Bettors flood market with pick of next press secretary - and it’s an under-the-radar choice

Read the original at The Independent ↗
Cite

Scott, O. (2026, October 21). Bettors flood market with pick of next press secretary - and it’s an under-the-radar choice. The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-zacharia-karoline-leavitt-press-secretary-b3070471.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Independent · collected 2026-10-21 · by Owen Scott

Quick Summary

Bettors at Kalshi predict Anna Kelly as the frontrunner for President Trump's next White House press secretary, with odds of around 15% as of October 21. Scott Jennings follows closely behind with 13%, while Elizabeth Pipko, a former model and 2016 campaign worker, is seen as an underdog candidate at 6%. The article highlights how these predictions reflect the speculative nature surrounding Trump's staffing decisions following recent changes in the position.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-21, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 21, 2026, Kalshi bettors predict that President Trump's next White House press secretary could be an under-the-radar choice. The president has had two press secretaries in his second term, with Katie Zacharia lasting less than a week before being replaced. Anna Kelly, the current principal deputy press secretary, is currently the frontrunner according to bettors. However, Elizabeth Pipko, a former model and 2016 Trump campaign worker, has emerged as an unexpected contender, though she only has a 15% chance of securing the position. Scott Jennings, a CNN pundit, also remains in contention with a 13% probability.

Written for “Betting On Next Press Secretary” on 2026-10-21, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 95755 · logged 2026-10-21

Story

📰 Betting On Next Press Secretary
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 31% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
TIME
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 1 of 14 📰 publisher trust 59
“Article A reports on Katie Zacharia leaving her position as Press Secretary after five days, while Article B discusses betting predictions for Trump's next press secretary following Zacharia's departure.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 15 📰 publisher trust 59
“While both articles discuss potential replacements for Katie Zacharia as White House Press Secretary, Article A specifically mentions George Santos pitching himself for the position after her departure, while Article B discusses betting trends predicting an under-the-radar choice without naming specific individuals.”
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 23 📰 publisher trust 69
“The articles discuss potential replacements for Katie Zacharia after her short stint as White House press secretary but describe different aspects of the situation and do not refer to a single specific occurrence.”
Zeteo
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 13
“The articles discuss different aspects of events surrounding Trump's press secretaries but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 4 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles discuss potential replacements for Katie Zacharia as White House press secretary but occur on different dates and detail separate aspects of the situation.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
16
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
31%
5 of 16 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-21 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 2742 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Owen Scott
65 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Bettors have predicted that President Trump's pick for his next White House press secretary could be an under-the-radar choice.
🔮 Alaisha shared a GoFundMe campaign launched to raise money for Thelma’s seven children, including 21 year-old Shaunia, who will step in as head of the household, and three minors, Symphony, Evelyn, and Max.
🔮 Despite Trump’s confidence in his record, the poll found that voters would rather see the next Congress controlled by the Democratic Party.
🔮 Vasquez added, “It could choke somebody.
🔮 “Katie Hobbs is someone who could not pass the test,” Trump claimed.
🔮 Six Flags Over Georgia is expected to reopen after a 42-year-old teacher died after an incident on the park’s famous Goliath roller coaster.
🔮 Chandler said that she had been given a steroid injection by one worker, who said that they would return shortly.
🔮 According to the criminal complaint, the family checked into the Great Wolf Lodge on September 21 and were set to check out Tuesday.
🔮 The commissioner of the Social Security Administration says that the program will last for another 90 years.
🔮 Xu is set to appear in Alameda County Superior Court on October 12, over seven years after the two recorded poisonings took place.
Also by Owen Scott
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 65 articles by Owen Scott →

Topics

CNN Independent Independent Membership Kalshi White House

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 7× Zacharia PERSON · 4× Kalshi PERSON · 3× Pipko PERSON · 3× Jennings PERSON · 2× Leavitt PERSON · 2× White House ORG · 2× Independent NORP · 1× Independent Membership ORG · 1× Katie Zacharia PERSON · 1×

Narrative

The commander-in-chief has had two press secretaries so far in his second term, although the most recent person to fill the high-profile role - Katie Zacharia - lasted less than a week.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-21
🔮 Bettors have predicted that President Trump's pick for his next White House press secretary could be an under-the-radar choice.

Claims (16 extracted, 5 hedged)

Bettors have predicted that President Trump's pick for his next White House press secretary could be an under-the-radar choice. uncertain
pick → predict → radar
The commander-in-chief has had two press secretaries so far in his second term, although the most recent person to fill the high-profile role - Katie Zacharia - lasted less than a week. asserted
person → have → role
The top two candidates are already well known: Anna Kelly, the current White House principal deputy press secretary and CNN’s MAGA pundit Scott Jennings. asserted
candidates → know → ?
However, a third less familiar name has been thrown into the mix - Elizabeth Pipko, a former model who worked on Trump’s 2016 campaign. asserted
who → throw → campaign
Kelly is currently the frontrunner to succeed Zacharia, according to Kalshi bettors. uncertain
Kelly → succeed → bettors
They say the former beauty queen has a 15 percent chance of taking the role, as of October 21, although she was already passed over once with Zacharia’s appointment. asserted
she → say → appointment
Kalshi bettors say Jennings has a 13 percent, and was widely considered to be favorite for the role when Trump sought to replace then-outgoing Secretary Karoline Leavitt and reportedly privately campaigned for the position. However, despite reported backing from Trump’s chief of staff Susie Wiles, Jennings was also passed over in favor of the short-lived Zacharia. uncertain
Jennings → say → Zacharia
That leaves Pipko in third place, though with six percent she is somewhat of wildcard. asserted
she → leave → wildcard
Pipko’s husband, Darren Centinello, worked for Trump during the latter’s 2016 and 2020 presidential campaigns. asserted
husband → work → campaigns
She is also known for writing a book named Finding My Place: Making My Parents’ American Dream Come True. asserted
Dream → know → Place
The book tells readers about her upbringing and her Russian-Jewish parents’ emigration from the then-Soviet Union to the United States. asserted
book → tell → States
Pipko has often spoken publicly about her support for Trump, taking to social media around two weeks after he won the 2024 presidential election to laud his “resilience.” asserted
he → speak → resilience
“I can only hope that those who may not have supported President Trump, still find a way to be inspired by his determination and resilience,” she wrote on Instagram. uncertain
she → hope → Instagram
“What he has done, and what he has had to withstand, since his announcement in 2015, is nothing short of extraordinary.” asserted
he → do → 2015
Zacharia succeeded Leavitt in October, following the latter’s unexpected departure in August. asserted
Zacharia → succeed → August
Leavitt also made an appearance on Kalshi’s list, with bettors, with a 2 percent chance that she could return to her role. uncertain
she → make → role
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support