Ravens vs. Colts prediction: NFL Week 1 picks, odds, best bets

Read the original at New York Post ↗
Cite

Treppedi, S. (2026, September 13). Ravens vs. Colts prediction: NFL Week 1 picks, odds, best bets. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/13/betting/ravens-vs-colts-prediction-nfl-week-1-picks-odds-best-bets/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

New York Post · collected 2026-09-13 · by Sean Treppedi

Quick Summary

The article provides a prediction and analysis of the upcoming NFL game between the Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts in Week 1. It notes the Ravens’ disappointing performance last season compared to the Colts, who started strong but faltered due to injuries. Despite the Ravens being slight favorites at 3.5 points, the author favors the Colts (+3.5) based on trends and recent performances, suggesting the market undervalues the Colts' potential.
Written by AI on 2026-09-13, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Baltimore Ravens and the Indianapolis Colts are set to face each other in Week 1 of the NFL season on Sunday. The Ravens, despite finishing last year at an 8-9 record, were given better odds by the market than the Colts for both winning the Super Bowl (10/1 vs. 60/1) and the AFC conference (530 vs. 30/1). The Colts had a promising start to their season with an 8-3 record but suffered after Daniel Jones' Achilles injury, leading them to drop seven consecutive games. Despite the Colts having a strong ATS (against the spread) record against the Ravens over the past two decades at 10-2, the current betting line favors the Ravens as 3.5-point favorites in this matchup.

Written for “NFL Week 1 Picks” on 2026-10-29, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 NFL Week 1 Picks
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Fox News
Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles discuss different teams and do not describe the same specific incident or happening.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
23
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 23 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-13 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 14702 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Sean Treppedi
77 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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🔮 Caleb Williams and Drake Maye are looking to establish their teams as legitimate playoff contenders against one another on Thursday.
🔮 Green Bay is a narrow 1.5-point favorite at Lambeau Field, where Jordan Love will face a Cowboys defense ranked dead last in EPA per play, success rate and yards per play allowed.
🔮 The Raiders’ inability to establish a consistent ground game has placed considerable pressure on Kirk Cousins, whose offense could struggle to keep pace with Buffalo’s firepower.
🔮 What our Post expert thinks about Giants vs. Saints You wouldn’t know, but Big Blue is 2-0-1 outright and 3-0 against the spread since Jaxson Dart landed on injured reserve, with Winston keeping the offense afloat.
Also by Sean Treppedi
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 77 articles by Sean Treppedi →

Topics

Baltimore Colts Indianapolis NFL Ravens

Subjects

Colts ORG · 8× Ravens ORG · 7× NFL ORG · 6× Baltimore GPE · 2× Indianapolis GPE · 2× Jackson PERSON · 2× AFC ORG · 1× Daniel Jones PERSON · 1× Lamar Jackson PERSON · 1× Steelers ORG · 1×

Narrative

After springing to an 8-3 mark, a resurgent Daniel Jones tore his Achilles, the Colts dropped seven straight, and they fumbled the bag. Ravens vs. Colts prediction, best bet The market gave the Ravens a pass for last season, pricing them at 10/1 odds to win the Super Bowl and +530 to win the AFC.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-13
🔮 Baltimore will play its first game without John Harbaugh at the helm in 19 years.
2026-09-13 · New York Post
Ravens vs. Colts prediction: NFL Week 1 picks, odds, best bets · assertive framing

Claims (23 extracted, 0 hedged)

An 8-9 season — capped by a stunning missed field goal against the Steelers to miss the playoffs — was riddled with bad execution and late-game errors. asserted
season → cap → execution
The offense never found its rhythm while Lamar Jackson was hampered by a lower-back contusion that kept him off the field for four games. asserted
that → find → games
On the other hand, the Colts were the NFL’s biggest story last fall, but it all amounted to the same. asserted
it → amount → same
After springing to an 8-3 mark, a resurgent Daniel Jones tore his Achilles, the Colts dropped seven straight, and they fumbled the bag. Ravens vs. Colts prediction, best bet The market gave the Ravens a pass for last season, pricing them at 10/1 odds to win the Super Bowl and +530 to win the AFC. asserted
market → spring → AFC
It wasn’t so forgiving on the Colts’ plight, dishing out 60/1 Super Bowl odds and 30/1 for the conference. asserted
It → dish → conference
The teams open the season in Indianapolis on Sunday, with the Ravens set as 3.5-point favorites. asserted
Ravens → open → favorites
That’s the best mark of any team in the NFL in that span. asserted
That → ’ → span
This game is bound to become a rock fight with two elite veteran running backs in Derrick Henry and Jonathan Taylor facing off. asserted
backs → bind → Henry
Baltimore will play its first game without John Harbaugh at the helm in 19 years. asserted
Baltimore → play → years
Jesse Minter settles in with big expectations to improve the offense, along with former Bears offensive coordinator Declan Doyle. asserted
Minter → settle → Doyle
The Ravens’ predictable play-calling resulted in a No. 16 overall finish in total offense last year. asserted
calling → result → offense
This is a statement game for Jackson and Co., but there’s just a lot of ifs with a new regime against a stout secondary duo of Sauce Gardner and Charvarius Ward Jr. asserted
This → ’ → Gardner
The Colts have the size and versatility to challenge Baltimore’s receivers without needing extra blitzers. asserted
Colts → have → blitzers
Everyone loves to blitz Jackson, and to their own demise. asserted
Everyone → love → demise
He had a 114.0 passer rating when blitzed last year and was dangerous as a runner when pressure failed. asserted
pressure → have → runner
- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Minter is touted as a defensive guru. asserted
Minter → read → guru
He watched the Colts trot to 38 points on his Chargers in Week 7 last year. asserted
Colts → watch → Week
Indianapolis produced .407 EPA per play, and Jones threw for 288 yards and two touchdowns, while Taylor juiced 94 yards and three scores on only 16 carries. asserted
Taylor → produce → carries
Shane Steichen’s pattern of hot starts followed by flat finishes has him on the short leash this season: he’s 10 games over .500 ATS in September and October and seven games under .500 ATS in November and December. asserted
he → follow → November
Jones will need to prove last season was no fluke. asserted
season → need → ?
I still think the Ravens are overvalued. asserted
Ravens → think → ?
THE PLAY: Colts +3.5 (-115, bet365) Why Trust New York Post Betting Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. asserted
Treppedi → trust → Post
He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk. asserted
that → focus → risk
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