Russia and Ukraine resume energy strikes despite Trump warnings

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
Cite

Kyiv, A. R. i. (2026, October 15). Russia and Ukraine resume energy strikes despite Trump warnings. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/15/us-effort-to-get-russia-ukraine-energy-ceasefire-collapses

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-10-15 · by Andrew Roth in Kyiv

Quick Summary

Despite warnings from former President Donald Trump about an "energy ceasefire," Russia intensified its attacks on Ukraine's infrastructure with a record number of drones, while Ukraine resumed strikes on Russian oil facilities. The Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced the resumption of these strikes as a response to ongoing hostilities and restrictions imposed by international partners. Reports indicate that Moscow accused Ukraine of hitting a refinery in Ryazan, which was among 850 drones targeting various parts of Ukraine including Kirovohrad, leading to casualties and damage to critical infrastructure.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-15, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Ukraine resumed attacks on Russian oil refineries after a brief truce declared by US President Donald Trump collapsed. The renewed strikes came hours after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told the Financial Times he would no longer adhere to Trump's ceasefire, expressing frustration with reduced US intelligence sharing and restrictions on Starlink internet service.

On Thursday morning, Ukraine targeted Rosneft’s Ryazan refinery southeast of Moscow, marking the first such attack since Trump declared an "energy ceasefire" over the weekend. Russian officials reported that air defenses downed 69 Ukrainian drones and four cruise missiles near the refinery, though debris from one drone sparked a fire.

Zelenskyy accused Washington of attempting to pressure Kyiv into concessions amid rising fuel prices in the US ahead of midterm elections. He also criticized Trump’s warm relations with autocrats and called for peace talks while demonstrating Ukraine's readiness to resume strikes if necessary.

Written for “Ukraine Resumes Strikes On Russian Refineries” on 2026-10-15, grounded in this article and the 7 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but every quote it verified points right, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 81840: score contradicts its own evidence · logged 2026-10-15

Story

📰 Ukraine Resumes Strikes On Russian Refineries
Politics · 8 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
South China Morning Post · 0.90 cosine similarity
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 6 📰 publisher trust 67
“Both articles describe Ukraine's resumption of strikes on a Russian refinery in Ryazan after President Trump announced an energy ceasefire, indicating the same specific incident.”
NBC News · 0.90 cosine similarity
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 22 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles describe the resumption of strikes on Russian oil refineries by Ukraine, following President Trump's announcement of an 'energy ceasefire', at the same time and place.”
Dawn
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 15 📰 publisher trust 71
“The articles describe different stages of the situation: Article A reports on Trump's claim of an energy ceasefire, while Article B discusses the resumption of attacks despite Trump's declaration.”
ABC News (US)
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 9% hedged 3 of 33 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles describe the collapse of a ceasefire declared by Donald Trump and the continuation of attacks on energy infrastructure in Ukraine and Russia occurring at the same time.”
The Dispatch
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different events occurring on separate dates and targeting distinct infrastructure types in different locations.”
The Independent
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 5 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles describe a specific attack on a Russian oil refinery in Ryazan by Ukraine, occurring after Ukrainian President Zelenskyy declared an end to the brief truce.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 20% hedged 1 of 5 📰 publisher trust 68
“Both articles describe Ukraine resuming strikes on Russian oil refineries immediately after President Donald Trump's unilateral ceasefire declaration, indicating the same incident.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 26 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles describe different phases of an ongoing situation, with Article A reporting on Trump's initial announcement and subsequent strikes by Russia on Oct 11, while Article B discusses the collapse of the ceasefire and continued attacks by both sides two days later.”
Mother Jones
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 21% hedged 8 of 38 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles describe different events: one about a claimed drone strike on Yandex data centers and its impact, and another about resumed energy strikes between Russia and Ukraine.”
ABC News (US)
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 1 of 16 📰 publisher trust 59
“While both articles discuss attacks on Russian refineries and President Trump's involvement, they describe different stages or responses to the situation rather than a single incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
31
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 31 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
67/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
8
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-15 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 1881 article(s) · 5 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 5 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Andrew Roth in Kyiv
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Zelenskyy said on Wednesday he would resume strikes on Russian oil refineries, after briefly halting them to demonstrate that Ukraine was ready for peace talks.
🔮 At least 600,000 people were now without power, he said, adding that outages could become even more widespread.
Also by Andrew Roth in Kyiv
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Kyiv Moscow Russia Russian Ukraine

Subjects

Ukraine GPE · 19× Russia GPE · 7× Russian NORP · 7× Trump PERSON · 7× Zelenskyy PERSON · 6× Kyiv GPE · 2× Moscow GPE · 2× Ukrainian NORP · 2× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× The White House’s ORG · 1×

Narrative

The White House’s unilateral effort to negotiate an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine has collapsed as Moscow sent a record swarm of drones overnight to attack infrastructure in central Ukraine and Kyiv appeared to resume strikes on Russian oil refineries – despite warnings from Donald Trump.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-15
🔮 Zelenskyy said on Wednesday he would resume strikes on Russian oil refineries, after briefly halting them to demonstrate that Ukraine was ready for peace talks.
2026-10-15 · The Guardian
Russia and Ukraine resume energy strikes despite Trump warnings · assertive framing

Claims (31 extracted, 1 hedged)

The White House’s unilateral effort to negotiate an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine has collapsed as Moscow sent a record swarm of drones overnight to attack infrastructure in central Ukraine and Kyiv appeared to resume strikes on Russian oil refineries – despite warnings from Donald Trump. asserted
Kyiv → negotiate → Trump
Moscow accused Ukraine of launching a strike against a Russian oil refinery in the Ryazan region, its first since Trump abruptly declared an “energy ceasefire” that neither Russia nor Ukraine said they had agreed to. asserted
they → accuse → that
Trump has demanded that Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop attacking Russian oil refineries, claiming it was the cause of a global rise in the price of diesel fuel. asserted
it → demand → fuel
Zelenskyy said on Wednesday he would resume strikes on Russian oil refineries, after briefly halting them to demonstrate that Ukraine was ready for peace talks. asserted
Ukraine → say → talks
“The block [on attacking refineries] is out. asserted
block → attack → refineries
We’re done,” he told the Financial Times. asserted
he → do → Times
He also attacked the gap in US intelligence sharing as “dangerous”. asserted
He → attack → sharing
Images from Ryazan showed flames at the refinery, which regional officials said had been targeted by 69 drones and four Flamingo cruise missiles. asserted
officials → show → drones
Debris from a drone struck by anti-aircraft fire had hit the refinery and sparked the fire, the ministry claimed. asserted
ministry → strike → fire
In Ukraine, more than 360 Russian drones targeted Kirovohrad, a central region that has been hit less hard than others closer to Russia, in attacks that killed three and injured six. asserted
that → target → six
“The enemy deliberately hit critical infrastructure, transport enterprises, logistics facilities and residential homes,” the regional governor, Andriy Raikovych, said in a statement. asserted
governor → hit → statement
Zelenskyy said Russia had attacked Ukraine with more than 850 Shahed drones at a time when the speed of Ukraine’s defensive capabilities was being “artificially restricted”, a reference to the sudden limitations on Ukraine’s use of the Starlink and Starshield mobile internet terminals. asserted
speed → say → terminals
“It is obvious that Russia deliberately chose to escalate its attacks after receiving sanctions relief and seeing attempts to pressure Ukraine,” Zelenskyy said in his social media post on X, referring to a growing quarrel with the Trump administration. asserted
Zelenskyy → choose → administration
“Ukraine needs steady support, above all in defending our skies. asserted
Ukraine → need → skies
We need HONESTY from our partners about this war: It is important that everyone in America stand not with the aggressor, but with our efforts to protect lives, end this war, and guarantee security.” asserted
everyone → need → security
Trump suddenly declared an “energy ceasefire” last week, writing on TruthSocial: “Effective immediately, there is an ENERGY CEASEFIRE in the War between Russia and Ukraine. asserted
Trump → declare → Russia
Both parties have agreed. asserted
parties → agree → ?
Despite Trump’s claims, however, Russia continued to launch heavy strikes on Ukraine’s civilian infrastructure, using hypersonic and ballistic missiles to target key Ukrainian power plants, leaving cities including Kyiv without power and water for hours. uncertain
Russia → continue → hours
Ukraine said it would not strike Russian oil refineries in the interim in order to show that it was ready for negotiations. asserted
it → say → negotiations
But the White House piled pressure on Zelenskyy to capitulate to Russia by threatening to cut programmes to deliver arms to Ukraine and to stop sharing US battlefield intelligence with Ukraine. asserted
House → pile → Ukraine
The US appeared to make good on some threats. asserted
US → appear → threats
Ukraine said it had not received advance warning from Washington of Russian missile strikes for several days this week. asserted
it → say → days
And on Wednesday, Ukrainian soldiers also complained that their access to Starshield programmes controlled by the US military had been restricted, scuppering drone missions on the frontlines. asserted
access → complain → frontlines
The feud between Zelenskyy and Trump has spun out of control over the last week. asserted
feud → spin → week
Trump, who believes that his support for Ukraine should come with a degree of control over the country’s leadership, has said that Ukraine should “get a new president”. asserted
Ukraine → believe → president
Asked on Thursday by Piers Morgan whether he felt betrayed, Zelenskyy said yes. asserted
Zelenskyy → ask → Morgan
“It’s a pity that we are losing, we are losing a strong partner,” he said. asserted
he → ’ → partner
Musk, the powerful head of SpaceX, which produces the Starlink terminals used by Ukraine’s military, has emerged as a top critic of Zelenskyy in the US. asserted
which → produce → US
On Thursday, Musk denied throttling the Starlink systems and said they were controlled by the US government. asserted
they → deny → government
But in a social media post commenting on a Zelenskyy statement that Ukraine would continue to fight until Russia’s defeat, he wrote: “And so the slaughter continues … asserted
slaughter → comment → defeat
Zelensky to go.” asserted
Zelensky → go → ?
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