More Russians are settling in the EU with each year of war in Ukraine

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Cite

Doval, A. (2026, October 21). More Russians are settling in the EU with each year of war in Ukraine. Euronews. https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/21/more-russians-are-settling-in-the-eu-with-each-year-of-war-in-ukraine

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Euronews · collected 2026-10-21 · by Alexei Doval

Quick Summary

Eurostat data reveal that as of the end of 2025, there were 876,600 Russian nationals holding valid EU residence permits, marking a 13.6% increase from 771,800 Russians residing legally in the EU at the start of 2022. Germany hosts the largest community with 218,000 residents, followed by Spain (116,800) and Estonia (78,400). The surge is attributed to Russia's invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, prompting significant migration waves driven by security concerns and fear of conscription.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-21, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of the end of 2025, 876,600 Russian nationals held valid EU residence permits, marking a 13.6% increase from the previous year, according to Eurostat data. This surge began after Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in early 2022. Germany leads with 218,000 residents, followed by Spain (116,800) and Estonia (78,400). Southern European countries like Spain have seen the sharpest growth, issuing permits to an additional 44,400 Russians over this period. Meanwhile, some EU states like Latvia, Estonia, and the Czech Republic have recorded significant drops due to stringent migration policies and security concerns.

Written for “War In Ukraine” on 2026-10-21, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
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The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans right (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans right for article 95811 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-21

Story

📰 War In Ukraine
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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Claims extracted
39
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
3 of 39 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
60/100
Euronews's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-21 · how these are computed

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Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Euronews · 943 article(s) · 1 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 1 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Alexei Doval
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 There is no image of the future, no understanding of what will happen in six months or a year," said Anastasia Burakova, a lawyer and founder of Kovcheg, a legal assistance project for Russians abroad.
🔮 The patient was put on a ventilator, but her life could not be saved.
Also by Alexei Doval
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Estonia Eurostat Russia Russian Spain

Subjects

Russian NORP · 10× Russia GPE · 4× Estonia GPE · 3× Georgia GPE · 3× Spain GPE · 3× Eurostat ORG · 2× Germany GPE · 2× Russians NORP · 2× Serbia GPE · 2× Ukraine GPE · 2×

Narrative

Rather than competing for local jobs, most Russian migrants have worked remotely or set up their own businesses. In IT, up to 41% have maintained income from foreign clients, while in the media sector around 21% have done so, channelling money into host economies through taxes and everyday spending.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-21
🔮 There is no image of the future, no understanding of what will happen in six months or a year," said Anastasia Burakova, a lawyer and founder of Kovcheg, a legal assistance project for Russians abroad.
2026-10-21 · Euronews
More Russians are settling in the EU with each year of war in Ukraine · assertive framing

Claims (39 extracted, 3 hedged)

Eurostat data show 876,600 Russian nationals held valid EU residence permits at the end of 2025, with Germany, Spain and Estonia hosting the largest communities. asserted
Germany → show → communities
The number of Russian citizens legally residing in the EU has grown by 105,000 since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, reaching 876,600 by the end of 2025, an analysis of Eurostat data shows. asserted
analysis → reside → data
The figure represents a 13.6% rise from the 771,800 Russians holding valid temporary or permanent residence permits across EU member states in 2021. asserted
figure → represent → 2021
Germany hosts the largest community, with 218,000 residents, followed by Spain (116,800) and Estonia (78,400). asserted
Germany → host → Spain
Southern Europe has seen the sharpest growth: Spain issued residence permits to 44,400 Russian nationals over the period, France 13,700, while Cyprus and Portugal saw their Russian-born populations increase 2.5 and 3.5 times, respectively. asserted
populations → see → period
Several EU states have moved in the opposite direction. asserted
states → move → direction
Latvia, Estonia and the Czech Republic have recorded the largest drops in Russian residents, driven by tough migration policies and, in the Baltic states, security concerns over large Russian-speaking communities. asserted
Latvia → record → communities
Significant communities have also formed outside the EU. asserted
communities → form → EU
In Serbia the Russian population rose from roughly 5,000 before the invasion to 61,900 by the end of 2025. asserted
population → rise → 2025
By spring of this year, Kazakhstan had absorbed more than 107,000 Russian migrants, while Armenia and Georgia hosted 43,500 and 70,000, respectively. asserted
Armenia → absorb → 43,500
Turkey drew large numbers in the immediate post-invasion period but later tightened residency rules. asserted
Turkey → draw → rules
By June, valid Russian permits there had fallen to 75,900, half the 2023 peak. asserted
permits → fall → 75,900
Researchers tracking emigration patterns have identified at least four distinct waves since February 2022. asserted
Researchers → track → February
The most recent, running from this spring, has been sparked by renewed claims of impending mobilisation for Moscow's all-out war in Ukraine. uncertain
recent → run → Ukraine
"Everyone now understands that they have no future in Russia. asserted
they → understand → Russia
There is no image of the future, no understanding of what will happen in six months or a year," said Anastasia Burakova, a lawyer and founder of Kovcheg, a legal assistance project for Russians abroad. asserted
Burakova → be → Russians
"What is more, there are risks linked to mobilisation and conscription, which people feel very personally. asserted
people → be → which
" 'Now I have nothing and I feel free' asserted
I → feel → nothing
Ivan, 19, left Russia this spring to avoid conscription and now works in construction in Yerevan, posting videos on YouTube. asserted
Ivan → leave → YouTube
"I thought: this is it, this is life, everything is going the way it should," he said in a YouTube video. asserted
he → think → video
"Now I'm sitting on a bench in Yerevan, with no title and no steady job. asserted
I → sit → title
Back then I was a manager and felt trapped. asserted
I → feel → ?
Now I have nothing, and I feel free. asserted
I → have → nothing
Surveys by independent researchers show the Russian emigrees include predominantly young couples, often without children, with both partners under 36. asserted
emigrees → show → 36
They tend to have high levels of education and are concentrated in professions either vulnerable to political repression — journalists, human rights workers, political analysts — or in high international demand, particularly IT, engineering and academia. asserted
They → tend → demand
Around 20% of those who left do not hold university degrees. asserted
who → leave → degrees
Some 18% are studying or plan to study abroad. asserted
% → study → ?
They fall into three broad groups: those who have settled and expect to remain abroad long-term, those who have already moved once and are preparing to relocate again, and those still in Russia who intend to leave within six months. asserted
who → fall → months
In Armenia and Georgia, the sudden influx of people and capital contributed to GDP growth of between 9% and 9.4% at its peak between 2022 and 2024, according to analysis published by the CASE Center research institute. uncertain
influx → contribute → institute
Average Russian household incomes in Serbia ran to around €3,500 per month against a local average of €900. asserted
incomes → run → 900
The effect has since moderated as host economies adapted, with growth settling back to 5–7% annually. asserted
growth → moderate → %
Rather than competing for local jobs, most Russian migrants have worked remotely or set up their own businesses. In IT, up to 41% have maintained income from foreign clients, while in the media sector around 21% have done so, channelling money into host economies through taxes and everyday spending. asserted
% → compete → taxes
Meanwhile, Russian authorities and independent researchers have documented some returns, but the scale remains disputed. asserted
scale → document → returns
The independent OutRush sociological project estimated that no more than 8% of emigrants had returned to Russia by summer 2024, with around 5% more intending to do so. asserted
% → estimate → summer
The Institute of Applied Economic Research at RANEPA, a state-linked academic institution, put the overall return rate from the 2022–2023 wave at roughly 10%. asserted
Institute → link → %
Estimates from consulting firms and recruitment agencies are considerably higher, ranging from 16% among IT workers to 40–45% of those who left at the peak. asserted
who → range → peak
Commonly cited reasons for returning include difficulty finding work, legal status problems and the closure of relocated Russian businesses. asserted
reasons → cite → businesses
Russia's own official resettlement programme recorded a historic low in 2025, drawing only 26,700 people into the country. asserted
programme → record → country
Euronews could not independently verify Russian government data. uncertain
Euronews → verify → data
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