Identity politics fade to the background in Quebec ahead of October’s provincial election

The Globe and Mail · collected 2026-09-09 · by Maura Forrest
Read the original at The Globe and Mail ↗

Summary

François Legault's Coalition Avenir Québec government has implemented several controversial laws on secularism and language, but ahead of Quebec's October 5 election, these issues are being largely ignored in favor of more pressing topics such as the trade war with the US. Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon recently sparked backlash for comments on immigration that were later revealed to be based on flawed statistics. The campaign has instead focused on economic and trade issues, with US President Donald Trump serving as a dominant figure in the debate. Experts say this shift away from identity politics is a welcome change, given the past use of these issues by the CAQ government for "wedge politics".
Written by the local model on 2026-09-09, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
40
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
10%
4 of 40 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher trust
39.7
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-09 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

In the lead-up to Quebec's provincial election on October 5, there is little talk about identity politics, which were a central issue during the 2018 campaign. Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leader François Legault promised to introduce Bill 21, a law banning public employees from wearing religious symbols at work. The bill was passed and became a cornerstone of Legault's brand of nationalism. However, with the country's top court expected to issue a decision on the law in the coming months, there is currently no desire among political leaders to revive the debate over secularism and language rules. The Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has instead shifted focus to issues such as overcrowding in schools. The change in conversation may be due in part to an escalating trade war with the United States, which is overshadowing other campaign topics.

Written for “Quebec Provincial Election” on 2026-09-09, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but none of the 2 quote(s) it offered could be found in the article text, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 7396: no verified evidence · logged 2026-09-09

Story

📰 Quebec Provincial Election
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.

Publisher

The Globe and Mail · 136 article(s) · 11 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 11 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Maura Forrest
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 On the eve of the 2018 Quebec election campaign, François Legault made a promise that would help define his nearly eight years as premier.
🔮 Paul St-Pierre Plamondon suggested Friday that it’s no coincidence Prime Minister Mark Carney has made several recent announcements alongside Quebec Premier Christine Fréchette, ahead of a campaign in which the PQ is promising a third referendum on independence. He said the federal Liberals largely ignored the requests of the CAQ government until the eve of the provincial election, which is scheduled for Oct. 5. “I think we should be concerned about the possibility that this could be the greatest federal interference in our affairs and our election since 1995,” he told reporters in response to questions at a press conference in the northern town of Chibougamau.
More on this subject from Maura Forrest

Topics

Bill 21 CAQ Coalition Avenir Québec government Quebec the United States

Subjects

Quebec GPE · 7× CAQ ORG · 4× Quebeckers NORP · 3× Legault PERSON · 2× Pelletier PERSON · 2× Coalition Avenir Québec government ORG · 1× François Legault PERSON · 1× Parti Québécois ORG · 1× Paul St-Pierre Plamondon PERSON · 1× the United States GPE · 1×

Narrative

This was on full display last week, when Élections Québec announced it would be mailing out voter information in French only for the first time, to comply with the CAQ government’s 2022 overhaul of the province’s French-language charter, known as Bill 96.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-09
🔮 On the eve of the 2018 Quebec election campaign, François Legault made a promise that would help define his nearly eight years as premier.

Claims (40 extracted, 4 hedged)

On the eve of the 2018 Quebec election campaign, François Legault made a promise that would help define his nearly eight years as premier. asserted
that → make → premier
A Coalition Avenir Québec government would table a bill on secularism within a year, he declared. asserted
he → table → year
Judges, police officers and teachers would no longer be allowed to wear religious symbols on the job. asserted
Judges → allow → job
Bill 21 was the first in a series of controversial and broadly popular laws, intended to defend Quebec values, which became a cornerstone of Mr. Legault’s brand of nationalism. asserted
which → intend → nationalism
But in this fall’s election campaign, overshadowed by an escalating trade war with the United States, no one wants to talk much about identity politics. asserted
one → overshadow → politics
The subject could return to the fore with the country’s top court expected to issue a landmark decision on Bill 21 in the coming months. uncertain
court → return → months
But ahead of the Oct. 5 election, the province’s political leaders seem to have little desire to reignite a debate over secularism and language rules that now seem like a fait accompli. asserted
that → seem → accompli
Late last month, in the first days of the campaign, Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon stood in front of a Quebec City high school and declared that the province’s schools are overflowing because of too many immigrant children. asserted
schools → stand → children
He used the modular classrooms recently added to the school as a backdrop to reiterate his promise to slash immigration to Quebec. asserted
He → use → Quebec
The stunt earned him considerable pushback. asserted
stunt → earn → pushback
Quebec newspaper Le Devoir revealed the numbers he’d cited didn’t differentiate between newcomers and the Quebec-born children of immigrants. asserted
he → reveal → immigrants
Ruba Ghazal, a co-leader of the left-leaning Québec solidaire, demanded to know who Mr. St-Pierre Plamondon considers to be true Quebeckers. asserted
Plamondon → lean → solidaire
Journalist and author Francine Pelletier said the move blew up in his face. asserted
move → say → face
It was a rare moment in a campaign that has largely steered clear of such thorny subjects. asserted
that → steer → subjects
Christine Fréchette, who succeeded Mr. Legault as premier in April, has shown little interest in pursuing her predecessor’s nationalist agenda. asserted
who → succeed → agenda
“It’s something that’s uncomfortable and doesn’t come to her naturally, so it’s mysteriously disappeared,” Ms. Pelletier, who recently published a book on Quebec nationalism, said. asserted
who → ’ → nationalism
Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump has emerged as the bogeyman of the campaign, and there are “much bigger fish to fry,” she added. asserted
she → emerge → campaign
“As long as we’re dealing with the monster … I don’t think we’ll be dabbling in quaint provincial policies.” asserted
we → deal → policies
Montreal-based Stephen Brown, CEO of the National Council of Canadian Muslims, said it’s “actually a breath of fresh air to not see minorities front and centre” in this campaign. asserted
minorities → base → campaign
The CAQ government has long used identity issues “to play wedge politics” and shore up the nationalist vote, he said, including after its support collapsed in recent years. asserted
support → use → years
In the last year alone, the CAQ passed two new laws strengthening the province’s secularism rules, including by expanding the ban on religious symbols and limiting prayer in public places. asserted
CAQ → pass → places
But right now, Mr. Brown said, nobody’s interested. asserted
nobody → say → ?
“As long as Quebeckers are much more concerned with pocketbook issues, that’s what politicians are going to talk about. asserted
politicians → ’ → what
Still, that silence cuts both ways. asserted
silence → cut → ?
If no one is proposing major new identity policies, they’re also not complaining about the ones that already exist. asserted
that → propose → ones
The CAQ government’s laws on secularism and protection of the French language were generally popular in Quebec, and political parties don’t have anything to gain by attacking them, Ms. Pelletier said. asserted
Pelletier → have → them
“I think people would like to move on.” asserted
people → think → ?
This was on full display last week, when Élections Québec announced it would be mailing out voter information in French only for the first time, to comply with the CAQ government’s 2022 overhaul of the province’s French-language charter, known as Bill 96. asserted
it → announce → Bill
Despite backlash, Ms. Fréchette said the decision would stand, and insisted the rights of English-speaking Quebeckers were being respected. asserted
rights → say → Quebeckers
Eva Ludvig, president of TALQ, a group representing Quebec anglophones, said the decision “has created a lot of anger in the English-speaking community.” asserted
decision → represent → community
But she said there is currently no champion of Quebec’s English speakers among the province’s main political parties. asserted
she → say → parties
“We’ve always had much greater access,” she said. asserted
she → have → access
“This is the first time where we are totally excluded from this election.” asserted
we → exclude → election
Ms. Ludvig said that even the opposition Liberals, traditionally the defenders of minority language rights, have not wanted to rock the boat. asserted
Liberals → say → boat
The Liberals are lagging far behind the PQ and the CAQ among francophone voters, as Leader Charles Milliard tries to build momentum after a lacklustre start to his campaign. asserted
Milliard → lag → campaign
“He has been really avoiding much of anything that would be perhaps controversial in terms of support for the English-speaking community,” Ms. Ludvig said. asserted
Ludvig → avoid → community
The debate over how Mr. Legault reshaped Quebec nationalism may be on hold, but it’s certainly not over. uncertain
it → reshape → hold
The Supreme Court of Canada’s coming ruling on Bill 21 could set limits on the use of the notwithstanding clause, which the CAQ government invoked repeatedly to protect its secularism and language laws from constitutional challenges. uncertain
government → come → challenges
Ms. Pelletier said the court’s decision could bring identity politics back to centre stage. uncertain
decision → say → stage
“Nothing riles us more here … than having someone outside Quebec tell us what we should do, or tell us who we are.” asserted
we → rile → us
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