Donald Trump misread Canadians but can't let go of his foolhardy 'Blame Canada' initiative

Read the original at Toronto Star ↗
Cite

Yaffe, B. (2026, October 24). Donald Trump misread Canadians but can't let go of his foolhardy 'Blame Canada' initiative. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/opinion/contributors/trump-misread-canadians-but-can-t-let-go-of-his-foolhardy-blame-canada-initiative/article_bc9dd009-4df7-463b-a3c0-81478e26ddc1.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Toronto Star · collected 2026-10-24 · by Barbara Yaffe

Quick Summary

An expert in U.S.-Canada relations, Christopher Sands, suggests that President Donald Trump's criticism of Canada has backfired, potentially bolstering support for Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and possibly prompting him to call an early election. Trump’s attacks on Canada are seen as misinformed and have strained bilateral trade relations, despite strong public sentiment among Americans favoring a friendly relationship with Canada. The article also points out that Trump's claims about financial losses to the U.S. from Canadian trade are misleading, emphasizing his tendency to exaggerate for political gain ahead of midterm elections.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-24, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Donald Trump's anti-Canadian rhetoric has backfired, bolstering domestic support for Prime Minister Mark Carney in Canada rather than weakening it. Christopher Sands, an expert in U.S.-Canada relations, says Trump misread Canadians by underestimating them. This stance has also stalled a bilateral trade deal between the two nations, increasing uncertainty and hampering business investment on both sides of the border. However, Heather Exner-Pirot from the Macdonald Laurier Institute argues that Trump's actions have pushed Canadian decision-makers to move in the right direction regarding energy and resources at a time when global demand for such commodities is high.

Written for “Donald Trump Blames Canada” on 2026-10-24, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 103878 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-24

Story

📰 Donald Trump Blames Canada
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBC News
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 14% hedged 4 of 29 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles describe different aspects of a broader issue: one focuses on the U.S. Embassy's concern about potential Canadian interference in U.S. elections, while the other discusses expert analysis of Trump's misreading of Canadians and its impact.”
National Post
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 9% hedged 3 of 35 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles discuss different aspects of U.S.-Canada relations and the impact of Republican views versus Trump's misreading of Canadians.”
The Hindu
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 3 of 31 📰 publisher trust 77
“The articles describe different aspects of the relationship between Canada and the U.S., not the same specific incident.”
Times of India
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 13% hedged 4 of 30 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles discuss different aspects of US-Canada relations and do not focus on the same specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
38
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 38 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
64/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-24 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Toronto Star · 9499 article(s) · 26 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 26 correction(s)
2026-10-24
Correction
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Barbara Yaffe
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Sands posits that Carney might even be moved soon to call an election in order to score a bigger majority government than he has now.
🔮 Trump has decided, the U.S. will sell Europe its weaponry, rather than donate it, as former president Joe Biden did.
2026-10-22 · assertive framing · What’s with Trump? Why would he hug the Russian bear?
🔮 Ontario is well positioned to insulate itself from potential geographical problems that would result from Alberta or Quebec opting to quit the federation; Canada’s most populous province does not have to fret about getting cut off from the rest of the country.
Also by Barbara Yaffe
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Americans Canada Canadian Canadians U.S.

Subjects

Canada GPE · 24× Trump PERSON · 15× U.S. GPE · 11× Americans NORP · 4× Canadian NORP · 3× Canadians NORP · 3× Sands PERSON · 3× Carney PERSON · 2× Christopher Sands PERSON · 1× Mark Carney PERSON · 1×

Narrative

On the other hand, as the Macdonald Laurier Institute’s Heather Exner-Pirot, pointed out in the Hub last August, Trump has lit a much-needed fire under Canadian decision makers: “Canada is moving in the right direction when it comes to energy and resources.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-24
🔮 Sands posits that Carney might even be moved soon to call an election in order to score a bigger majority government than he has now.

Claims (38 extracted, 1 hedged)

What the presidential rants have most clearly accomplished is to bolster domestic support for Prime Minister Mark Carney, Christopher Sands, an expert in Canada-U. S. relations based in Washington DC, said recently. asserted
Sands → accomplish → DC
Sands posits that Carney might even be moved soon to call an election in order to score a bigger majority government than he has now. uncertain
he → posit → government
Sands told his Houston, Texas, interviewer that Trump misread Canadians. asserted
Trump → tell → Canadians
In fact Trump is a champion at misreading people and situations. asserted
Trump → misread → people
Referring to Canadians, Sands has concluded that Trump “underestimated them.” asserted
Trump → refer → them
Obviously, another thing Trump has achieved is to stymie a bilateral trade deal, boosting uncertainty on both sides of the border, hampering investment and making life miserable for anyone trying to do business in either country. asserted
life → achieve → country
On the other hand, as the Macdonald Laurier Institute’s Heather Exner-Pirot, pointed out in the Hub last August, Trump has lit a much-needed fire under Canadian decision makers: “Canada is moving in the right direction when it comes to energy and resources. asserted
it → point → energy
And propitiously it comes at a time when the world is particularly hungry for such resources. asserted
world → come → resources
“Canada is a commodity-exporting country, and right now commodities are ripping.” asserted
commodities → export → ?
The “blame Canada” initiative was foolhardy from the get-go. asserted
initiative → blame → go
Americans tend to like Canadians and bear them no ill will. asserted
Americans → tend → will
No one in the U.S. was pushing to have Lake Ontario renamed. asserted
Ontario → push → U.S.
And Canada, beyond some tariff retaliation, did not take any hostile action that would justify Trump’s relatively sudden vilification of a country that has long been a loyal ally. asserted
that → take → country
As recently as August, the Angus Reid Institute found nearly 80 per cent of Americans had a favourable view of Canada, and 78 per cent believe the U.S. should approach Canada as a friend or ally. asserted
U.S. → find → friend
(On the Canadian side, meanwhile, nearly 50 per cent had an unfavourable or very unfavourable view of Americans.) asserted
cent → have → Americans
The Trump tirades against Canada feature an assortment of lies, and have been significantly ramping up as the Nov. 3 midterm elections approach and he conducts more rallies. asserted
he → feature → rallies
Apparently cognizant of his constituents’ fondness for Canada, Trump always stresses how much he “loves” the Canadian people. asserted
he → stress → people
It’s our political leaders that are the problem. asserted
that → ’ → ?
Justin Trudeau, he asserted, was “a loser.” asserted
he → assert → ?
Lately, he has been grousing that Canada has been taking advantage of the U.S., suggesting the U.S. is paying $90 billion a year for the care and feeding of Canada. asserted
U.S. → grouse → Canada
Money, he says, Canada turns around and uses to finance its universal health-care system. asserted
Canada → say → system
Trump fails a fact check here. asserted
Trump → fail → check
That $90 billion figure is a distortion of the bilateral trade balance that portrays a trade deficit with Canada as if it were a direct cash transfer or loss. asserted
it → portray → Canada
It ranges in any given year from $33 billion to $55 billion. asserted
It → range → billion
Canada funds its Medicare system through federal and provincial tax revenues from its own residents. asserted
Canada → fund → residents
Another Trump theme is that Canada needs the U.S. but the U.S. doesn’t need Canada. asserted
U.S. → need → Canada
He insists Canada relies on the U.S. for 90 per cent of its trade. asserted
Canada → insist → trade
And if Trump has no need of Canada, why is he trying so assiduously to make it a 51st state? asserted
it → have → Canada
In any event Americans aren’t buying what Trump is selling regarding Canada. asserted
Trump → buy → Canada
So, why does he continue beating the drum? asserted
he → continue → drum
It appears he feels personal animosity toward Canada. asserted
he → appear → Canada
Trump is known to resent countries he perceives as taking advantage of the U.S. and it is true, Canada has long been free riding on the robust defence capability of the U.S. asserted
Canada → know → U.S.
That has changed now, but Trump cannot seem to move on. asserted
Trump → change → ?
Trump also believes strongly in American territorial expansion. asserted
Trump → believe → expansion
He sees Canada as a genuine impediment to his goal of gaining territory. asserted
He → see → territory
This is part of his aspiration to have the U.S. dominate the Western Hemisphere. asserted
U.S. → dominate → Hemisphere
Because Trump is so inflexible when it comes to his policy agenda, his posture regarding Canada is likely to persist at least until the day he leaves office in early 2029. asserted
he → come → 2029
If he leaves office. asserted
he → leave → office
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support