Flu virus hits harder and earlier as some provinces adjust vaccination plans

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Cite

Thanh, H. T. (2026, October 16). Flu virus hits harder and earlier as some provinces adjust vaccination plans. The Globe and Mail. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-influenza-virus-vaccines-provinces/

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The Globe and Mail · collected 2026-10-16 · by Ha Tu Thanh

Quick Summary

The flu virus has hit Canada earlier and more intensely this fall, with positive test rates surpassing the national threshold of 5% as of October 10. In British Columbia, positivity rates reached 14.9%, significantly higher than previous years. Provinces like Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island have adjusted their vaccination plans to start earlier due to rising cases, while Alberta is allowing pharmacies to administer shots sooner than initially planned. Ontario faced challenges with supply shortages, leading to difficulties for high-risk groups in securing flu vaccinations before the typical October 13 start date.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-16, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 16, 2026, the national FluWatch+ surveillance program reported that the percentage of positive flu tests had crossed the 5-per-cent mark for the week ending October 10, indicating an early and severe onset of the influenza season. In British Columbia, the positivity rate was particularly high at 14.9%. This trend has forced some provinces to adjust their vaccination plans, with Ontario experiencing difficulties in providing flu shots to seniors. Dr. Don Vinh, an infectious disease specialist at McGill University, stated that if this positive test rate remains above 5% next week, the influenza season will officially begin. Compared to previous years, current rates are several times higher, signaling a concerning early start to the flu season.

Written for “Flu Virus Surge Hits Early” on 2026-10-16, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 86015 · logged 2026-10-16

Story

📰 Flu Virus Surge Hits Early
Health · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 63
“The articles describe different aspects of the flu situation in Canada, with one focusing on Quebec's early vaccine appointments and the other on broader trends across provinces.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 23 📰 publisher trust 67
“The articles discuss different aspects and timespans related to flu outbreaks but do not describe the exact same incident.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 13% hedged 4 of 31 📰 publisher trust 67
“The articles discuss broader trends about early and severe flu activity but do not describe a single specific incident at the same time and place.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 49 📰 publisher trust 63
“While both articles discuss early flu activity and vaccination issues in Ontario, Article A focuses on the delay in vaccine shipments for family doctors, while Article B reports on broader surveillance data indicating an earlier start to the influenza season.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
34
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
9%
3 of 34 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
52/100
The Globe and Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Health
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-16 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Globe and Mail · 771 article(s) · 27 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 27 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Ha Tu Thanh
9 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 If the rate remains above that threshold next week, the start of the influenza season will be declared, according to the surveillance program.
🔮 However, Joel Lexchin, a professor emeritus at York University’s Faculty of Health and one of the review’s co-authors, said the findings of the Cochrane analysis could apply to Canada.
🔮 PQ Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, whose party will form a minority government, promised during the campaign to abolish Santé Québec, calling it “a bureaucratic monster.” The Deloitte report was officially released Tuesday morning although it had been leaked to La Presse previously.
🔮 Quebeckers who are not considered high-risk will have to pay nearly $200 to get vaccinated against influenza and COVID-19 this season, charting a path opposite to other provinces in Canada as the viral season picks up speed.
🔮 The New Brunswick College said it could not comment specifically about Dr. Sirpal’s case.
🔮 Now, two decades later, Mr. Rainey and other soldiers will attend a weekend gathering marking the 20th anniversary of Operation Medusa, an offensive that saw some of the fiercest gunfights Canadians faced in Afghanistan.
🔮 Quebec Court Justice Frédéric Bénard will render a decision Monday.
🔮 Quebec will no longer administer free flu shots for its entire population this fall, a year after it stopped providing COVID-19 vaccinations at no cost.
2026-09-04 · assertive framing · Quebec will not administer free flu shots this fall
🔮 Around the same time, a few hundred metres further away, across the border, another group was set to go through immigration controls after returning from their religious pilgrimage in Tibet.
Also by Ha Tu Thanh
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 9 articles by Ha Tu Thanh →

Topics

Alberta British Columbia Nova Scotia Ontario Prince Edward Island

Subjects

Ontario GPE · 3× Alberta GPE · 2× Nova Scotia GPE · 2× Prince Edward Island GPE · 2× Vinh PERSON · 2× British Columbia GPE · 1× Department of Health and Wellness ORG · 1× Don Vinh PERSON · 1× McGill University ORG · 1× PEI ORG · 1×

Narrative

“This is a clear, strong indication that flu is circulating and we need to continue to watch whether that increase continues and whether it translates clinically into more medical visits and hospitalizations,” said Don Vinh, an infectious disease specialist at McGill University.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-16
🔮 If the rate remains above that threshold next week, the start of the influenza season will be declared, according to the surveillance program.
2026-10-16 · The Globe and Mail
Flu virus hits harder and earlier as some provinces adjust vaccination plans · assertive framing

Claims (34 extracted, 3 hedged)

The flu virus has hit earlier and harder this fall, forcing some provinces to adjust vaccination plans and adding urgency to the immunization campaign in Ontario, where seniors have reported difficulties obtaining shots. asserted
seniors → hit → shots
The latest figures from the national FluWatch+ surveillance program, released Friday, show that the percentage of positive tests had crossed the 5-per-cent mark. asserted
percentage → release → mark
If the rate remains above that threshold next week, the start of the influenza season will be declared, according to the surveillance program. uncertain
start → remain → program
For the week ending Oct. 10, the percentage of positive tests rose to 5.3 per cent, from 4.7 per cent the previous week. asserted
percentage → end → cent
“This is a clear, strong indication that flu is circulating and we need to continue to watch whether that increase continues and whether it translates clinically into more medical visits and hospitalizations,” said Don Vinh, an infectious disease specialist at McGill University. asserted
Vinh → circulate → University
Rates this fall are several times higher than the numbers recorded in previous years, Dr. Vinh noted. asserted
Vinh → record → years
“We are definitely having an earlier start to the flu season.” asserted
We → have → season
The influenza activity started before vaccination campaigns began to deploy fully “and that’s a situation that we want to avoid.” asserted
we → start → that
However, he added, starting vaccines too early can be problematic as well, because then their protection wane prematurely. asserted
protection → add → vaccines
Also, vaccination campaigns have to be set months in advance to address manufacturing, procurement and distribution issues. asserted
campaigns → have → issues
“The flu doesn’t really care about our agenda,” Dr. Vinh said. asserted
Vinh → care → agenda
Most provinces set their vaccination launches for Oct. 13. asserted
provinces → set → Oct.
But the escalating rates prompted Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island to start at an earlier date and Alberta to adjust the availability of flu shots. asserted
Alberta → escalate → shots
PEI held pop-up clinics on Oct. 7. asserted
PEI → hold → Oct.
“Flu season has arrived earlier than usual in Prince Edward Island,” its Department of Health and Wellness said in a Sept. 28 communiqué that urged islanders to book appointments. asserted
that → arrive → appointments
Nova Scotia started appointments on Oct. 9. asserted
Scotia → start → Oct.
Alberta was to launch its vaccination drive on Oct. 19, but it has now told pharmacies to give shots as soon as they receive the doses. asserted
they → launch → doses
“Albertans are encouraged to contact their local pharmacy or clinic to see if they are able to administer fall immunizations prior to October 19th,” the province’s Ministry of Primary and Preventative Health Services said in a statement. asserted
Ministry → encourage → statement
Ontario originally said high-risk and priority groups could get vaccinated starting the week of Sept. 28. uncertain
groups → say → Sept.
However, some people found that shots wouldn’t be available until Oct. 13, after Thanksgiving. asserted
shots → find → Thanksgiving
Frustrated seniors said they contacted multiple pharmacies without success; in other cases appointments were cancelled because the vaccine hadn’t arrived. asserted
vaccine → say → cases
Ontarians who spoke to The Globe and Mail reported they had trouble making bookings for relatives in their 80s and 90s in Niagara, North Bay and London, with appointments not opening before Oct. 28 or Nov. 1. asserted
appointments → speak → Oct.
“Only the most determined might go through all that hassle,” 68-year-old Toronto retiree Sue Gowans said, recounting her difficulties finding online options for herself and an older relative. uncertain
Gowans → go → herself
Michelle Cohen, a family doctor in Brighton, Ont., said her practice usually receives flu vaccines in early October. asserted
practice → say → October
This year, the delivery arrived Thursday and contained fewer shots and less of the high-dose formulation recommended for seniors. asserted
delivery → arrive → seniors
“It is frustrating because people are checking out the pharmacy, not sure what to do, looking online,” she said. asserted
she → check → what
“I have many patients who are in their 80s and 90s, and it’s hard for them simply to get out of the house a lot of the time and come into the office. … asserted
them → have → office
They’re asking for a flu shot and I’m saying, sorry, try again later.” asserted
I → ask → shot
Ontario’s Ministry of Health said 679,000 doses were distributed as of Oct. 8 and priority was given to hospitals, long-term care homes and other high-risk settings. asserted
priority → say → hospitals
The main viral subtype detected so far is influenza A (H1N1), which can cause severe disease in younger adults, pregnant women and those with underlying medical conditions, Dr. Vinh said, explaining that vaccination shouldn’t be limited to older people. asserted
vaccination → detect → people
Preliminary data suggest that this year’s vaccine has been a “moderately good match” for the viral strain circulating, he added. asserted
he → suggest → strain
In Quebec, vaccination begins Oct. 20. asserted
vaccination → begin → Quebec
Starting this fall, shots are free only for those in vulnerable groups, including people 65 and over, nursing home residents and pregnant women. asserted
shots → start → people
The association of Quebec pharmacy owners says people who don’t qualify for free shots can expect to be charged $30 to $40 for a flu jab. asserted
who → say → jab
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