"Even the most carefully designed models, which dutifully consider not only how to forecast each state but also how to calibrate the degree of uncertainty in the forecast, will have trouble evaluating the impact of a once-in-a-century pandemic like in 2020 or a major party switching candidates midstream like in 2024."
Framing: assertive ·
First seen: 2026-09-05 ·
Last seen: 2026-09-05 ·
Spread: 1 articles