Forget the seven-year itch: opposite-sex marriages more likely to end after two decades

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Cite

Horton, H. (2026, October 18). Forget the seven-year itch: opposite-sex marriages more likely to end after two decades. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2026/oct/18/opposite-sex-marriages-end-after-20-years-divorce-england-wales-ons

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The Guardian · collected 2026-10-18 · by Helena Horton

Quick Summary

Official data from the Office for National Statistics shows that in England and Wales, over a quarter of divorces between opposite-sex couples occur after 20 years or longer. This trend is supported by celebrity examples like Tess Daly and Hugh Bonneville, who separated after 22 and 25 years respectively. Divorce lawyers attribute this to factors such as financial considerations and keeping families together for children’s sake, though some note that financially stable individuals might feel more freedom to end unhappy marriages later in life.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-18, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

According to Office for National Statistics data, opposite-sex marriages in England and Wales are more likely to end after 20 years than at any other time. As of recent records, over a quarter of divorces occurred among couples who had been married for 20 years or longer. Celebrities like Tess Daly, Hugh Bonneville, Colin Firth, and Nicole Kidman have publicly separated after long-term marriages, reflecting this trend. While the "seven-year itch" has traditionally marked a peak in divorce rates, new data shows an increased likelihood of marital dissolution later in marriage. Divorce lawyers attribute some delays in separations to financial constraints due to the cost of living crisis.

Written for “Marriage Durability Over Time” on 2026-10-18, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 88813 · logged 2026-10-18

Story

📰 Marriage Durability Over Time
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
2 of 26 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
67/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-18 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2026 article(s) · 5 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 5 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Helena Horton
20 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The Downton Abbey actor Hugh Bonneville split from his wife, Lulu Williams, in 2023 after 25 years, and in 2019, Colin Firth announced his separation from wife, Livia Giuggioli, after 22.
🔮 Mini pumpkins will have to be used, and some have suggested that those celebrating the spooky festival draw faces on vegetables instead of carving them.
🔮 The parents of a woman who killed herself after facing disciplinary proceedings at the Treasury will call for anyone found to have contributed to their daughter’s death to be held to account.
🔮 When South African billionaire Koos Bekker bought an old country estate in a sleepy corner of Somerset to turn it into a luxury hotel, residents thought it was a sign their area was on the up.
🔮 He told the Guardian that the Conservatives did not ask permission before using his image: “I am taking legal advice, I may take legal action.
🔮 Calling the compensation process “exhausting”, she added: “I would have loved more.
🔮 “I understand why this development will have come as a surprise to many, but I’d like to reiterate that it was an investigative decision, and one which is grounded in experience and careful consideration of policing powers.”
🔮 The owners have attempted to turn its fortunes around by opening a more “exclusive” location in Mayfair and launching mini two-sip cocktails, as well as IV drips, to attract younger members.
🔮 A play based on the trial of the men who drugged and raped Gisèle Pelicot will come to London for one night only this November – and promises to feature a star-studded cast.
🔮 Three of them were 24, one was 25 and one 23, and three resided in Westminster, another in Camden, and another in Willseden, police said.
Also by Helena Horton
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 20 articles by Helena Horton →

Topics

England Hollywood ONS Office for National Statistics Wales

Subjects

England GPE · 4× Wales GPE · 4× ONS ORG · 2× Colin Firth PERSON · 1× Hugh Bonneville PERSON · 1× Livia Giuggioli PERSON · 1× Lulu Williams PERSON · 1× Office for National Statistics ORG · 1× Tess Daly PERSON · 1× Vernon Kay PERSON · 1×

Narrative

ONS figures have long shown that the seven-year itch appears to exist; since records began in 1963, the largest proportion of divorces each year has almost always been among those who have spent between five to nine years as a couple.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-18
🔮 The Downton Abbey actor Hugh Bonneville split from his wife, Lulu Williams, in 2023 after 25 years, and in 2019, Colin Firth announced his separation from wife, Livia Giuggioli, after 22.

Claims (26 extracted, 2 hedged)

Most couples are aware of the dreaded “seven-year itch”, when the honeymoon period wears off and real life starts to bite. asserted
life → wear → itch
Now official data has shown that couples in England and Wales are more likely to split after 20 years. asserted
couples → show → years
According to Office for National Statistics figures, more than a quarter of all divorces between opposite-sex couples happened after 20 years or longer of marriage. uncertain
quarter → accord → marriage
Some celebrities have recently displayed the “20-year itch”, with the former Strictly presenter Tess Daly separating from her husband, Vernon Kay, after 22 years of marriage. asserted
presenter → display → marriage
The Downton Abbey actor Hugh Bonneville split from his wife, Lulu Williams, in 2023 after 25 years, and in 2019, Colin Firth announced his separation from wife, Livia Giuggioli, after 22. asserted
Firth → split → 22
Last year, the Hollywood star Nicole Kidman and and singer Keith Urban separated after almost 20 years of marriage. asserted
star → separate → marriage
Divorce lawyers have previously said some couples are putting off splitting up because of the cost of living crisis. asserted
couples → say → splitting
Recent figures have shown the average length of a marriage ending in divorce in England and Wales reached a record high last year. asserted
length → show → high
ONS figures have long shown that the seven-year itch appears to exist; since records began in 1963, the largest proportion of divorces each year has almost always been among those who have spent between five to nine years as a couple. asserted
who → show → couple
Just over a quarter (26%) of the 102,879 divorces involving opposite-sex couples in England and Wales last year had been married for 20 years or more, while 23% were between five and nine years. asserted
% → involve → years
This is the second time the five- to nine-year category has been pushed to second place. asserted
category → push → place
In the mid-1980s it happened when a new law cut the minimum term of a marriage from three years to one. asserted
law → happen → one
Divorce lawyers think the rise of the divorce after 20 years is due to couples staying together for the sake of the children. asserted
couples → think → children
Lisa Pepper, a divorce lawyer at Osbornes Law, told the Sunday Times: “The largest percentage of cases I see are after a long marriage. asserted
I → tell → marriage
Staying together for the sake of the children is true.” asserted
Staying → stay → children
The trend is also happening in the US: a Pew research group study found the incidents of those divorcing after 20 years had doubled since the 1990s. asserted
incidents → happen → 1990s
Researchers cautioned: “Divorce at this stage of life can also have some downsides. asserted
Divorce → caution → downsides
Grey divorcees tend to be less financially secure than married and widowed adults, particularly among women. asserted
divorcees → tend → women
And living alone at older ages can be detrimental to one’s financial comfort and, for men, their satisfaction with their social lives.” asserted
living → live → lives
Analysis from the US law firm Weinberger found: “Marrying for life is no longer seen as the pinnacle of successful adulthood – especially in more progressive areas of the country. asserted
Marrying → find → country
Those who have adequate financial resources to flourish solo may feel more freedom to uncouple. uncertain
who → have → freedom
“With less societal pressure to stay together no matter what, ‘grey divorcees’ have more ‘permission’ to unshackle themselves from unhappy marriages and make the best of their golden years.” asserted
divorcees → stay → years
Earlier ONS figures for England and Wales found the average marriage ending in divorce in 2025 lasted for 13 years. asserted
marriage → find → years
This is the longest since records began in 1963 and up from a record low of 8.9 years in 1985. asserted
records → begin → 1985
Rebecca Aston‑Jones, a senior associate at Clarke Willmott, a law firm that specialises in divorce, said the rising cost of living was keeping unhappy couples together. asserted
cost → specialise → couples
“One of the main factors discouraging people from pursuing a divorce is the significant financial pressure that comes with establishing and maintaining two separate households,” she said. asserted
she → discourage → households
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