The Aporia · Maher than likely: The horse we expect to win the Caulfield Cup

Danny Russell

19 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction

🔮 Defending champ Half Yours (59kg) will carry an extra 5kg on last year’s win and a new jockey – Mark Zahra – after Jamie Melham opted to ride in The Everest.

2026-10-16 · assertive framing · Maher than likely: The horse we expect to win the Caulfield Cup

🔮 “I’m leaving with the view that this momentum and this growth and this strong performance will continue,” he said.

2026-10-11 · assertive framing · Profits prompt Wilson’s departure from VRC as he downplays talk of board rift

🔮 “The market percentage is higher, so, on average, all horses will be poor value in comparison long term,” Walters explained on X. “Doesn’t matter what you back.”

2026-10-11 · assertive framing · Racing’s big gambling problem, and why it’s hurting punters

🔮 Talented hoop Rachel King emerged on Saturday as a serious contender to win this year’s Cox Plate, a historic feat that would see the Sydney jockey smash one of racing’s unbroken glass ceilings.

2026-10-10 · assertive framing · Michelle Payne was first to break racing’s glass ceiling. Rachel King is lining up to smash another

🔮 Controversial elements of Munz’s early morning email never came to pass, including a proposal that would change the way the three clubs were governed in “exceptional circumstances”.

2026-10-07 · assertive framing · Inside Victorian racing’s power struggle and a last-minute change to new laws

🔮 I think we were pretty lucky that the visiting rider [on Smooth Chino] mistimed the winning post a little bit there, otherwise he might have got over the top of us.

2026-10-03 · assertive framing · ‘Do you want the filtered version?’ Trainer’s head in a spin after Melham’s close call

🔮 The Demons have also lost key support at state government level since the departure of former premier Jacinta Allen, who along with Sports Minister Steve Dimopoulos was seen as a chief ally, while the football club’s position could be further weakened by a Coalition victory at the upcoming state election.

2026-09-28 · assertive framing · ‘It’s a dead matter’: Fatal call on Melbourne’s plans to build a new home at Caulfield

🔮 Few thought his team could be denied their fate so late in the game before Brisbane willed themselves to victory.

2026-09-26 · assertive framing · The note that helped Patrick Voss after grand final heartbreak

🔮 Scans would later show he had a grade two strain, and should have been on the sidelines for a month.

2026-09-24 · assertive framing · ‘Who’s this bloke with no teeth?’ The raw talent who snubbed the NBA to become footy’s unicorn

🔮 The Lions could be forced to focus on Neale’s history of never having been suspended rather than contesting the intentional strike finding before the AFL Appeals Board, after reports that new vision had surfaced that is likely to be damaging to his case.

2026-09-24 · mixed framing · Lachie Neale tribunal appeal LIVE: New twist as Lions star attempts to overturn grand final suspension

Also by Danny Russell

Profits prompt Wilson’s departure from VRC as he downplays talk of board rift

2026-10-11 · The Sydney Morning Herald

Racing’s big gambling problem, and why it’s hurting punters

2026-10-11 · The Sydney Morning Herald

Michelle Payne was first to break racing’s glass ceiling. Rachel King is lining up to smash another

2026-10-10 · The Sydney Morning Herald

Inside Victorian racing’s power struggle and a last-minute change to new laws

2026-10-07 · The Sydney Morning Herald

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 19 articles by Danny Russell →

Perth businessman Bob Peters is the biggest owner in Western Australian racing, but chose a small-time Victorian trainer to prepare his star Cosmic Crusader leading into this spring. asserted

Peters → choose → spring

So far Andrea Leek, who trains on the rolling hills of her Nar Nar Goon North property, has got it right, winning three from five with the six-year-old gelding and rocketing into Caulfield Cup favouritism. asserted

it → train → favouritism

She is the David in the fight against racing’s Goliaths, taking on Australian mega trainers Chris Waller (three runners) and Ciaron Maher (five runners), as well as the international raiders. asserted

She → take → Waller

The Age dissects the Caulfield Cup field to rate the leading chances: asserted

Age → dissect → chances

Cosmic Crusader has been one of the surprise packets of the spring, smashing his Turnbull Stakes (2000m) rivals in the wet. asserted

Crusader → smash → wet

Drops to 56kg, but wide draw a worry and distance a slight query. asserted

distance → drop → kg

Defending champ Half Yours (59kg) will carry an extra 5kg on last year’s win and a new jockey – Mark Zahra – after Jamie Melham opted to ride in The Everest. asserted

Melham → carry → Everest

The UK raiders – Wine Dark Sea, Enfjaar and Starford – look formidable, but I’m wary of internationals first-up in Australia. asserted

I → look → Australia

The roughies: Chris Waller’s Ohope Wins is set to peak, don’t underestimate Gavin Bedggood’s Kingswood which will be rock-hard fit and Royal Supremacy (Maher) ran sixth last year but is in better form this year. asserted

Supremacy → set → form

Caulfield Cup tips: 1st Zahrann (No.16), 2nd Cosmic Crusader (No.2), 3rd Half Yours (No.1), 4th Royal Supremacy (No.9) Russell says: It’s an open Cup. asserted

It → say → ?

Zahrann ticks the boxes. asserted

Zahrann → tick → boxes

Cosmic Crusader has superior lead-up form, but concerned by the wide gate – barrier 17. asserted

Crusader → have → gate

Caulfield Cup trifecta: 1, 2, 16/ 1, 2, 16, 9/ 1, 2, 4, 7, 9, 10, 16, 17, Best bets: Private Eye (Race 6, No.1) looks better than his rivals. asserted

Eye → look → rivals

De Armas (Race 7, No.4) brings strong Sydney credentials. asserted

Armas → bring → credentials

Maher than likely: The horse we expect to win the Caulfield Cup

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