Win or lose, independent candidates want to meet voters in the middle

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NPR · collected 2026-10-13 · by Maham Javaid

Quick Summary

Seth Haskin, an independent candidate for congressional representative in Southwest Florida, campaigns in period attire to symbolize limited government principles. Meanwhile, Sarah Zabel, another independent running in Idaho's western district, sees her candidacy as a response to polarized parties and offers herself as a centrist alternative. Despite a record-high 45% of adults identifying as independents, only one independent currently serves in the House of Representatives, highlighting the challenge such candidates face in winning significant support or seats.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-13, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

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Story summary

Independent candidates like Seth Haskin and Sarah Zabel are running in congressional races across America, aiming to appeal to voters frustrated by partisan politics. Despite only one independent serving in the House—Kevin Kiley from California—the movement is gaining traction as partisan divisions intensify. Haskin, a 26-year-old candidate for Southwest Florida's district, wears period costumes and carries an old-fashioned bell to garner attention, while Zabel, running in Idaho’s western district, emphasizes that independents are now seen as a viable alternative rather than a novelty or protest vote. These candidates face significant challenges in standing out from the crowd but believe their non-partisan approach offers a fresh perspective on governance.

Written for “Independent Candidate Strategy” on 2026-10-13, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
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The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.25, but all 2 of its quote(s) are attributed speech - words the article quotes from someone, not the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 76067: attributed speech only · logged 2026-10-13

Story

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Cite this article

Javaid, M. (2026, October 13). Win or lose, independent candidates want to meet voters in the middle. NPR. https://www.npr.org/2026/10/13/nx-s1-5994388/2026-elections-midterm-independent-candidates

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Claims extracted
56
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
7%
4 of 56 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
60/100
NPR's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-13 · how these are computed

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Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

NPR · 685 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Maham Javaid
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Some could dismiss Haskin's attire as a stunt, and they may write off other independent candidates the same way.
🔮 "It might select some things that would reinforce and persuade you even more towards the way that you were leaning already," said Rafael Batista, a fellow at John Hopkins University, who studies how AI shapes the way people experience the world.
🔮 Sanders, the independent senator from Vermont, and Bannon, a former Trump White House adviser, will both appear at the "Pro-Human Assembly" in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday, alongside a diverse set of speakers, to convince Congress to work faster to curb the impact of AI.
🔮 Fetterman described McCormick as "the kind of senator that gets the job done," and said he was "proud to count him as my friend." Before the video aired, there were reports that Fetterman would openly praise President Trump, but ultimately, he didn't go that far.
🔮 A Believe in Wisconsin PAC ad for Wisconsin's Democratic gubernatorial nominee David Crowley, which the group spent $634,795 to air in August, promises that Crowley "will lower costs, make housing affordable, stop AI data centers from making your energy bills skyrocket."
🔮 "Failed politicians from Chicago and New York couldn't get elected in their own state, so they moved here.
🔮 Here's what to know Five states hold primaries Tuesday, with competitive House and Senate races that could ultimately decide control of Congress next year. Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington are all holding contests.
2026-08-04 · assertive framing · 5 states hold polls on Tuesday. Here's what to know
Also by Maham Javaid
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 7 articles by Maham Javaid →

Topics

American Congress House Idaho Republican

Subjects

Republican NORP · 5× Zabel PERSON · 5× Congress ORG · 4× Democratic NORP · 4× Haskin PERSON · 4× Idaho GPE · 4× Denver GPE · 2× House ORG · 2× MAGA ORG · 2× Trump PERSON · 2×

Narrative

Despite the significant chunk of Americans identifying as independents, right now just one independent serves in the House: Kevin Kiley. The congressman whose newly redrawn California district leans Democratic, switched from Republican to independent while in Congress and continues to caucus with Republicans, reported Politico.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-13
🔮 Some could dismiss Haskin's attire as a stunt, and they may write off other independent candidates the same way.

Claims (56 extracted, 4 hedged)

Win or lose, independent candidates want to meet voters in the middle These days, Seth Haskin often puts on a puff-sleeved linen shirt under an 18th century waistcoat, breeches fastened just below the knee, long socks and buckle shoes that make a distinctive clip-clop when he walks. asserted
he → win → clop
The outfit is meant to remind people of the Founding Fathers and evoke their idea of limited government, which the 26-year-old supports. asserted
old → mean → which
Haskin's day job is managing his family's coffee shop business but this year he's been vying for another position: independent congressional representative for Southwest Florida. asserted
he → manage → Florida
While campaigning, Haskin also carries an old-school bell. asserted
Haskin → campaign → bell
"Getting their [people's] attention is the biggest battle that most candidates have," Haskin said. asserted
Haskin → get → that
Some could dismiss Haskin's attire as a stunt, and they may write off other independent candidates the same way. uncertain
they → dismiss → candidates
Sarah Zabel, 61, an independent candidate for Idaho's western district, said that view is outdated. asserted
view → say → district
"Independents used to be a curiosity or a protest or a single issue," said Zabel. asserted
Zabel → use → ?
"Now, with the parties having gone to such extremes, independents are the necessary relief for the American voter." asserted
independents → go → voter
At a time when 45 percent of adults identify as political independents — a record high — and just a handful of tight races will decide control of Congress, the 173 independents running for the House this fall will test how big the political middle really is, and whether people who identify as independents will vote for one. asserted
who → identify → one
Despite the significant chunk of Americans identifying as independents, right now just one independent serves in the House: Kevin Kiley. The congressman whose newly redrawn California district leans Democratic, switched from Republican to independent while in Congress and continues to caucus with Republicans, reported Politico. asserted
district → identify → Politico
Some candidates said they were always independent, others said their political beliefs didn't change, but their parties did. asserted
parties → say → ?
While some are confident about winning, others said even a double-digit share of the vote will show both parties that it's time for change. asserted
it → win → change
Providing an alternative Zabel, who is running in a deep-red district in Idaho, describes herself as a "heritage Republican," or someone who used to be a Republican and adheres to conservative values. asserted
who → provide → values
But since 2018, during the first Trump administration, she stopped feeling in line with the Republican party and the "MAGA program." asserted
she → stop → party
The retired Air Force major general said she didn't feel represented by either party, and she soon learned that many of her neighbors felt the same way. asserted
many → retire → neighbors
"That's why I decided that I would step forward and be a candidate from the center," Zabel said. asserted
Zabel → decide → center
But the extremes you see, they are a minority." asserted
they → see → ?
The Cook Political Report rates the district, which voted for Trump by a 45-point landslide in 2024, as solid Republican for the incumbent, Rep. Russ Fulcher. asserted
which → rat → incumbent
Zabel, who noted that she would not caucus with either party if in Congress, recognizes that the Democratic nominee narrows her path to victory, but Zabel sees value "in showing Idaho and showing the country that we aren't the MAGA stronghold." asserted
we → note → country
In Colorado, Shimon Blau, a lifelong independent, did not intend to run for Congress. asserted
Blau → intend → Congress
Until Melat Kiros, 29, won the Democratic nomination for the state's 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the solidly Democratic city of Denver. asserted
which → win → Denver
"I was deeply disturbed by the results of the primaries in which our 30-year incumbent, Diana DeGette, was beat by a member of the Democratic Socialists of America," he said. asserted
he → disturb → America
"I was offended and bothered by [Kiros'] past antisemitic rhetoric, as well as a lot of her socialist beliefs." asserted
I → offend → beliefs
Kiros faced wide criticism in June for declining to describe a 2025 fatal firebombing attack on Jewish activists in Boulder, Colo., as antisemitic. asserted
Kiros → face → Boulder
Blau, the Denver-based physician, received an endorsement from The Denver Gazette on Oct. 6; it described him as the "candidate of conscience." asserted
it → base → conscience
Kiros' upset of DeGette propelled Blau to swiftly gather the 1,500 signatures he needed to be eligible to run as an independent. asserted
he → propel → independent
Blau believes that in a city as blue as Denver, Republicans are "more of the message candidate than independents," with the latter having a real chance at winning. asserted
latter → believe → chance
"I think there's a lot of disillusionment right now with both parties," he said. asserted
he → think → parties
"It seems like both of our traditional parties are leaning more and more towards the extremes." asserted
both → seem → extremes
Seth Haskin from Florida is also running in a district where one party has dominated for years. asserted
party → run → years
Trump won at least 60 percent of the vote in the past two presidential elections in Haskin's district, and local media mogul Jim Schwartzel won a tight and crowded Republican primary in August with almost 30 percent of the vote. asserted
Schwartzel → win → vote
A "strict constitutionalist," Haskin, who previously also ran for governor of Wisconsin as a write-in candidate, said he could've seen himself in either party before the Covid-19 pandemic, before he believed that both parties had been "captured by the same industry leaders and PAC money and foreign lobbies and everything else. uncertain
parties → run → leaders
Now, he's running as an independent because he thinks voters are ready for a change. asserted
voters → run → change
"Even if I don't win, if I can get double-digit percentage points as an independent candidate, I will get a lot of phone calls from both parties," he said. asserted
he → win → parties
"It's going to threaten the duopoly that they have, right? asserted
they → go → that
In competitive swing districts like Iowa's 1st and states with ranked-choice voting like Alaska, independents aren't campaigning on the idea that both parties have gone too far, but that neither is delivering. asserted
neither → rank → idea
Businessman Michael Bridgford is running as an independent against Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Christina Bohannan, the Democratic nominee and former state representative. asserted
Bridgford → run → Meeks
The Cook Political Report, which long had the race as a toss-up, recently rated the district as lean Democratic. asserted
which → have → Democratic
Bridgford said people are tired of the "dysfunction" from both parties and by watching Miller-Meeks and Bohannan compete, and they believe that independents can provide the stable center that will let the government solve problems. asserted
government → say → problems
…and 16 more, not listed.
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