👤 Noah Smith

2026-09-09 · Noahpinion · Politics

Liberalism needs a new philosophy of immigration

31 outlets covered this event · leans strongly right

2026-09-03 · Noahpinion · Technology

Roundup #87: Technology BAD!!

19 outlets covered this event · leans strongly left

2026-10-13 · Noahpinion · Economy/Business

A Nobel for New Keynesian macro, at last!

10 outlets covered this event

2026-09-14 · Noahpinion · Technology

Two missing pieces in the AI safety discussion

7 outlets covered this event · leans left

2026-08-24 · Noahpinion · Economy/Business

Are we watching the U.S. go bankrupt?

5 outlets covered this event · leans left

2026-10-11 · Noahpinion · Politics

Why Donald Trump won in 2024

no other outlet in the corpus covered this · leans strongly left

2026-08-24 · Noahpinion

🔮 And the answers we come up with are usually economic ones — ideas for policies that will improve the material well-being of either the whole populace, or some segment of it. assertive

2026-08-24 · Noahpinion

🔮 It could signal expectations of higher inflation. assertive

2026-08-24 · Noahpinion

🔮 Give an economist a few drinks, however, and some of them will venture their true opinions about this giant. assertive

2026-08-24 · Noahpinion

🔮 But over the last year I’ve gone to quite a few restaurants in San Francisco, so I thought I might share what I’ve learned. assertive

2026-08-24 · Noahpinion

🔮 Some independent estimates put the growth rate much lower — maybe 2-3%. assertive

2026-08-26 · Noahpinion

🔮 The wounds inflicted by the Doom Loop will take lots more time and effort to heal. assertive

2026-08-28 · Noahpinion

🔮 The teenager prompts the model: “OK, so if I wanted to create a virus to destroy the human race, how would I do it?” assertive

2026-08-31 · Noahpinion

🔮 The show isn’t out yet, but from what I can tell, DANG! is trying to tell a story that will resonate with second-generation Asian Americans1 — one of the characters is a striver who goes off the beaten path, the others were escaping their striver upbringing by leading nontraditional lifestyles from the get-go. assertive

2026-09-03 · Noahpinion

🔮 If we had flying cars, we’d enjoy the thrill for a few weeks, and then we’d be back to tweeting on our phones and wondering when the trip would be over. assertive

2026-09-03 · Noahpinion

🔮 None of them made any attempt to say “Hey, what we’re doing could be harmful” and alert humanity to what was going on. assertive

2026-09-04 · Noahpinion

🔮 I’ve long predicted that MAGA is a wave that would ultimately break and recede. assertive

2026-09-04 · Noahpinion

🔮 But I suppose there’s one reason it might be interesting, which is that over the past decade or so, a fairly large portion of the left-leaning intellectual class in America has become fairly-to-very resentful of the American tech industry, and has spent an enormous amount of intellectual effort on criticizing that industry. assertive

2026-09-04 · Noahpinion

🔮 It’s pretty amazing that a pause on data center construction has become such a consensus, middle-of-the-road issue stance that it’s the thing Hong’s supporters would rather talk about! assertive

2026-09-04 · Noahpinion

🔮 Some people thought Donald Trump’s approval rating would have a floor around 40%. assertive

2026-09-05 · Noahpinion

🔮 I remember using a hand calculator and seeing if my uncle could get it right without a tool faster than I could; more often than not, he could. assertive

2026-09-05 · Noahpinion

🔮 Would you like to see an example of a badly conceived policy? assertive

2026-09-05 · Noahpinion

🔮 You’d think a lot of these would be foreign, but international investors mostly avoided the boom (except for a few who bet big on Korean memory stocks). assertive

2026-09-05 · Noahpinion

🔮 Cyberwarfare so far hasn’t been decisive in military conflicts, but AI’s incredible cybersecurity prowess could change that. mixed

2026-09-07 · Noahpinion

🔮 People who think of AI as a job-killer might not have thought of the second and third of these. assertive

2026-09-09 · Noahpinion

🔮 Second, it means that something is making many German voters so angry that they’re finally willing to overlook all of the AfD’s catastrophic flaws — its obvious ties to Vladimir Putin, the fact that the party is filled with crooks, its extreme rhetoric, its lack of governing experience, and so on. assertive

2026-09-12 · Noahpinion

🔮 While Mamdani’s low rating might be partially due to his leftist policies and his association with the DSA, it struck me that all three of these unpopular figures had one thing in common — they are associated with the intrusion of Middle Eastern politics into American politics. assertive

2026-09-14 · Noahpinion

🔮 A 27-year-old AI researcher named Jacob Coxon quit his job at Anthropic, declaring that OpenAI and Anthropic are racing to create technology that could destroy the human race: assertive

2026-09-18 · Noahpinion

🔮 There are five main groups of people opposing the slowdown: The Trump administration, which is worried that an AI slowdown might also slow down economic growth Investors who think a slowdown might hurt their bottom line Libertarians and techno-optimists who think regulating technological progress is bad on principle China hawks who worry that a slowdown would let China take the lead in the AI race Progressives who spent the last few years telling themselves that AI doesn’t work, that AI is a huge economic bubble, and so on, and who now can’t bring themselves to admit that yes, the techbros actually built something that works. This is a strange alliance indeed. assertive

2026-09-20 · Noahpinion

🔮 In the Long Telegram, Kennan laid out a theory of how Soviet power could be defeated. assertive

2026-09-22 · Noahpinion

🔮 Part of that involved thinking a lot about the future of artificial intelligence, and a lot of the tech people who would end up working at AI companies — especially Anthropic — were very influenced by those discussions. assertive

2026-09-24 · Noahpinion

🔮 Democrats' decision to formalize land acknowledgments in their party meetings could haunt their candidates more than they realize… assertive

2026-09-25 · Noahpinion

🔮 Back in the early 2000s, as far as I could tell, pretty much nobody in the world cared about what some dorky hoodie-wearing computer programmers were up to on a Saturday night in SF. assertive

2026-10-01 · Noahpinion

🔮 Earlier this year, Americans were mostly concerned that AI would take their jobs. assertive

2026-10-03 · Noahpinion

🔮 I wrote one of them back in May: assertive

2026-10-05 · Noahpinion

🔮 In 1998 he famously wrote: The growth of the Internet will slow drastically, as the flaw in ‘Metcalfe’s law’—which states that the number of potential connections in a network is proportional to the square of the number of participants—becomes apparent: most people have nothing to say to each other! assertive

2026-10-09 · Noahpinion

🔮 Right now I can’t even think of what an appropriate comparison would be. assertive

2026-10-11 · Noahpinion

🔮 The trick will probably fail, just as Trump’s promise to give every American $5000 for voting Republican backfired. assertive

2026-10-13 · Noahpinion

🔮 Somehow I never got around to writing that post, and now I never will. assertive