The Liberals continue to lead nationally with 49 per cent support among decided voters and up three points since August.
asserted
Liberals → continue → August
Meanwhile, the Conservatives are sitting at 33 per cent (down one point).
asserted
Conservatives → sit → cent
“These results confirm once again that when Canada-U.S. relations take a downturn and/or President Trump starts attacking Canada, that’s good news for the Liberal Party, and it seems, bad news for Conservatives,” says Andrew Enns, executive vice-president, Central Canada for Leger.
asserted
Enns → confirm → Leger
The poll results show the Conservatives are followed by the Bloc Québécois at 7 per cent (up one), the NDP at 6 per cent (down two), the Greens at 3 per cent (down one), and other parties at 2 per cent (unchanged).
asserted
Conservatives → show → cent
Support for the Liberals is particularly strong in British Columbia (59 per cent), Ontario (53 per cent) and among Canadians aged 55 and over (60 per cent).
asserted
Support → age → cent
Conservatives have their strongest support in Alberta (64 per cent), Manitoba and Saskatchewan (47 per cent), as well as rural Canada (43 per cent).
asserted
Conservatives → have → Alberta
Canadians continue to express positive support for the federal government, with 57 per cent satisfied and 36 per cent dissatisfied with its current performance.
asserted
cent → continue → performance
Satisfaction is highest in Quebec (65 per cent) and among Canadians aged 55 and over (64 per cent).
asserted
Satisfaction → age → Canadians
It is lower in Alberta (37 per cent), Manitoba and Saskatchewan (46 per cent) and among those aged 35 to 54 (47 per cent).
asserted
It → age → cent
Support for Prime Minister Carney’s performance is also positive, with an approval rating of 58 per cent, while 34 per cent disapprove.
asserted
cent → disapprove → cent
His approval is highest in Quebec (68 per cent) and among Canadians aged 55 and over (67 per cent).
asserted
approval → age → Canadians
It is lower in Alberta (38 per cent) and among those aged 35 to 54 (51 per cent).
asserted
It → age → cent
“Younger adults are most anxious about their economic futures, so noise about a trade war and the PM warning to ‘expect difficult times ahead’ likely doesn’t sit particularly well with this generation,” says Enns.
asserted
Enns → expect → generation
“They are already feeling nervous about the breakneck pace that AI integration is on and the implications that has for future jobs and careers.”
asserted
that → feel → jobs
Opinion of the federal government and Carney continues to be strongly associated with federal voting intentions.
asserted
Opinion → continue → intentions
Satisfaction with the government reaches 91 per cent among Liberal voters, compared with just 21 per cent among Conservative voters.
asserted
Satisfaction → reach → voters
Approval of Prime Minister Carney’s performance stands at 92 per cent among Liberal voters and 23 per cent among Conservative voters.
asserted
Approval → stand → voters
Given the Liberal wins in three recent byelections in Ontario, Quebec and B.C. and the general pro-Canada sentiment, the survey results are no great surprise, says Enns.
asserted
Enns → give → Ontario
“The Liberals have increased their standing at the expense of Conservatives, NDP and Green.
asserted
Liberals → increase → Conservatives
Support for the Liberals is particularly high in Quebec, which is interesting given the provincial Liberal party is struggling to make up ground in that province’s provincial election.
asserted
party → give → election
It’s also high in B.C. and among voters age 55 and older.
asserted
It → ’ → voters
This online survey was conducted among 1,538 respondents 18 years of age or older between Sept. 5 and 7, 2026.
asserted
survey → conduct → Sept.
For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±2.5 per cent (19 times out of 20) for the sample.
asserted
sample → yield → sample
The Aporia
