Runner-by-runner guide to the 2026 Everest

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
Cite

Kerry, C. (2026, October 15). Runner-by-runner guide to the 2026 Everest. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/sport/racing/runner-by-runner-guide-to-the-2026-everest-20261015-p614uf.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

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The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-15 · by Craig Kerry

Quick Summary

This article provides a detailed preview of the 2026 Everest horse race at Royal Randwick Racecourse, focusing on three main contenders: Ka Ying Rising, Jimmysstar, and Giga Kick. Ka Ying Rising, trained by David Hayes and ridden by Zac Purton, is favored to win despite concerns about wet track conditions and a wide barrier draw. Jimmysstar, trained by Ciaron Maher with Nash Rawiller as jockey, showed strong form in his last race but has yet to prove himself on heavy ground. Giga Kick, trained by Clayton Douglas and ridden by Dylan Gibbons, is returning for a third attempt at the race after winning in 2022 and finishing second in 2024, with potential advantages if the track conditions are wet.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-15, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

On October 15, 2026, Craig Kerry from the Sydney Morning Herald published a guide for the upcoming 2026 Everest race at Royal Randwick Racecourse scheduled for October 17. One of the top contenders is Ka Ying Rising, trained by David Hayes and ridden by Zac Purton. Despite having an impressive record, including four Sha Tin track records and a projected winning streak of 22 races with over $37 million in prize money, Ka Ying Rising faces uncertainty due to potential wet track conditions. Hayes has concerns about the horse's performance on rain-affected going, though it has only raced once under such conditions and still won. The TAB odds for Ka Ying Rising are $1.50, reflecting its strong position as a favorite despite recent questions about its form.

Written for “Everest 2026 Race Guide” on 2026-10-15, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Everest 2026 Race Guide
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 12% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 5% hedged 2 of 43 📰 publisher trust 61
“Article A discusses the prospects of Tempted and Jimmysstar competing against Ka Ying Rising in the upcoming Everest race, while Article B provides a general guide to the 2026 Everest race including details about Ka Ying Rising's form.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
66
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
12%
8 of 66 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-15 · how these are computed

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Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 3743 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Craig Kerry
33 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The six-year-old, expected to take his winning streak to 22 on Saturday and prizemoney past $37 million, has raced just once on rain-affected going, and won.
2026-10-15 · assertive framing · Runner-by-runner guide to the 2026 Everest
🔮 Dale said he also discussed Super Norwest as an option with Hillier, but Rose Aye’s form won the spot, and he was confident it would hold up.
🔮 “Ka Ying, it’s his second time travelling and no doubt things would be smoother for him this time around, and he was able to win and win quite easy last time.
🔮 She will aim for another first-attempt win next week when she partners Warwoven in the Cox Plate at Flemington.
🔮 The switch of Pride Of Jenni to race at Randwick, the scene of her amazing breakaway win in the 2024 Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m), has built the mile feature into arguably the race of the Everest program, overshadowing the $20 million showpiece expected to be dominated by defending champion Ka Ying Rising ($1.50 favourite).
🔮 Nash Rawiller controlled the race on Saturday up front on Lindermann before Mott and Attrition ($6) wore them down late for a half-neck victory.
🔮 John O’Shea and Tom Charlton-trained Satono Glow, a $2.60 chance after a first-up group 3 win at Flemington, relished a hot speed set by favourite Paradoxium ($2) to come from midfield and take over inside the 100m for a one and a quarter length win over Steel Will.
🔮 If he wins, Warwoven will join stallion successes The Autumn Sun (2018) and Ole Kirk (2020) as colts to have completed the 1400m Golden Rose-1600m Caulfield Guineas double.
🔮 Pride, though, expected to keep Private Eye for a race next week in Melbourne after he has failed to find his best form on firm tracks at his past two starts in Sydney.
🔮 Schiller, who won the 2023 Tapp-Craig for the Hawkes on Makarena and the 2022 edition on Opal Ridge, was impressed with the debut but believed she could improve. “She’s a really nice horse, she’s very sharp and does everything reasonably right,” Schiller said.
Also by Craig Kerry
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 33 articles by Craig Kerry →

Topics

ATC Everest Hong Kong Jockey Club Linebacker TAB

Subjects

Coolmore PERSON · 2× Giga Kick PERSON · 2× Hayes PERSON · 2× Jimmysstar ORG · 2× TAB ORG · 2× Yulong ORG · 2× David Hayes PERSON · 1× Hong Kong Jockey Club ORG · 1× Ka Ying Rising PERSON · 1× Zac Purton PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Trainer: Brad Widdup Jockey: Zac Lloyd Slot-holder: Mulberry Racing Barrier: 7 Weight: 56.5kg TAB: $81 The four-year-old mare appeared a highly unlikely Everest candidate when she finished last first-up in the Toy Show Quality (1100m), but she has since put herself in the picture with a return to her on-pace best with a front-running win in the Sheraco Stakes (1200m) then second to Tempted in the Premiere (1200m).
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-15
🔮 The six-year-old, expected to take his winning streak to 22 on Saturday and prizemoney past $37 million, has raced just once on rain-affected going, and won.
2026-10-15 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Runner-by-runner guide to the 2026 Everest · assertive framing

Claims (66 extracted, 8 hedged)

Trainer: David Hayes Jockey: Zac Purton Slot-holder: Hong Kong Jockey Club (leased from ATC) Barrier: 11 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $1.50 Seemingly unbeatable for so long, Ka Ying Rising’s stranglehold on the race has been loosening slightly, in the public view at least, as the Everest nears. Sound familiar? asserted
Everest → lease → view
Last year, it was a plain trial effort behind Linebacker and Overpass that sparked speculation the Hong Kong superstar had not handled the trip for his first overseas mission and test away from the pristine Sha Tin surface. asserted
superstar → spark → surface
He still won by a length and a quarter, even though Hayes and Purton said he was below his best. asserted
he → win → best
This year, a likely wet track is the question mark as he returns as the world’s highest-rated horse with another four Sha Tin track records and lessons learned from last time. asserted
he → return → time
His lone Randwick trial, held on a soft 7, was better, but again he was shaded, this time by Ninja. asserted
he → hold → Ninja
The six-year-old, expected to take his winning streak to 22 on Saturday and prizemoney past $37 million, has raced just once on rain-affected going, and won. asserted
old → expect → going
Hayes has concerns about a genuine heavy Randwick track, which seems a real possibility, but he has also seen his star power through slush in trials. asserted
star → have → trials
A wide draw is another factor, but his early speed should overcome that. asserted
speed → overcome → that
New challenges, but class usually prevails. asserted
class → prevail → ?
Jimmysstar Trainer: Ciaron Maher Jockey: Nash Rawiller Slot-holder: TAB Barrier: 8 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $13 Third last year despite a wide gate and run, Jimmysstar appeared a logical choice for another Everest, especially after winning the Russell Balding and CF Orr Stakes at his next two starts. asserted
Jimmysstar → appear → starts
However, connections of the seven-year-old were weighing up other options after he finished five lengths away in the Memsie Stakes (1400m), before he was back to his best at 1200m when winning the Manikato last start to lock in another Everest with TAB. asserted
he → weigh → TAB
He has performed well on wet tracks, with five wins and four placings in 13 runs, including victory on a soft 7 at Randwick in the Russell Balding, but he is yet to tackle heavy ground. asserted
he → perform → ground
Rawiller is a quality replacement for Ethan Brown in the saddle and a kind run and hot tempo should have the winner of $10 million in the money again. asserted
winner → have → money
Trainer: Clayton Douglas Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Slot-holder: Coolmore Barrier: 12 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $34 A biennial Everest specialist, Giga Kick returns for a third go at the race after winning in 2022 and finishing runner-up in 2024. asserted
specialist → return → 2024
He has been 10th in the Moir Stakes and eighth in the Manikato Stakes this time in, but he has fired third up at Randwick before, winning the All Aged Stakes and finishing second in the TJ Smith Stakes. asserted
he → fire → Stakes
A wet track could be an advantage, given he won the Champions Sprint on a heavy track last spring and was second in the 2023 TJ in his other run on it. uncertain
he → give → it
The extreme outside draw looks a disadvantage, but runners coming down the outside might have an edge late in the day on a heavy, turn up track. uncertain
runners → look → track
Trainer: Chris Waller Jockey: Ben Melham Slot-holder: Yulong Investments (owner) Barrier: 2 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $51 Strangely the last confirmed starter for the race, the enigmatic stallion prospect for Yulong will run in his second Everest, this time for his owners. asserted
prospect → confirm → owners
The five-year-old Harry Angel entire looked the likely pick for Yulong after running through the line strongly for sixth, two lengths away, last year for slot-holder James Harron, before snaring a long-awaited group 1 last start in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes a month ago at 1400m. asserted
Angel → look → 1400
Confirmation, though, did not come until Monday. asserted
Confirmation → come → Monday
Perhaps connections had an eye on the forecast, as well as their other options, such as three-year-old colt Paradoxium, which faded to fourth in the Roman Consul. asserted
which → have → Consul
Often a tease for punters with his late surges to the line without winning, Angel Capital thrived on dry ground last start but has never raced on heavy going and has only a debut win on a soft 5 Cranbourne track to show from four goes on anything but good. asserted
Capital → win → anything
Talented, but he will get back and 1400m appears his best distance. asserted
m → get → ?
The inside gate should at least give him an economical trip in the running line. asserted
gate → give → line
Caballus Trainer: Bjorn Baker Jockey: Tim Clark Slot-holder: James Harron Bloodstock Barrier: 10 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $151 The penultimate pick for the field, the six-year-old Darby Racing gelding was a surprise choice last Friday for some after finishing fifth, almost four lengths off Tempted, when first-up in the Premiere Stakes. asserted
gelding → finish → Stakes
The group 1 Newmarket winner, though, has an exceptional second-up record of four wins in five attempts and is a tough, seasoned campaigner after coming back from a bleeding attack at Scone last year to break through at the top level. asserted
winner → have → level
A wet track looks to be no help. asserted
track → look → ?
He has won three times on soft going but all of those were on a five and his only try on heavy was an eighth in the Champions Sprint last November at Flemington. asserted
try → win → Flemington
The wide gate is another obstacle, although he may be able to follow stablemate and expected front-runner Blue Door, drawn in nine, across. 6. uncertain
he → follow → 6
Headwall Trainer: Matthew Smith Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy Slot-holders: Max Whitby, Neil Werrett, Col Madden and Steve McCann Barrier: 6 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $51 Looks over the odds after two excellent runs this preparation. asserted
TAB → look → runs
The seven-year-old returned after a year out with a pastern injury to rattle home after finding trouble and finish a half-length behind Tempted in the Concorde Stakes (1000m), a race he won in 2025. asserted
he → return → 2025
He was then strong again late when a length away from front-running winner Mazu in The Shorts (1100m). asserted
He → run → Shorts
A solid tempo and an extra 100m could have him in the mix again. uncertain
tempo → have → mix
Rain could enhance his chances. uncertain
Rain → enhance → chances
He easily won both runs on heavy tracks, although one was on debut at Newcastle and the other was a midweek benchmark race for five-year-olds and above. asserted
other → win → olds
He also has finished top three in all four soft-track runs, but he hasn’t raced on a wet track in more than two years. asserted
he → finish → years
Smith was pleased with the middle draw, which should give McEvoy the chance to find a spot closer in the run. asserted
which → please → run
Ninja Trainer: Michael Freedman Jockey: Tommy Berry Slot-holder: Fairway Thoroughbreds (part-owner) Barrier: 3 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $19 The first officially locked in for the Everest, Ninja was selected by part-owner John Camilleri, the man famous for breeding Winx, off his 1200m Missile Stakes win in August. asserted
Ninja → lock → August
The first-up victory over Napoleonic and Angel Capital followed a three-year-old season featuring wins in the Vo Rogue Plate (1300m) and Hobartville (1400m), and a luckless second in the Magic Millions Guineas (1400m). asserted
victory → follow → Guineas
Typically an on-pace runner which can absorb pressure, he made up decent ground after a run wide and back in the Shorts, when already in the Everest, but his stocks rose in an October 6 trial when going to the line just ahead of Ka Ying Rising on a soft 7 surface. asserted
stocks → absorb → surface
…and 26 more, not listed.
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