Wisconsin's Republican candidate for governor keeps his distance from Trump in nail-biter campaign

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Bauer, S. (2026, October 15). Wisconsin's Republican candidate for governor keeps his distance from Trump in nail-biter campaign. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/news/world/united-states/wisconsin-s-republican-candidate-for-governor-keeps-his-distance-from-trump-in-nail-biter-campaign/article_be5b9fe4-0633-5e35-bd10-bbc7657534fb.html

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Toronto Star · collected 2026-10-15 · by Scott Bauer

Quick Summary

In Wisconsin's gubernatorial race, Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany is trying to distance himself from President Trump’s unpopular policies while criticizing Democratic candidate David Crowley for being soft on crime and illegal immigration. The campaign remains tight, with recent polls indicating a close contest in the midterm election. Democrats see this as an opportunity due to low approval ratings for Trump, although Tiffany has secured financial backing from three billionaire donors to bolster his campaign.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-15, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 15, 2026, the Wisconsin gubernatorial race remains extremely tight between Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany and Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley. Despite Tiffany's close ties to President Donald Trump, he has recently distanced himself from some of Trump’s most unpopular policies regarding Iran. Tiffany has also secured substantial financial backing from three billionaire donors to criticize Crowley on issues like crime and illegal immigration. The race is closely contested due to Wisconsin's history as a battleground state where the Republican and Democratic voter bases are nearly evenly split, along with the national trend favoring Democrats in midterm elections given Trump’s historically low approval ratings.

Written for “Wisconsin Governor Race Avoids Trump” on 2026-10-15, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
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Leaning: leans right for article 82621 (medium confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-15

Story

📰 Wisconsin Governor Race Avoids Trump
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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Claims extracted
62
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
3 of 62 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
63/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
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1
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Toronto Star · 7344 article(s) · 20 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 20 correction(s)
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Scott Bauer
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Tiffany breaks with Trump on Iran and data centers Tiffany has been a longtime ally of Trump but in recent months has taken steps to distance himself from the unpopular Republican president. Tiffany voted five times against resolutions in the U.S. House that would’ve prohibited Trump from continuing military activities in Iran without congressional approval, but in May he said it was time to “wrap up” the war.
🔮 Elections officials in battleground Wisconsin on Thursday approved guidance for local clerks to help them know what to do if federal law enforcement officials show up at the polls on Election Day, as some activists fear might happen.
🔮 The shooting was not at a school-sponsored event, said Sherrod Willaford, superintendent of the Dooly County School System.
🔮 Political power in legislatures and governors’ offices is at stake in the November elections in more than one-third of the states, creating down-ballot drama in the midterms that could have significant implications for President Donald Trump’s agenda.
🔮 Democrats see his race as one that could break their way if the blue wave they’re working toward turns into a tsunami.
🔮 Any student found to have broken the law or university policy could be subject to sanctions ranging from a written reprimand to expulsion, the university said.
🔮 It’s a risky gambit given fears among Republicans that Trump’s sagging polling numbers, the unpopular Iran war and economic concerns will drag them down.
Also by Scott Bauer
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 7 articles by Scott Bauer →

Topics

Democrats ROCK SPRINGS Republican U.S. Wisconsin

Subjects

Tiffany ORG · 17× Trump PERSON · 12× Crowley PERSON · 11× Democrats NORP · 7× Wisconsin GPE · 5× David Crowley PERSON · 3× Iran GPE · 3× Republican NORP · 3× Milwaukee County GPE · 2× ROCK SPRINGS GPE · 2×

Narrative

The attacks and Tiffany’s financial advantage, along with Wisconsin’s long history as a state narrowly divided between Republicans and Democrats, is helping to keep the campaign close in a midterm election in which Democrats are hoping to notch big wins nationwide.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-15
🔮 Tiffany breaks with Trump on Iran and data centers Tiffany has been a longtime ally of Trump but in recent months has taken steps to distance himself from the unpopular Republican president. Tiffany voted five times against resolutions in the U.S. House that would’ve prohibited Trump from continuing military activities in Iran without congressional approval, but in May he said it was time to “wrap up” the war.

Claims (62 extracted, 3 hedged)

ROCK SPRINGS, Wis. (AP) — Democrats got the matchup they wanted for governor in Wisconsin. asserted
they → get → Wisconsin
Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley defeated a democratic socialist in the primary and faces one of President Donald Trump’s closest allies in Washington. asserted
Crowley → defeat → Washington
It’s a dream matchup for Democrats in a midterm election where Trump’s approval ratings are at record lows. asserted
ratings → ’ → lows
But the race remains close based on the latest public polling. asserted
race → remain → polling
Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, who survived a small plane crash while campaigning, distanced himself from some of Trump’s most unpopular policies while tapping three billionaire megadonors to hammer Crowley as weak on crime and illegal immigration. asserted
who → survive → crime
The attacks and Tiffany’s financial advantage, along with Wisconsin’s long history as a state narrowly divided between Republicans and Democrats, is helping to keep the campaign close in a midterm election in which Democrats are hoping to notch big wins nationwide. asserted
Democrats → divide → wins
“We think we’re in a great spot,” Tiffany said after a law enforcement roundtable in Rock Springs earlier this month. asserted
Tiffany → think → Springs
“We basically see a dead heat race at this point.” asserted
We → see → point
Democratic strategist Joe Zepecki said Crowley is doing better than people think — noting that in 2018, the last midterm when Trump was in office, Democrats defeated a two-term Republican incumbent governor and reelected U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin by double digits. asserted
Democrats → say → digits
The wave is shaping up to be even bigger for Democrats this year, he said. asserted
he → shape → Democrats
“The political environment is doing a lot of work for David Crowley,” Zepecki said. asserted
Zepecki → do → Crowley
“The handwringing is what Democrats do, and I’m fine with nervous energy motivating people to run through the tape on Nov. 3.” asserted
energy → do → Nov.
Tiffany breaks with Trump on Iran and data centers Tiffany has been a longtime ally of Trump but in recent months has taken steps to distance himself from the unpopular Republican president. Tiffany voted five times against resolutions in the U.S. House that would’ve prohibited Trump from continuing military activities in Iran without congressional approval, but in May he said it was time to “wrap up” the war. uncertain
it → break → war
In an interview with WMTV on Tuesday, Tiffany sidestepped a question about whether he approved of Trump’s performance. asserted
he → sidestep → performance
“The president is doing what he believes is best for the United States of America,” Tiffany said. asserted
Tiffany → do → America
“What I’m focused on is being the best governor possible in Wisconsin.” asserted
focused → focus → Wisconsin
Tiffany has also been critical of artificial intelligence data centers, breaking with Trump, who has said communities that don’t embrace them will be “backwards and poor.” asserted
that → break → them
Instead, Tiffany has tried to paint Crowley as an advocate for building data centers, referring to him as “Data Center David Crowley.” asserted
Tiffany → try → Crowley
Crowley has said his comments on AI data centers were taken out of context. asserted
comments → say → context
He has said local communities must have veto authority, while also calling data centers a part of the modern economy that could bring significant economic benefits to the state. uncertain
that → say → state
Tiffany and his supporters have tried to paint Crowley as weak on crime, hitting him for a Milwaukee County program that provides computer tablets to inmates that some used to contact and harass victims and witnesses. asserted
some → try → victims
Crowley last week suspended messaging features on the tablets after criticism from Tiffany. asserted
Crowley → suspend → Tiffany
Crowley targets Tiffany’s ties to Trump Crowley and his backers have tried to hammer Tiffany on his loyalty to Trump, his past support for the war in Iran, high tariffs and soaring gas prices. asserted
Crowley → target → Iran
Crowley this month launched an ad accusing Tiffany of pledging his loyalty to Trump and his billionaire backers. asserted
Crowley → launch → Trump
Tiffany raised more than $26 million during the most recent two-month reporting period, with $24 million-plus coming from just three people. asserted
million → raise → people
“These billionaires know that if they buy Congressman Tom Tiffany this election, he will sell Wisconsin out to them,” Crowley told supporters last week. asserted
Crowley → know → supporters
Tiffany said he thinks Crowley’s attacks linking him and Trump aren’t landing. asserted
attacks → say → him
“People of Wisconsin are really savvy voters,” Tiffany said. asserted
Tiffany → say → Wisconsin
“They’re like, ‘We’re not voting for president in this election. asserted
We → ’re → election
We’re voting for the governor.’ asserted
We → vote → governor
Liberal activist Scot Ross said Crowley and his supporters have to do more to remind voters about Tiffany’s ties to Trump given voter anger over high gas prices, the Iran war and inflation. asserted
Crowley → say → prices
“The number one thing in politics is anger wanes,” Ross said. asserted
Ross → wan → politics
“In campaigns, you need to be reminded why you’re angry. asserted
you → need → campaigns
And you’re angry because of what Tom Tiffany, Trump and Republicans have done.” asserted
Tiffany → ’re → what
Tiffany outspends Crowley asserted
Tiffany → outspend → Crowley
A Marquette University Law School poll of 692 likely voters conducted Sept. 16-23 showed the governor’s race to be about even. asserted
race → conduct → voters
Tiffany and his backers have outspent Crowley and his supporters $53 million to roughly $35 million, according to AdImpact, which tracks political advertising. uncertain
which → outspent → advertising
“We think that we have momentum on our side at this point,” Tiffany said. asserted
Tiffany → think → point
“I think David Crowley is struggling to get his message out.” asserted
Crowley → think → message
Republican strategist Ben Voelkel said given the “challenging national environment,” he thinks Tiffany is running a strong campaign aided by the financial advantage. asserted
Tiffany → say → advantage
…and 22 more, not listed.
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