The true cost of Labour's migration dithering: At least 200,000 are given the right to remain since crackdown promise, official figures show

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Beckford, M. (2026, October 18). The true cost of Labour's migration dithering: At least 200,000 are given the right to remain since crackdown promise, official figures show. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16219253/true-cost-Labour-migration-dithering-200-000-given-right-remain-crackdown-promise-official-figures-show.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-18 · by Martin Beckford

Quick Summary

Since ministers proposed stricter immigration restrictions last year, over 200,000 individuals have been granted indefinite leave to remain in Britain, allowing them access to lifetime benefits, healthcare, and social housing. Despite this, Labour's Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood is reconsidering the plan due to opposition from Angela Rayner and trade unions, leading to delays in implementing reforms that could save £10 billion. Meanwhile, at least 5,000 people who have lived legally in Britain for five years are gaining permanent settlement rights each week.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-18, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 2026, at least 200,000 people have been granted indefinite leave to remain in Britain since ministers proposed tough restrictions last year. This entitlement allows them access to lifetime benefits, NHS care, and social housing. Despite warnings from Labour's Immigration White Paper about the potential increase in settlement numbers due to high net migration between 2019 and 2024, the plan remains uncertain after facing opposition from Angela Rayner and trade unions. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood has indicated that she may need to amend the proposed restrictions. Meanwhile, at least 5,000 new individuals gain settlement rights every week, with numbers expected to rise further as those who arrived during a post-pandemic immigration surge become eligible for indefinite leave to remain.

Written for “Labour's Migration Policy Impact” on 2026-10-19, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans strongly right (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans strongly right for article 89590 (high confidence, 3 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-18

Story

📰 Labour's Migration Policy Impact
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly right and hedges 17% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans strongly right 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 27 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles discuss different aspects of migration policies and outcomes over time rather than a single specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
29
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
17%
5 of 29 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
64/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-18 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 6156 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Martin Beckford
16 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 More than 200,000 people have been granted indefinite leave to remain – entitling them to lifetime benefits, NHS care and social housing – since ministers proposed tough restrictions last year. Yet the plan is still up in the air following a backlash led by Angela Rayner and trade unions, with Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood recently signalling that she may have to water it down.
🔮 A 16-year freeze in the levy is also scheduled to end next year, which would add 1p more in April.
🔮 A senior Reform MP today likened the furore over racism and sexism displayed by some of its elected politicians to the BBC's paedophile presenter scandals, saying the party could only do so much to root out 'bad apples'.
🔮 The new revelations, broadcast last night, came just hours after party leader Nigel Farage denied Reform had a problem with vetting, despite three councillors leaving over racist, sexist and violent language exposed in the first excerpts from the documentary, set to air in full on Sunday.
🔮 In total, the support cost taxpayers £23billion last year and is forecast to reach £27bn by the end of the decade.
🔮 Ministers were forced to exempt hundreds of West African prison officers from immigration rules last year so they could stay in Britain and avoid a staffing crisis.
🔮 The Tories say it is needed because Labour – which has still not set out how it will reach its target of spending 3 per cent of GDP on defence by 2030 – is failing to do enough to guarantee the security of the UK, its overseas territories and bases in an increasingly hostile world.
🔮 Shadow Chancellor Andrew Griffith branded the looming charge – which will cost up to £7,500 a year for owners of properties valued at more than £2million – 'vindictive'. In his keynote speech to the Conservative conference in Birmingham, Mr Griffith warned the tax – due to take effect in April 2028 – would be 'simply unaffordable' for retired people in houses bought decades ago that have since soared in value, and that it would also hit commuters living in 'ordinary homes'.
🔮 Mr Norris said the proposals would have slowed down justice reforms and insisted the backlog will still fall despite the U-turn.
🔮 Mr Burnham claimed Brexit had done ‘more harm than good’ and said he would unveil a series of ‘options’ for Britain’s future relationship with Brussels, including embracing the single market and customs union, and even rejoining the EU.
Also by Martin Beckford
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 16 articles by Martin Beckford →

Topics

Britain Home Labour NHS the Daily Mail

Subjects

Labour ORG · 4× Britain GPE · 3× British NORP · 3× Angela Rayner PERSON · 2× Mahmood PERSON · 2× Rayner PERSON · 2× Shabana Mahmood PERSON · 2× Chris Philp PERSON · 1× Home ORG · 1× NHS ORG · 1×

Narrative

Its Immigration White Paper warned: ‘More people are likely to become eligible for settlement and then citizenship over the next few years as a result of the extremely high level of net migration between 2019 and 2024.’
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-18
🔮 More than 200,000 people have been granted indefinite leave to remain – entitling them to lifetime benefits, NHS care and social housing – since ministers proposed tough restrictions last year. Yet the plan is still up in the air following a backlash led by Angela Rayner and trade unions, with Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood recently signalling that she may have to water it down.

Claims (29 extracted, 5 hedged)

Thousands of migrants are settling permanently in Britain every week while Labour bickers over a proposed crackdown. asserted
Labour → settle → crackdown
More than 200,000 people have been granted indefinite leave to remain – entitling them to lifetime benefits, NHS care and social housing – since ministers proposed tough restrictions last year. Yet the plan is still up in the air following a backlash led by Angela Rayner and trade unions, with Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood recently signalling that she may have to water it down. uncertain
she → grant → it
In the meantime, every week at least 5,000 more people who have lived here for five years – having legally arrived on visas – gain settlement. asserted
who → live → settlement
The numbers are set to rise even further in the coming months as those who arrived in an unprecedented immigration surge following the pandemic gain the right to claim indefinite leave to remain. uncertain
who → set → leave
Last night, Chris Philp, the Shadow Home Secretary, told the Daily Mail: ‘Every single day, hundreds of mainly low-wage or no-wage immigrants get the right to stay here permanently and claim benefits. uncertain
hundreds → tell → benefits
‘Yet Shabana Mahmood continues to refuse to implement her own indefinite leave to remain changes to stop this – which she herself admits are needed to save £10billion. asserted
she → continue → 10billion
‘Why is she delaying? asserted
she → delay → ?
It’s because she’s scared of Angela Rayner and the Left of the Labour Party, and she hasn’t got the courage to implement her own plans. asserted
she → ’ → plans
Migrants on board a small boat off the coast of Hardelot, France, during an attempt to cross the English Channel on July 29, 2026 The Home Office has begun recruiting staff for a controversial 600-person immigration detention centre inG osport, which could become Britain's new migrant processing capital ‘ uncertain
which → cross → osport
The Government is on the verge of capitulating, letting hundreds of thousands of low-wage and no-wage migrants stay forever.’ asserted
thousands → capitulate → migrants
Reform UK home affairs spokesman Zia Yusuf said Ms Mahmood had ‘capitulated to Labour’s open-borders zealots. asserted
Mahmood → say → zealots
He added: ‘Labour’s internal bickering means thousands more will get indefinite leave to remain and unfettered access to our welfare system, all because Andy Burnham cannot control Rayner or his backbenchers.’ asserted
Burnham → add → Rayner
Migrants who have lived and worked in the UK for five years can claim indefinite leave to remain (ILR), giving them the right to stay as long as they like, apply for benefits and then gain British citizenship just a year later. Last May, when Yvette Cooper was home secretary, the Government proposed ‘earned settlement’, which would double the qualifying period to ten years because of the large numbers of people soon to get indefinite leave to remain. uncertain
which → live → leave
Its Immigration White Paper warned: ‘More people are likely to become eligible for settlement and then citizenship over the next few years as a result of the extremely high level of net migration between 2019 and 2024.’ asserted
people → warn → 2019
Then last November, Ms Mahmood made it clear that she wanted the more strict rules to apply retrospectively. asserted
rules → make → ?
She warned that, without reform, 1.6million people would be entitled to settle between 2026 and 2030. asserted
people → warn → 2026
In a speech this year she said the ‘lifetime cost to the taxpayer’ of the cohort, which she said included many ‘low-skilled workers and their dependents’, would be £10billion. asserted
she → say → workers
It sparked a backlash, with Labour MPs accusing her of ‘moving the goalposts’ for people already in the UK. asserted
MPs → spark → UK
While she was out of Government, Ms Rayner called the retrospective nature of the plan ‘un-British’ and a ‘breach of trust’. asserted
Rayner → call → trust
Just last month, despite returning to the collective responsibility of the Cabinet, she stood by her criticism. asserted
she → return → criticism
Britain’s biggest trade union Unison wants care workers to be exempted from the proposed rules, and its general secretary Andrea Egan even claimed: ‘Shabana Mahmood’s proposals have fuelled the far-Right.’ asserted
proposals → want → Right
Then the Home Secretary hinted at a climbdown, saying: ‘We will come to a position that balances fairness for those who came here legally and fairness to British citizens.’ asserted
who → hint → citizens
Latest official figures show that 199,628 people were granted settlement in the 12 months to June, beginning immediately after the White Paper’s call for action. asserted
people → show → action
If grants have continued at the same rate it would mean another 5,675 settling every week, and well over 200,000 gaining indefinite leave to remain since Ms Mahmood’s detailed plan was announced in November. asserted
plan → continue → November
The pressure group MigrationWatch UK estimates 225,000 qualified for indefinite leave to remain in the past 11 months. asserted
225,000 → estimate → months
Chairman Alp Mehmet asked of Andy Burnham: ‘Will you have the courage to back your Home Secretary and extend the ILR qualifying period or will you bottle it and defy public opinion?’ asserted
you → ask → opinion
The consultation on the proposal, which received 200,000 responses, closed in February, but the Home Office has not responded. asserted
Office → receive → February
Immigration rules were updated last week with no mention of ILR. asserted
rules → update → ILR
The Home Office said: ‘We are considering responses to our consultation on elements of these reforms.’ asserted
We → say → reforms
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