Claims extracted
16
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
12%
2 of 16 hedged
("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
63/100
Toronto Star's corrections and
hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Premier Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservatives have slipped slightly in popularity just as MPPs are set to return to Queen’s Park after a 21-week break, a new poll suggests.
uncertain
poll → slip → break
The latest Abacus Data survey had the Tories at 40 per cent, down from 42 per cent last month, while the Liberals, who elect a new leader Nov. 21, were up one percentage point to 32 per cent and Marit Stiles’s New Democrats rose three points to 20 per cent.
asserted
Democrats → have → cent
“It’s status quo,” Abacus president David Coletto said in an interview Monday.
asserted
Coletto → ’ → interview
“As long as the opposition remains divided, the PCs can feel comfortable, at least for now, with an eight-point lead overall.
asserted
PCs → remain → lead
“But the direction of the province remains the vulnerability for a government in its third term, where the desire for change continues to be high,” said Coletto.
asserted
Coletto → remain → change
The poll, which comes ahead of the legislature resuming next Tuesday after an extended summer recess, found 53 per cent believe Ontario is headed in the wrong direction while 30 per cent maintained it is moving in the right direction and the rest were unsure.
asserted
rest → come → direction
“That’s not at a code-red kind of level,” said the pollster, noting that traditionally a higher “time for change” threshold is when governing parties start to worry.
asserted
parties → ’ → change
It has been more than 1,100 days since the Mounties launched their probe into Ford’s $8.28-billion land swap on Oct. 10, 2023.
asserted
Mounties → launch → Oct.
It has been more than 1,100 days since the Mounties launched their probe into Ford’s $8.28-billion land swap on Oct. 10, 2023.
asserted
Mounties → launch → Oct.
“Higher than 60 (per cent) is where you start to get into trouble, because then it encourages people to consolidate around a change option,” said Coletto.
asserted
Coletto → start → option
“I don’t think there’s enough people shopping for an alternative right now, but that doesn’t mean it couldn’t quickly come,” he said, noting Ford has benefited politically by being an outspoken critic of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canadian goods.
asserted
Ford → think → goods
“If the Trump threat recedes and people start to focus more on issues like health care or education — the areas that are typically vulnerabilities for the Ford government — then there’s always a risk that this could turn against them.”
uncertain
this → recede → them
Indeed, some 70 per cent of respondents expressed a desire for change — with 52 per cent saying “it is definitely time for a change in government in Ontario,” and another 18 per cent saying “it would be nice to change the government, but it’s not that important to me.”
asserted
it → express → me
Conversely, 19 per cent said “Doug Ford and the PCs should definitely be re-elected,” with 11 per cent saying “it would be nice to keep” them in office “but it’s not that important to me.”
asserted
it → say → me
Abacus surveyed 2,291 eligible voters in Ontario from Oct. 2 to Oct. 13 using online panels.
asserted
Abacus → survey → panels
While opt-in polls cannot be assigned a margin of error, for comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would have one of plus or minus 2.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
asserted
sample → opt → 20
The Aporia
