Voters in 2 Democratic strongholds could ban transgender girls from girls school sports

Read the original at Toronto Star ↗
Cite

Cooper, J. J., & Mulvihill, G. (2026, October 24). Voters in 2 Democratic strongholds could ban transgender girls from girls school sports. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/news/world/united-states/voters-in-2-democratic-strongholds-could-ban-transgender-girls-from-girls-school-sports/article_a19a5205-18b5-5140-a7de-50a25b156760.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Toronto Star · collected 2026-10-24 · by Jonathan J. Cooper, Geoff Mulvihill

Quick Summary

In Colorado and Washington, activists are bypassing state legislatures to place ballot measures that would ban transgender girls from participating in female school sports. This is the first time such a proposal will be decided by voters rather than lawmakers. With polls showing significant support for these bans, advocates see it as a national test case for future efforts in other states where similar legislation has been blocked.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-24, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Voters in Colorado and Washington, two traditionally Democratic states, could soon decide on ballot measures that would ban transgender girls from participating in female sports competitions. Activists have bypassed state lawmakers to place these proposals directly before voters, marking the first time such issues will be decided by popular vote rather than legislative action. This move comes as some national Democratic leaders are reconsidering their stance on transgender rights, particularly concerning sports participation, and polls indicate public support for such bans. If passed, these measures could pave the way for similar initiatives in other states where lawmakers have resisted enacting such prohibitions. Twenty-seven states, predominantly those with Republican leadership, already prohibit transgender women from competing in female sports categories. Proponents argue that maintaining separate spaces for women and girls is crucial to preserving fairness and safety.

Written for “Transgender Girls In School Sports Ban Votes” on 2026-10-24, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence medium
Leaning: leans left for article 103870 (medium confidence, 5 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-24

Story

📰 Transgender Girls In School Sports Ban Votes
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
51
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
4%
2 of 51 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
64/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-24 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Toronto Star · 9499 article(s) · 26 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 26 correction(s)
2026-10-24
Correction
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Jonathan J. Cooper
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 At a time when some Democratic leaders nationwide are recalibrating their approach to transgender issues, particularly sports, and polls show Americans generally back the bans, supporters are optimistic they will pass and open the door to similar efforts in other places where lawmakers have blocked bans.
🔮 Now, many like Martinez are souring on the president and his party, which could upend the balance of power in Washington in the Nov. 3 elections.
🔮 President Donald Trump’s plan to paint a 19th-century historic landmark building next to the White House would diminish the historic character of the White House complex, the Trump administration concluded in a draft environmental assessment published Friday.
🔮 The U.S. National Security Agency and other military intelligence and cybersecurity forces will guard election systems during the November midterms, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Monday.
🔮 The acute concerns are adding to a bad political environment that may be worsening for Trump and his Republican Party as early voting gets underway in the November midterm elections.
🔮 During a deposition in July, Sinema described their sexual encounters, testifying the relationship became sexual on May 27, 2024, during a trip to Napa, California.
Also by Jonathan J. Cooper
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 7 articles by Jonathan J. Cooper →
Geoff Mulvihill
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 At a time when some Democratic leaders nationwide are recalibrating their approach to transgender issues, particularly sports, and polls show Americans generally back the bans, supporters are optimistic they will pass and open the door to similar efforts in other places where lawmakers have blocked bans.
🔮 Log in Starting this January, new work mandates for select Medicaid recipients will take effect nationwide under President Donald Trump's major 2025 tax and policy legislation, with a group of Republican-governed states adopting measures far stricter than federally required.
🔮 Advocates say that could create problems, especially for new applicants to the joint state-federal health insurance program for lower-income people.
🔮 Advocates say that could create problems, especially for new applicants to the joint state-federal health insurance program for lower-income people.
🔮 NYU agreed to pay the federal government $8.5 million and UPMC agreed to pay $950,000 in the deals, which followed similar settlements reached since May with Cleveland Clinic, Connecticut Children’s Hospital, Mount Sinai Health System in New York and Texas Children’s Hospital.
Also by Geoff Mulvihill
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 6 articles by Geoff Mulvihill →

Topics

Colorado Democratic KALAMA Republican Wash.

Subjects

Democratic NORP · 3× Colorado GPE · 2× Republican NORP · 2× Americans NORP · 1× Chris Melody Fields Figueredo PERSON · 1× KALAMA GPE · 1× Republicans NORP · 1× Wash. GPE · 1× Washington GPE · 1× the Ballot Initiative Strategy Center ORG · 1×

Narrative

“Women have fought for Title IX and our own categories and it’s very important that we keep the dignity of that, and let women have their own sports and their own spaces to be safe and completely fair,” she said, referencing the federal law that prohibits discrimination based on sex in education programs and activities, including athletics.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-24
🔮 At a time when some Democratic leaders nationwide are recalibrating their approach to transgender issues, particularly sports, and polls show Americans generally back the bans, supporters are optimistic they will pass and open the door to similar efforts in other places where lawmakers have blocked bans.

Claims (51 extracted, 2 hedged)

Colorado and Washington are reliably Democratic states where elected officials have rejected moves to ban transgender women and girls from female sports competitions. asserted
officials → elect → competitions
Now activists have gone around lawmakers to put proposed bans on both states’ ballots. asserted
activists → go → ballots
At a time when some Democratic leaders nationwide are recalibrating their approach to transgender issues, particularly sports, and polls show Americans generally back the bans, supporters are optimistic they will pass and open the door to similar efforts in other places where lawmakers have blocked bans. asserted
lawmakers → recalibrate → bans
Though the issue has been debated in many legislatures, this is the first time it’s going to voters. asserted
it → debate → voters
“What is happening in 2026 is a testing ground for the future,” said Chris Melody Fields Figueredo, executive director of the Ballot Initiative Strategy Center, which supports LGBTQ+ rights. asserted
which → happen → rights
Twenty-seven states — including all where Republicans control both the legislature and governor’s office — already have such laws. asserted
Republicans → include → laws
The efforts are billed as a way to protect women and girls and keep separate spaces for them, tapping into a concern that’s gained momentum. asserted
that → bill → momentum
President Donald Trump has taken steps to roll back transgender rights. asserted
Trump → take → rights
The Supreme Court has upheld state sports bans. asserted
Court → uphold → bans
A June poll from Quinnipiac University found that about 7 in 10 registered voters think transgender women and girls should not be allowed to play on female sports teams. asserted
women → find → teams
About one-quarter think they should. asserted
they → think → ?
Democrats are divided, with about half saying transgender women and girls should be allowed and about half saying they should not. asserted
they → say → ?
Robert Preuhs, a professor of political science at Metropolitan State University of Denver, said the absence of public polls on Colorado’s ballot measure, which also covers college sports, makes it hard to predict whether it will pass. asserted
it → say → sports
“It’s probably going to get more support than some of the Republican candidates that will run,” he said. asserted
he → go → candidates
Since transgender restrictions gained traction this decade, states with Democratic-led governors’ offices and legislatures generally have rejected proposals such as banning transgender people from the bathrooms that match their gender identity and restricting gender-affirming care. asserted
that → gain → care
Most Republican-led states have adopted those policies. asserted
states → lead → policies
In addition to the two blue-state questions, a measure in Arizona would broaden an existing ban to include private schools, and one in Nebraska would add an existing state law to the state constitution. asserted
one → broaden → constitution
The argument has been framed around fairness There’s not a clear consensus on whether transgender women and girls have a competitive advantage. asserted
women → frame → advantage
Factors include the age of the athlete, the sport, whether the athlete went through male puberty and how long they’ve received hormone therapy. asserted
they → include → therapy
But the idea that girls are being cheated is personal for some athletes. asserted
girls → cheat → athletes
Ahnaleigh Wilson, a 17-year-old junior at Eastmont High School, about 25 miles (40 kilometers) north of Seattle, has been speaking out against allowing transgender girls to compete in girls’ sports since she was in junior high. asserted
she → speak → high
She said she’d won all her 1,600-meter races in seventh and eighth grade — until she finished second to a transgender athlete in a major meet. asserted
she → say → meet
“I knew it wasn’t right and it wasn’t fair,” she said. asserted
she → know → ?
Wilson said three other transgender athletes she’s competed against since then placed better in girls races than they would have with the same times against boys. asserted
they → say → boys
“Women have fought for Title IX and our own categories and it’s very important that we keep the dignity of that, and let women have their own sports and their own spaces to be safe and completely fair,” she said, referencing the federal law that prohibits discrimination based on sex in education programs and activities, including athletics. asserted
that → fight → athletics
Opponents say excluding transgender girls is also unfair. asserted
excluding → say → girls
“They will say that they want to protect kids and in particular, young girls,” said Nadine Bridges, executive director of One Colorado, which is leading the opposition to the measure there, “but I don’t understand how you can protect kids and discriminate against kids at the same time.” asserted
you → say → time
The number of transgender girls in school sports is believed to be a sliver of the total participants. asserted
number → believe → participants
Neither Colorado nor Washington has an official count. asserted
Colorado → have → count
Let’s Go Washington, which is behind the measure in that state, says it’s counted 16 such athletes and that there could be more. uncertain
it → let → athletes
The Washington Interscholastic Activities Association has counted about 101,000 girls in sports that it oversees — a figure that double-counts girls who play in multiple sports. asserted
who → count → sports
The issue crosses party lines — and that may be the idea uncertain
that → cross → lines
Imara Jones, an advocate who runs a website that features the stories of transgender people, said the issue is attractive for conservatives because some Democrats agree with them. asserted
Democrats → run → them
Hedge fund manager Brian Heywood is funding Let’s Go Washington, which is also behind two other measures. asserted
which → fund → measures
One would expand parent access to school social work and counseling records for their children and one would repeal a newly adopted tax on incomes over $1 million. asserted
one → expand → million
Western Washington University political scientist Todd Donovan said Let’s Go is hoping that voters supporting the transgender sports ban would also favor overturning the tax. asserted
voters → say → tax
Tracy Flint of Ridgefield, Washington, a Democrat and former graphic artist, said she’s wrestling with how to vote. asserted
she → say → Ridgefield
“It’s new to my brain, so it’s a really tough one for me,” she said. asserted
she → ’ → me
Her husband, Dave Flint, 60, a former Republican who opposes Trump and now votes for Democrats, lamented that an issue affecting so few people has become such a national controversy. asserted
issue → oppose → people
“But I guess you still have to address it,” he said. asserted
he → guess → it
…and 11 more, not listed.
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