Raiders favored at -3 over Miami Dolphins as Malik Willis and Kirk Cousins face off in NFL week one

Read the original at Fox News ↗
Cite

Troy, D. (2026, September 13). Raiders favored at -3 over Miami Dolphins as Malik Willis and Kirk Cousins face off in NFL week one. Fox News. https://www.foxnews.com/outkick-sports/raiders-favored-3-miami-dolphins-malik-willis-kirk-cousins-face-nfl-week-one

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Fox News · collected 2026-09-13 · by David Troy

Quick Summary

The article predicts the Las Vegas Raiders will defeat the Miami Dolphins in an NFL Week 1 matchup, with the Raiders favored to win by 3 points. The analysis highlights that both teams have undergone significant changes, particularly noting Malik Willis's new role as quarterback for the Dolphins and Kirk Cousins joining the Raiders. The author believes the game will be high-scoring despite concerns about the defenses of both teams and suggests betting on the over 40.5 point total while backing the Raiders to win by more than three points.
Written by AI on 2026-09-13, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On September 10, the Las Vegas Raiders played their NFL Week 1 match against the Miami Dolphins with the Raiders favored by a spread of -3 points. Quarterbacks Kirk Cousins and Malik Willis faced off in this game, which was seen as crucial for both teams' seasons. The Raiders dominated in the trenches, an improvement from last season when their offensive line allowed 64 sacks. This victory is particularly significant for the Raiders ahead of a challenging six-game stretch starting with a match against the Los Angeles Chargers on September 17. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are undergoing rebuilding and have lost key players like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle from last season.

Written for “Raiders Vs Dolphins Nflgame” on 2026-10-28, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Raiders Vs Dolphins Nflgame
Sports · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Silver Bulletin
Hedges 2 of 31 claims
“The articles describe different NFL games and forecasts on distinct dates.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 5 of 40 claims Outlet record 64/100
New York Post
Hedges 2 of 65 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss the upcoming NFL game between the Raiders and Miami Dolphins, they focus on different aspects (one on pre-game analysis and picks, the other on team preparation and challenges).”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
31
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 31 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
70/100
Fox News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-13 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Fox News · 5787 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

David Troy
59 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners.
🔮 If you want to find any "flaw" for the team, it might be that they are only winning by one run in about half of the games.
🔮 My victory lap will stop here because I have been dead wrong about the Dallas Cowboys.
🔮 This season, the Chiefs have found a way to a 5-0 record, but their bye week has already passed, which makes me think they will lose some games late in the season.
🔮 The Chargers were expected to be strong this year, but they’ve been terrible.
🔮 This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners.
🔮 I'm sure it will happen somewhere today as well.
🔮 This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners.
🔮 This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners.
🔮 Most of it is because I am a Cubs fan, and I have found the Brewers to be a bit insufferable without winning anything, so if they do win, it might just get worse.
Also by David Troy
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 59 articles by David Troy →

Topics

Dolphins Green Bay Raiders Tennessee The Miami Dolphins

Subjects

Raiders ORG · 7× Dolphins ORG · 4× De’Von Achane PERSON · 1× Green Bay ORG · 1× Jaylen Waddle PERSON · 1× Malik Willis PERSON · 1× Scott Hanson PERSON · 1× Tennessee GPE · 1× The Miami Dolphins ORG · 1× Tyreek Hill PERSON · 1×

Narrative

It also saw them select Fernando Mendoza with the first pick, and then they also grabbed Kirk Cousins, who worked with Kubiak previously.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-13
🔮 There isn’t anything I can write that will provide the same level of excitement that "7 hours of commercial-free football" gives.

Claims (31 extracted, 1 hedged)

I wish I had an opening line that was memorable like Scott Hanson over on Red Zone. asserted
that → wish → Zone
There isn’t anything I can write that will provide the same level of excitement that "7 hours of commercial-free football" gives. asserted
hours → be → football
That’s what is on the horizon for us, though. asserted
what → ’ → us
We have hours of uninterrupted football, and our first full schedule. asserted
We → have → football
My first play of the weekend comes as the Dolphins take on the Raiders. asserted
Dolphins → come → Raiders
The Miami Dolphins are my pick to earn something really special this year… the #1 overall draft pick. asserted
Dolphins → earn → something
That’s not exactly a good sign, but I do think they will be the worst team in football. asserted
they → ’ → football
The Dolphins team has been decimated over the course of the past year. asserted
team → decimate → year
Their starting quarterback from last season: gone. asserted
quarterback → go → season
Their top wide receivers (Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle): gone and gone. asserted
receivers → go → ?
Malik Willis is dynamic and has shown flashes of success in both Tennessee and Green Bay. asserted
Willis → show → Tennessee
At the same time, Achane might not have any running space considering the teams know he is the best and only true threat on the team. uncertain
he → have → team
Willis has shown flashes, but he has also shown that he is normally a backup quarterback for a reason. asserted
he → show → reason
The Las Vegas Raiders also underwent many changes this offseason. asserted
Raiders → undergo → changes
They earned the #1 overall pick last year with a terrible season of their own. asserted
They → earn → own
That saw them dismiss Pete Carroll and bring in Klint Kubiak to take over the franchise. asserted
them → see → franchise
It also saw them select Fernando Mendoza with the first pick, and then they also grabbed Kirk Cousins, who worked with Kubiak previously. asserted
who → see → Kubiak
The Raiders tried to trade away Maxx Crosby in the offseason, but that was vetoed, and he is now back on the roster. asserted
he → try → roster
He should still be solid for the club, but there are questions around the rest of the defense. asserted
He → be → defense
Their new coach is also not a defensive guy, so there is reason to be concerned about this side of the ball. asserted
coach → be → ball
For some context, the Raiders are ranked 24th in the league for defensive line rankings. asserted
Raiders → rank → rankings
Brock Bowers is out for the game, and that hurts the Raiders, but I think it will be okay against the Dolphins. asserted
it → hurt → Dolphins
We have two quarterbacks in new spots, and questionable defenses. asserted
We → have → spots
Does that mean we will get a high-scoring game, or will the quarterbacks be too busy trying to figure things out? asserted
quarterbacks → mean → things
Personally, I think we get the higher-scoring game, but I’m not touching the total. asserted
I → think → total
I don’t think there is enough on one side or the other to really invest in it. asserted
I → think → it
I do lean toward the over 40.5, though. asserted
I → lean → 40.5
Instead, I’m backing the Raiders at -3 in this one. asserted
I → back → one
Las Vegas is one of the teams that I think will improve, but let’s not believe that they will win a ton of games. asserted
they → think → games
They are still going to miss the playoffs. asserted
They → go → playoffs
But for one game, the Raiders should win the game by at least three points, and I think they should win by five or more. asserted
they → win → five
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support