for One Nation at the NSW election next year, belying the populist party’s anti-establishment narrative and potentially undermining leader Mike Newman’s claim that candidates will come from outside the political class.
🔮 One Nation will refuse to submit its policies to financial scrutiny before the 2027 election, rejecting Labor’s bid to pressure the populist party into having its promises costed by the state’s independent budget office.
🔮 The Minns government will pressure One Nation to submit its policies for formal costings ahead of the March election by changing the law to allow the NSW independent Parliamentary Budget Office to run the ruler over the resurgent right-wing party’s promises.
🔮 Third-party lobbyists will be forced to disclose links to local councils for the first time in a significant shake-up of integrity laws after the explosive Operation Rosny anti-corruption inquiry uncovered links between a slew of senior Liberal Party operatives and fugitive property developer Jean Nassif.
🔮 One Nation would scrap independent assessment of major new coal mines and hand decision-making power back to politicians as part of the resurgent right-wing party’s plan to reverse decades of planning reforms designed to limit corruption risk by removing ministerial power over major projects.
🔮 A group campaigning against developer Stockland’s proposed $2.9 billion, 25,400-square-metre data centre at the former Kogarah Golf Club site on the banks of the Cooks River was left bemused after the council wrote to it this week informing them they would not be allowed to hold a protest in a park on Friday evening.
Also by Michael McGowan
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 16 articles by Michael McGowan →

Topics

Liberal Liberals NSW One Nation One Nation’s

Subjects

Liberals NORP · 7× One Nation ORG · 7× Smith PERSON · 6× Liberal NORP · 5× Newman PERSON · 4× One Nation’s ORG · 4× Howe PERSON · 3× NSW GPE · 3× Herald ORG · 2× Victorian NORP · 2×

Narrative

As recently as March, he attended a 30th anniversary celebration of Howard’s election and praised his “good friend” Matt Canavan’s elevation as federal Nationals leader, calling it “our best chance, with Angus Taylor, of getting back on top again”.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-25
🔮 Smith, the former Wollondilly MP who lost his seat to independent Judy Hannan at the last election, will host an “exclusive private lunch” fundraiser with Mike Newman, the populist party’s leader, next month.

Claims (31 extracted, 0 hedged)

He once loved the Liberals so much that he drove around with a John Howard corflute stuck to his work van. asserted
he → love → van
But former state MP Nathaniel Smith has joined the growing list of former NSW Liberals gunning for a spot on One Nation’s upper house ticket and is seeking to demonstrate his value to his new colleagues by showing off his fundraising skills. asserted
Smith → join → skills
Smith, the former Wollondilly MP who lost his seat to independent Judy Hannan at the last election, will host an “exclusive private lunch” fundraiser with Mike Newman, the populist party’s leader, next month. asserted
who → lose → Newman
In a text message from Smith to potential invitees — including other One Nation-curious former Liberals — he states the going rate is $2000 a head. asserted
rate → include → Liberals
On social media, Smith, who also ran unsuccessfully for the Liberals in the seat of Whitlam last year’s federal election, has spruiked another upcoming fundraiser with Newman in Oran Park. asserted
who → run → Park
“Do yourself a favour and book in for this event!” he wrote. asserted
he → do → event
The former MP, whose father, Greg Smith, was NSW attorney-general under Liberal premier Barry O’Farrell, did not respond to requests for comment. asserted
father → respond → comment
However, multiple sources said Smith was understood to be among a crowded field of former Liberals jockeying for a spot on One Nation’s upper house ticket at the March election. asserted
Smith → say → election
The Herald has previously reported that a conga line of former Liberal MPs are vying to run for the party next year, belying the populist party’s anti-establishment narrative. asserted
line → report → narrative
They include former federal Senator Hollie Hughes, former Warringah candidate Katherine Deves and former NSW upper house MP Lou Amato. asserted
They → include → Hughes
It marks a dramatic shift for Smith. asserted
It → mark → Smith
As recently as March, he attended a 30th anniversary celebration of Howard’s election and praised his “good friend” Matt Canavan’s elevation as federal Nationals leader, calling it “our best chance, with Angus Taylor, of getting back on top again”. asserted
he → attend → top
The influx of ex-Liberals into the party is prompting growing frustration for some of the One Nation faithful, as well as its backers. asserted
influx → prompt → faithful
Joanna Howe, a prominent anti-abortion activist, last week hit out at the influx of former politicians into One Nation, warning that letting “too many ex-Libs” in would “destroy the party”. asserted
letting → hit → party
Howe is not a member of One Nation — she donated $2000 to the NSW Liberal Party last year — but she has a large conservative following on social media, and she has conducted a series of podcast interviews with Pauline Hanson. asserted
she → donate → Hanson
She also hosted Newman at a rally in Sydney last month. asserted
She → host → Sydney
“One Nation needs to reject applicants from ex-Libs or career politicians/staffers,” she wrote. asserted
she → need → Libs
“They need real people with ordinary jobs to create a new breed of politician in Australia.” asserted
They → need → Australia
Howe was responding to comments from former Victorian Liberal candidate Colleen Harkin, who is now One Nation’s deputy leader in that state, saying the party would “not touch the abortion laws”. asserted
party → respond → laws
The party’s federal charter states the party will “roll back brutal and extreme abortion law”, including reducing gestational limits on abortion and banning sex-selective abortion. asserted
party → state → abortion
She said Newman had been rebuked after he went further than the federal party policy in his comments at her rally — saying the party wanted to see abortion rights “stopped” — but Harkin had not. asserted
Harkin → say → rally
“It takes years to build a reputation and only seconds to destroy it,” she wrote. asserted
she → take → it
Though she was referring to the Victorian election, Howe’s comments reflect a growing concern within some of the party at the influx of ex-Liberals into One Nation’s ranks. asserted
comments → refer → ranks
The exodus of Liberals to One Nation has prompted feverish speculation about the potential for further defections. asserted
exodus → prompt → defections
On Friday, right faction Liberal Tanya Davies was forced to deny she would join One Nation after she announced she would not contest the next election. asserted
she → force → election
The Herald is aware of at least one other former Liberal MP — who is still a member of the party — being linked to a potential shift. asserted
who → link → shift
Newman declined to comment on Smith’s potential candidacy as the party is still in the selection process. asserted
party → decline → process
However, he said he wanted candidates from a wide range of backgrounds. asserted
he → say → backgrounds
“The most important thing for me is that people bleed orange; that’s the No.1 criteria,” he said. asserted
he → bleed → orange
“The biggest problem we face in government is that there are too many people who are career politicians. asserted
who → face → government
It doesn’t matter if you’re an ex-Liberal or ex-National or whatever, it’s what do you bring to the party? asserted
you → matter → party
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