"Reeves et al argue against this interpretation in their paper:
That the poor discrimination of the baseline model carries so small a penalty in terms of RMSE is due in part to specific features of the NFL (e.g., salary caps) that ensure that most games are played between closely matched teams, and hence are decided with probabilities close to 50%."
Framing: assertive ·
First seen: 2026-08-20 ·
Last seen: 2026-08-20 ·
Spread: 1 articles