Bust companies revived in ‘phoenix’ deals more likely to fail again, study finds

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
Cite

Goodley, S. (2026, October 25). Bust companies revived in ‘phoenix’ deals more likely to fail again, study finds. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/oct/25/bust-companies-revived-in-phoenix-deals-more-likely-to-fail-again-study-finds

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The Guardian · collected 2026-10-25 · by Simon Goodley

Quick Summary

A Guardian-commissioned study reveals that businesses revived through "pre-pack" administrations, where insolvent companies are quickly sold to their previous management, often fail again and leave creditors with minimal repayments. The research, conducted by Turnstone Intelligence using AI analysis of over 1,700 insolvency cases from 2019, found that 44% of pre-packs involving connected parties ended in a second failure, compared to 26% for unconnected buyers. Additionally, creditors received only 1.58p per pound when payments were deferred by former owners and directors, versus 7.86p per pound when the buyer was unrelated to the previous business.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

A new study reveals that businesses revived through "phoenix" deals—where companies are liquidated to create debt-free entities—are more likely to fail again and repay less to creditors. Conducted for The Guardian by Turnstone Intelligence, the research analyzed over 1,700 administrations in 2019 using AI agents to review official documents. It found that when assets were reacquired by "connected parties" such as former directors, outcomes were significantly worse. This reinforces concerns that these deals can enable non-viable businesses to avoid debts, harming creditors including HMRC and competitors who abide by regulations. HMRC estimates that phoenixism costs taxpayers hundreds of millions of pounds annually.

Written for “Phoenix Companies And Bankruptcy Risks” on 2026-10-25, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans strongly left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans strongly left for article 105510 (high confidence, 4 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-25

Story

📰 Phoenix Companies And Bankruptcy Risks
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
34
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 34 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-25 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2419 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Simon Goodley
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The recruiter’s assets were acquired three days later by a new company, called PGGBR Ltd, also owned by Woosnam, who made an initial £10,000 payment and promised administrators he would transfer a further £600,000 via monthly £25,000 instalments over the subsequent two years.
🔮 These results support what many in the industry have long suspected and will feed the continuing debate as to whether saving these businesses is worth the impact on taxpayers and creditors.
🔮 Donald Trump’s deal with Vladimir Putin to temporarily lift sanctions on US imports of Russian diesel will have little “meaningful” impact for motorists and businesses in the US and overseas, energy and foreign policy analysts have predicted.
Also by Simon Goodley
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Guardian HM Revenue and Customs HMRC Turnstone Intelligence the University of Wolverhampton

Subjects

Guardian ORG · 2× HMRC ORG · 2× Turnstone Intelligence ORG · 2× Ben Sims PERSON · 1× European Union ORG · 1× Graham PERSON · 1× HM Revenue and Customs ORG · 1× Riz Mokal PERSON · 1× Sims PERSON · 1× the University of Wolverhampton ORG · 1×

Narrative

They reinforce a wider concern that connected-party pre-packs can allow non-viable ‘zombie’ businesses to shed their unsecured liabilities and continue trading, harming not only their creditors, including HMRC, but also competitors that continue to pay their way.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-25
🔮 These results support what many in the industry have long suspected and will feed the continuing debate as to whether saving these businesses is worth the impact on taxpayers and creditors.

Claims (34 extracted, 1 hedged)

Insolvent businesses reacquired by their previous management in “pre-pack” administrations are much more likely to fail again and tend to repay far less to creditors, research for the Guardian suggests. uncertain
research → reacquire → Guardian
The study is the latest to raise questions about the practice of “phoenixism” – accounting’s controversial art of liquidating companies to allow directors to return with a new entity, free of debts. asserted
directors → raise → debts
The process tends to involve pre-pack administrations, where a supposed corporate rescue is agreed before commencing insolvency proceedings. asserted
rescue → tend → proceedings
These orchestrated deals often leave unsecured creditors nursing large losses. asserted
deals → orchestrate → losses
HM Revenue and Customs estimates that phoenixisms cost taxpayers hundreds of millions of pounds a year. asserted
phoenixisms → estimate → pounds
Cases have included owners extracting millions of pounds in dividends and loans from businesses they subsequently arrange to buy back from administrators. asserted
they → include → administrators
The study was commissioned by the Guardian from Turnstone Intelligence, which used AI agents to read official documents relating to more than 1,700 administrations during 2019. asserted
which → commission → 2019
The research company noted much poorer outcomes when a business’s assets were reacquired by “connected parties”, such as former directors and shareholders. asserted
assets → note → directors
It found that 44% of pre-packs had resulted in a second insolvency by July 2026 when assets were bought by a connected party. asserted
assets → find → party
Just 26% of pre-packs produced a subsequent insolvency when the acquirer was unconnected to the failed company. asserted
acquirer → produce → company
Ben Sims, managing director of Turnstone Intelligence, said: “I was surprised how big the gap remains. asserted
gap → say → Intelligence
These results support what many in the industry have long suspected and will feed the continuing debate as to whether saving these businesses is worth the impact on taxpayers and creditors. asserted
saving → support → taxpayers
The data showed that connected parties appeared far more likely to be permitted to defer payments in pre-packs. asserted
parties → show → packs
A total of 198 out of 303 connected-party administrations – 65% – allowed former owners and directors to reacquire the assets via future instalments. asserted
owners → connect → instalments
For unconnected pre-packs, 28% of buyers used deferred payments. asserted
% → use → payments
Unsecured creditors, who typically include HMRC, received a return in only 23% of pre-packs involving a connected party deferring payments, with those deals paying out just 1.58p in the pound. asserted
deals → include → pound
When the buyer was unconnected, 36% of pre-pack administrations resulted in repayments to those creditors, at a rate of 7.86p in the pound. asserted
% → result → pound
“What was interesting to us was the sheer scale of losses,” Sims said. asserted
Sims → say → losses
“You would hope these deals would provide better outcomes to creditors, but we see them getting almost nothing. asserted
them → hope → nothing
The findings appear to closely mirror results from two well-known reports in the field: research by the University of Wolverhampton for the government in 2014 (Graham review) and a European Union-funded 2018 study. asserted
findings → appear → 2014
Both pointed to poorer outcomes in connected pre-pack administrations. asserted
Both → point → administrations
Those issues were compounded when the assets were reacquired by connected parties through deferred payments. asserted
assets → compound → payments
Riz Mokal, an honorary law professor at University College London who co-authored the EU study, said: “These are striking findings and are consistent with our earlier work. asserted
These → co → work
They reinforce a wider concern that connected-party pre-packs can allow non-viable ‘zombie’ businesses to shed their unsecured liabilities and continue trading, harming not only their creditors, including HMRC, but also competitors that continue to pay their way. asserted
that → reinforce → way
The methodology used by the latest researchers was broadly consistent with the earlier, EU-funded study. asserted
methodology → use → study
They used AI agents to read filings submitted over the past seven years for administrations commenced in England and Wales in 2019 – which Turnstone said was “long enough for creditor returns to settle and buyer failures to show”. asserted
failures → use → 2019
The sweep of insolvency filings identified 544 pre-pack sales in 1,738 administrations during 2019, with the study’s numbers checked by other computer models and verified by humans. asserted
numbers → identify → humans
Phoenixism is legal and its defenders say the practice can deliver better returns for creditors, with experienced directors sometimes better-placed than newcomers to salvage a failed company. asserted
directors → say → company
R3, an insolvency industry body, said the research looked only at cases that predated 2021 rules that “increased scrutiny of connected-party pre-pack sales and introduced additional safeguards and transparency requirements”. asserted
that → say → safeguards
These included requiring independent evaluators to clear sales to connected parties. asserted
These → include → parties
Caroline Sumner, chief executive of R3, said: “A connected-party pre-pack administration sale is a legitimate and regulated insolvency process overseen by licensed insolvency practitioners and subject to extensive professional and statutory requirements. asserted
sale → say → requirements
The duties of an administrator in a pre-pack administration sale are to achieve the best outcome for creditors of the company overall. asserted
duties → achieve → company
“It’s important to distinguish between phoenix activity and connected-party pre-pack administrations. asserted
It → ’ → activity
Concerns about phoenixism generally relate to businesses seeking to avoid liabilities while continuing to trade through a new entity.” asserted
businesses → relate → entity
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