Steve Vladeck's "Hard Questions About Court Expansion"

Read the original at Reason ↗
Cite

Somin, I. (2026, October 16). Steve Vladeck's "Hard Questions About Court Expansion". Reason. https://reason.com/volokh/2026/10/16/steve-vladecks-hard-questions-about-court-expansion/

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Reason · collected 2026-10-16 · by Ilya Somin

Quick Summary

Georgetown law professor Steve Vladeck criticizes proposals to expand the Supreme Court in a recent Substack post, arguing that adding new justices could undermine public trust and judicial independence. He poses four critical questions about court expansion, including how to prevent ideological control and erosion of confidence in lower courts. Vladeck warns that expanding the Court might permanently damage its ability to provide effective judicial review.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-17, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Georgetown law professor Steve Vladeck criticizes proposals to expand the Supreme Court, arguing that adding four new Democratic appointees by 2029 would likely cause more harm than good. In his recent Reason Magazine post, he raises key questions about how such expansion could lead to a "race to the bottom," where each party in power seeks to increase the number of justices to ensure an ideologically aligned majority. Vladeck also highlights potential erosion of public confidence in the Court if it becomes perceived as a political tool rather than an impartial arbiter. The critique is part of broader debates over the Court's conservative tilt and possible reforms, with some advocates pushing for expansion to counteract perceived injustices without providing adequate answers to these critical concerns raised by Vladeck.

Written for “Court Expansion Debate” on 2026-10-18, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Court Expansion Debate
Crime & Law · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
22
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
23%
5 of 22 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
67/100
Reason's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Crime & Law
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-17 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Reason · 786 article(s) · 4 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Ilya Somin
20 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 And I think he actually agrees with me more than the framing of his post might suggest.
2026-10-17 · assertive framing · Who Should Defend Democracy?
🔮 I would like to thank Matt for his interesting and insightful response.
🔮 [I]t seems to me that those who are fully onboard the expansion-or-bust train should have to do more than simply assert that having four new Democratic appointees on the Court in 2029 would be a self-evidently "good" thing.
🔮 The court ruled that federal law does not preempt these policies, and that if if it did, there would be a violation of the anti-commandeering requirements of the Tenth Amendment: Even were the Court to find that the United States has standing and the challenged provisions are preempted—both answered in the negative above—United States' claims would still fail because the anticommandeering doctrine of the Tenth Amendment to the Constitution of the United States precludes relief.
🔮 But some would like to revive it.
2026-10-15 · assertive framing · Fusionism and its Limits
🔮 I wish there was something I could say to ease the continuing pain of the victims of the attack and their families.
🔮 What would they make of that language?
2026-10-06 · assertive framing · Justice Alito on Originalism
🔮 And, as with tariffs, interpreting these authorities in a way that gives the president a blank check to impose import bans would run afoul of the major questions doctrine and constitutional nondelegation.
🔮 And almost none of us would trade it for any of the alternatives actually on offer.
2026-10-04 · assertive framing · Libertarianism and Democracy
🔮 We should not allow emergency powers intended to be used only in extreme situations to become a blank check that the executive can wield at will.
2026-10-02 · assertive framing · Justice Gorsuch on Abuse of Emergency Powers
Also by Ilya Somin
Who Should Defend Democracy?
2026-10-17 · Reason
Fusionism and its Limits
2026-10-15 · Reason
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 20 articles by Ilya Somin →

Topics

Court Democratic Georgetown Lawfare the Supreme Court

Subjects

Court ORG · 9× the Supreme Court ORG · 3× Callais PERSON · 2× Lawfare ORG · 2× Democratic NORP · 1× Georgetown ORG · 1× House ORG · 1× Senate ORG · 1× Steve Vladeck PERSON · 1× the Supreme Court's ORG · 1×

Narrative

If nothing else, proponents of expansion should have to answer the following four questions: - How do we avoid touching off a race to the bottom, where each time one party controls the House, Senate, and presidency, it expands the Court to ensure an ideologically and politically sympathetic majority? - If a race to the bottom is unavoidable, how do we avoid further (and potentially fatal) erosion of public confidence in the Court—which will quite transparently be little more than a lever of power for whichever party last had such a trifecta?
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-17
🔮 [I]t seems to me that those who are fully onboard the expansion-or-bust train should have to do more than simply assert that having four new Democratic appointees on the Court in 2029 would be a self-evidently "good" thing.
2026-10-17 · Reason
Steve Vladeck's "Hard Questions About Court Expansion" · mixed framing

Claims (22 extracted, 5 hedged)

Georgetown law Professor Steve Vladeck is one of the leading critics of the conservative majority on the Supreme Court. asserted
Vladeck → lead → Court
But in an insightful recent post on his substack, he outlines key reasons why "court expansion" is a bad response to its flaws. asserted
expansion → outline → flaws
[I]t seems to me that those who are fully onboard the expansion-or-bust train should have to do more than simply assert that having four new Democratic appointees on the Court in 2029 would be a self-evidently "good" thing. asserted
having → seem → 2029
If nothing else, proponents of expansion should have to answer the following four questions: - How do we avoid touching off a race to the bottom, where each time one party controls the House, Senate, and presidency, it expands the Court to ensure an ideologically and politically sympathetic majority? - If a race to the bottom is unavoidable, how do we avoid further (and potentially fatal) erosion of public confidence in the Court—which will quite transparently be little more than a lever of power for whichever party last had such a trifecta? asserted
party → have → trifecta
- If eroding public confidence in the Court is a feature, and not a bug, how do we insulate against the same erosion of public confidence in lower federal courts? - What is the case for why expansion is a better way to achieve the desired reforms than alternatives that would (or, at least, should) avoid many of these forward-looking concerns? asserted
that → erode → concerns
He adds that court-packing could easily "permanently undermine judicial review as an institution." uncertain
packing → add → institution
The rest of his piece (which is behind a paywall) offers far from reassuring answers to these questions. asserted
which → offer → questions
I have offered similar criticisms of court-packing in a long series of articles and blog posts, most recently in a June Lawfare article where I explained (among other things) why the Supreme Court's recent decision in Louisiana v. Callais doesn't justify packing, and in a July UnPopulist article critiquing a court-packing proposal advanced by Andy Craig. asserted
decision → offer → Craig
In these pieces, I explain why the Court's record of checking dangerous abuses of government power - though not without serious flaws - is considerably better than many critics claim. uncertain
critics → explain → flaws
In addition, I argue that court-packing is likely to undermine effective judicial review - not only by the Supreme Court, but also by lower courts. asserted
packing → argue → courts
Like Vladeck, I think some of the issues that concern critics of the Court can be more effectively addressed in other ways. asserted
that → think → ways
For example, in the Lawfare article, I explain how Congress can fix the flaws of the Callais decision by banning or restricting gerrymandering. asserted
Congress → explain → gerrymandering
It could also enact a binding ethics code for the justices. uncertain
It → enact → justices
Justice Alito was wrong to suggest otherwise, back in 2023. asserted
Alito → suggest → 2023
That said, if your main goal is a sweeping reversal of much of the Court's recent jurisprudence, there may be no easy way to achieve that quickly without court-packing or something like it. uncertain
goal → say → it
I would argue that any benefits that might achieve are outweighed by the enormous costs of destroying judicial review. uncertain
that → argue → review
In addition, if your objection to the Court's recent decisions is that they often don't do enough to constrain unconstitutional actions by other branches of government or by the states, court-packing is likely to make that problem worse, not better. asserted
problem → do → states
Destroying judicial review won't impose tighter constraints on the executive or bring back Roe v. Wade. asserted
Destroying → destroy → Wade
To the contrary, it would largely destroy any hope of doing so. asserted
it → destroy → hope
In another recent piece, I assessed "non-packing" rationales for increasing the size of the Supreme Court. asserted
I → assess → Court
There, I argue that these rationales are mostly weak; and, to the extent they have merit, there are better ways to address them than an expansion that amounts to court-packing. asserted
that → argue → packing
I even outline possible ways to increase the size of the Court without creating an opportunity for court-packing (this would require allowing the party that doesn't hold the White House to pick some of the new justices). asserted
that → outline → justices
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support