Nayan Seth
19 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 ExclusiveUS-China negotiators race to nail down concrete deals as Shenzhen Apec looms
Progress made in investment and trade talks ahead of Xi and Trump meeting, but complexities remain, multiple sources said
Multiple sources told the South China Morning Post that intense negotiations would continue in coming weeks, with Washington and Beijing still facing hurdles to finalising a complex package of institutional frameworks and economic agreements.
🔮 ‘China already has spies’ at US AI labs, claims ex-Anthropic researcher
Jacob Coxon alleges Beijing can close any technological gap with the US as it has ways to ‘steal our progress at any time and catch up’
“Right now, if we just stopped, they would try and catch up.
🔮 US accuses mainland China of targeting Taiwan leader’s family in surveillance case
FBI says US citizen Zhang Wanying filmed William Lai Ching-te’s son’s home and vehicles in Seattle before trying to fly to Shanghai
The FBI accused her of surveilling the Taiwanese leader’s son and his family in Seattle last year, filming their home and vehicles and sharing the footage with handlers in China.
🔮 Greer says no specific timeline set for enforcing US-China Board of Trade
United States Trade Representative confirms recommendations must go through a legal process before implementation of new economic initiative
Speaking on the sidelines of the Group of 20 Trade Ministers’ meeting in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Greer said the tariff reductions under the mechanism were “a policy outcome” and that the recommendations would have to go through a legal process before implementation.
🔮 Deliverables on trade
Both sides also finalised the Board of Trade mechanism and are set to announce non-sensitive sectors and products capped at US$30 billion each for tariff reduction.
🔮 ExclusiveFissures over US investments stall plans for Chinese business leaders to join Xi visit
With the window for travel narrowing by the hour, uncertainty surrounds the inclusion of corporate leaders in China’s delegation
The window for travel is narrowing by the hour for these Chinese business leaders, with Xi expected to arrive in Washington by Wednesday.
The investment forum was one of the deliverables from Xi and his US counterpart Donald Trump’s last summit in Beijing in May, which has since stalled.
🔮 Last week, the South China Morning Post reported that Washington and Beijing would fold AI discussions into a broader economic meeting.
🔮 ExclusiveUS weighs delaying Taiwan arms sales until after Apec and G20 summits
Sources say the decision is expected to be a compromise between Donald Trump, Washington’s China hawks and Taipei’s lobbyists
One source said Trump was considering various options to postpone the signing of Taiwan arms sales, but the final outcome would be a “compromise between him, the China hawks and Taiwan’s lobbyists”.
“President Trump has considered delaying the [Taiwan] arms sales decision till end 2028 or January 2029, that is, towards the end of his current term.
🔮 ExclusiveChina, US may unveil measures to boost military ties when Xi visits Washington
Two sides have been discussing ways to improve communication channels, according to sources familiar with the talks
Another item that is being discussed, and a possible deliverable, is restarting the arms-control talks that were suspended in 2024 over US weapons sales to Taiwan, with the dialogue potentially including military personnel.
🔮 While purchasers of Russian energy are not explicitly named in the bill, it is set to target major buyers such as China and India, while potentially exempting countries including Japan, France, Hungary and Belgium, which source smaller shares from Russia and are taking steps to reduce their reliance.
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The Aporia
