Cotton arrivals jump 7.5pc as textile crisis deepens

Read the original at Dawn ↗
Cite

Mahmood, A. (2026, October 19). Cotton arrivals jump 7.5pc as textile crisis deepens. Dawn. https://www.dawn.com/news/2038192/cotton-arrivals-jump-75pc-as-textile-crisis-deepens

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Dawn · collected 2026-10-19 · by Amjad Mahmood

Quick Summary

Cotton arrivals in Pakistan increased by 7.53% year-over-year to 4.08 million bales by October 15, but this growth is overshadowed by a crisis facing the cotton and textile industries. The industry reports that around 500 ginning factories and over 150 textile mills have closed due to rising production costs and alleged misuse of the Export Facilitation Scheme (EFS), where imported yarn and fabric meant for re-export are being sold domestically instead, putting local manufacturers at a disadvantage with an 18% sales tax.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-19, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 15, 2026, cotton arrivals at ginning factories in Pakistan increased by 7.53% year-over-year to 4.08 million bales, but the domestic cotton and textile industries are facing a deepening crisis with around 500 ginning factories and over 150 textile mills reportedly closed or idle due to rising production costs and alleged misuse of imported inputs under the Export Facilitation Scheme (EFS). According to the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association (PCGA), Punjab recorded arrivals of 1.64 million bales, up 7.79% from last year, while Sindh saw an increase of 2.44 million bales, up 7.35%. Industry representatives claim that imported yarn and fabric meant for re-export are being sold in the domestic market, exacerbating financial difficulties for local producers.

Written for “Textile Crisis Deepens” on 2026-10-19, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.65, but every quote it verified points right, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 89898: score contradicts its own evidence · logged 2026-10-19

Story

📰 Textile Crisis Deepens
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

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How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
23%
6 of 26 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
72/100
Dawn's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-19 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Dawn · 1884 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Amjad Mahmood
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 However, Cotton Ginners Forum Chairman Ihsanul Haq warned that adverse weather could leave national production below initial estimates.
🔮 The committee will examine the accuracy of violation detection, human validation of violations, citizens’ access to evidence, mechanisms for challenging and reviewing decisions, and the handling of related data.
🔮 The committee will examine the accuracy of violation detection, human validation of violations, citizens’ access to evidence, mechanisms for challenging and reviewing decisions, and the handling of related data.
Also by Amjad Mahmood
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Aptma LAHORE PCGA Punjab Sindh

Subjects

PCGA ORG · 3× Aptma ORG · 2× CCRI ORG · 2× Haq PERSON · 2× Punjab GPE · 2× Sindh GPE · 2× Bahawalnagar GPE · 1× Bahawalpur GPE · 1× LAHORE GPE · 1× the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association ORG · 1×

Narrative

Sajid Mahmood, head of the Transfer of Technology Department at the Central Cotton Research Institute (CCRI), Multan, said cotton revival required policies focused not only on production but also on farmers’ profitability, production costs, market access and lint quality.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-19
🔮 However, Cotton Ginners Forum Chairman Ihsanul Haq warned that adverse weather could leave national production below initial estimates.
2026-10-19 · Dawn
Cotton arrivals jump 7.5pc as textile crisis deepens · mixed framing

Claims (26 extracted, 6 hedged)

• Industry says 500 ginning factories, over 150 textile mills closed • Ginners allege imported inputs meant for re-export are being sold locally asserted
inputs → say → export
Cotton arrivals at ginning factories rose 7.53 per cent year-on-year to 4.08 million bales by Oct 15, but the domestic cotton and textile industries are facing a deepening crisis, with around 500 ginning factories, over 150 textile mills and nearly half of the country’s power looms reportedly lying idle. uncertain
half → gin → looms
Industry representatives have attributed the crisis to rising production costs and alleged misuse of the Export Facilitation Scheme (EFS), under which imported yarn and fabric are reportedly being sold in the domestic market instead of being re-exported. uncertain
yarn → attribute → market
According to the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association (PCGA), arrivals reached 4,081,265 bales by Oct 15, up 285,628 bales from 3,795,637 bales a year earlier. uncertain
arrivals → accord → bales
Punjab recorded arrivals of 1.64m bales, up 7.79pc, while Sindh’s arrivals increased 7.35pc to 2.44m bales. asserted
arrivals → record → bales
Bahawalnagar led Punjab with 418,750 bales, followed by Bahawalpur with 294,606, Dera Ghazi Khan 236,514, Rahim Yar Khan 169,949 and Layyah 122,327. asserted
Bahawalnagar → lead → 294,606
In Sindh, Sanghar topped the list with 1.14m bales, followed by Sukkur with 264,500 bales, Naushehro Feroze 223,200 and Khairpur 213,900. asserted
Sanghar → top → bales
Textile mills had purchased around 3.45m bales and exporters 97,000 bales, leaving 531,530 bales unsold. asserted
mills → purchase → bales
Arrivals during the preceding fortnight totalled 872,863 bales. asserted
Arrivals → precede → bales
However, Cotton Ginners Forum Chairman Ihsanul Haq warned that adverse weather could leave national production below initial estimates. uncertain
weather → warn → estimates
He also pointed to a discrepancy between PCGA figures and those of the Punjab Crop Reporting Service, which put provincial production at 2.983m bales against the PCGA’s 1.638m bales in arrivals by Oct 15. asserted
which → point → Oct
Mr Haq said the alleged misuse of the EFS, coupled with rising production costs, had undermined the domestic industry. asserted
misuse → say → industry
He cited estimates that 40m to 50m metres of fabric had been imported from China alone under the scheme, while exports had shown little corresponding growth. asserted
exports → cite → growth
Figures released by the All Pakistan Textile Mills Association (Aptma) showed man-made yarn imports rising from 3,056 tonnes in the first quarter of 2025-26 to 12,773 tonnes in the corresponding quarter of 2026-27. asserted
imports → release → 2026
Man-made fabric imports increased from 660 tonnes to 8,628 tonnes over the same period. asserted
imports → make → period
Mr Haq alleged that some imports intended for re-export were instead being sold locally, where an 18pc sales tax applied, putting domestic manufacturers at a disadvantage. asserted
tax → allege → disadvantage
Aptma has welcomed Customs action against alleged misuse of the scheme and called for restrictions on imports of man-made yarn and fabric under the EFS. asserted
Aptma → welcome → EFS
It said around 500 ginning factories and more than 150 textile mills had closed, while nearly half of the country’s power looms were inactive. asserted
half → say → looms
Sajid Mahmood, head of the Transfer of Technology Department at the Central Cotton Research Institute (CCRI), Multan, said cotton revival required policies focused not only on production but also on farmers’ profitability, production costs, market access and lint quality. asserted
policies → say → profitability
If cotton continued to offer lower returns than competing crops, farmers could reduce acreage in the next season, he warned. uncertain
he → continue → season
With 15 to 20 days of picking remaining, he urged farmers to follow agricultural experts’ advice to protect yields and quality. asserted
he → remain → yields
The CCRI has recommended a spray containing 2kg of urea per 100 litres of water in fields with eight to 10 green bolls per plant to encourage boll opening. asserted
CCRI → recommend → opening
Farmers should also monitor pink bollworm infestation, pick mature bolls promptly and harvest in dry weather to prevent contamination. asserted
Farmers → monitor → contamination
Mr Mahmood said the success of cotton revival should be measured by farmers’ net income per acre, not merely the volume of arrivals at ginning factories. asserted
success → say → factories
Karachi Cotton Brokers Forum leader Naseem Usman urged the government not only to announce a cotton support price but also to devise a procurement mechanism in case market prices fell below the support level. asserted
prices → urge → level
He hoped that the undocumented cotton business would see a decline this year due to strict government measures and might lead to some increase in the overall cotton production. uncertain
business → hop → production
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