‘We are in crisis’: The HSC subject bleeding enrolments

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-12 · by Christopher Harris

Quick Summary

Teachers and educators in New South Wales are sounding the alarm over a significant decline in students enrolling in Higher School Certificate drama courses. Public school enrollment in drama fell from 2403 in 2016 to just 1441 last year, representing a 40% drop over the past decade. The situation is described as a "crisis" by Drama NSW president Amy Gill, who highlights concerns about teacher shortages and dwindling career opportunities in the arts sector. The letter from Drama NSW to Education Minister Prue Car calls for increased support for performing arts education, emphasizing its benefits to students' personal development and community engagement.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-12, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Drama enrolments for Higher School Certificate (HSC) have seen a significant decline, with fewer than 1000 girls and 436 boys from public schools enrolling last year, marking a 40% drop over the past decade according to figures from the NSW Department of Education. Teachers and Drama NSW have raised concerns in a letter to Education Minister Prue Car, urging for increased support for performing arts education amid a nationwide reduction in creative arts courses at universities and TAFE institutions. Meanwhile, 79,675 students are set to take part in the upcoming HSC exams spanning about 350 hours, starting with English on October 17th. Drama exams will be held on October 22nd.

Written for “Hsc Subject Enrolment Crisis” on 2026-10-12, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high 3 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans left for article 73553 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-12

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
38
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
3%
1 of 38 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Correction & hedging signals
60.8
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Education
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-12 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Hsc Subject Enrolment Crisis
Education · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.

Publisher

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Who wrote this

Christopher Harris
11 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 In the next four weeks, 79,675 students are expected to complete at least one of the 123 written HSC exams that will span about 350 hours, starting with 75,348 putting their heads down for the first English paper from 9.50am on Tuesday.
🔮 Snowballing tuition hikes mean the cost of 13 years of an independent education is set to reach $800,000 by the end of the next decade if school fees continue to grow at 5 per cent each year.
2026-10-10 · assertive framing · The cost of 13 years of private school to hit $800k
🔮 The Reserve Bank of Australia decided it was in the “public interest” to ban surcharges on card payments from October 1 and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said it could make the cost of a cup of coffee cheaper.
🔮 Universities Australia chief executive Luke Sheehy said curbing international students would be “extraordinarily challenging” for universities.
🔮 Education Minister Jason Clare said recent funding agreements would result in $20 billion flowing into public schools in coming decade under the needs-based Gonski funding model.
🔮 When high school leaders were asked, only 10 per cent believed students could self-regulate their use of technology when learning.
🔮 Mathematics teacher Eddie Woo said the increase in students choosing the extension course reflected students’ growing awareness of where maths could take them in their careers, as well as the early grades of high school where teachers built up students’ capability.
2026-10-04 · assertive framing · The difficult HSC subject boys are rushing to enrol in
🔮 An all-boys school which promised to be the first in Australia to deliver a classical education spanning Plato to Aristotle will close its doors just four years after opening because it failed to attract enough students.
🔮 When Lee Casuscelli got her first job out of teachers college in the 1980s, she was given what might be termed a challenging first assignment at The Grange Public School in south-west Sydney.
🔮 But a month later, he realises it is unlikely he or the police will ever find the identity of the man who attacked him due to a lack of CCTV at the bus stop where he was hit.
Also by Christopher Harris
The cost of 13 years of private school to hit $800k
2026-10-10 · The Sydney Morning Herald
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2026-10-10 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 11 articles by Christopher Harris →

Topics

Drama NSW Education HSC Higher School Certificate NSW Department of Education

Subjects

Drama NSW ORG · 2× Amy Gill PERSON · 1× Australia GPE · 1× Catholic NORP · 1× Education ORG · 1× HSC ORG · 1× Higher School Certificate ORG · 1× NSW Department of Education ORG · 1× Ned Manning PERSON · 1× Prue Car PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Research published this year found a nationwide reduction of available creative arts courses at universities and TAFE. NIDA director of learning and innovation Andrew Comrie said applications for 2027 study were up 13 per cent on last year.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-12
🔮 In the next four weeks, 79,675 students are expected to complete at least one of the 123 written HSC exams that will span about 350 hours, starting with 75,348 putting their heads down for the first English paper from 9.50am on Tuesday.
2026-10-12 · The Sydney Morning Herald
‘We are in crisis’: The HSC subject bleeding enrolments · assertive framing

Claims (38 extracted, 1 hedged)

A long, steady decline in students choosing to study Higher School Certificate drama has put the subject in a state of crisis, teachers say, as they urge the education minister to boost performing arts education. asserted
they → choose → education
Fewer than 1000 girls in public schools enrolled in drama last year, following a 40 per cent drop over the past decade, NSW Department of Education figures show. asserted
figures → enrol → Education
There were 436 boys, which was also a decline from the previous year. asserted
which → be → year
In the next four weeks, 79,675 students are expected to complete at least one of the 123 written HSC exams that will span about 350 hours, starting with 75,348 putting their heads down for the first English paper from 9.50am on Tuesday. asserted
75,348 → expect → Tuesday
The second English paper will be taken on Wednesday, and exams for maths subjects start the following Monday. asserted
exams → take → subjects
Drama students will take their exams on October 22. asserted
students → take → October
The peak group for teachers of the subject recently wrote to Education Minister Prue Car about plummeting enrolments. asserted
group → write → enrolments
The letter from Drama NSW followed the release of a 10-year plan to improve the state of music education in public schools, promising every student the opportunity to learn an instrument. asserted
letter → follow → instrument
“Our concern is not that music has been included. asserted
music → include → ?
It is that the other arts disciplines have not,” the letter said. asserted
letter → have → ?
“Research has consistently connected drama education with stronger belonging, engagement, confidence, communication, empathy, problem-solving, ethical reasoning and community connection.” asserted
Research → connect → belonging
The letter cited research pointing to a “polycrisis” swirling around drama, ranging from teacher shortages to increasingly fragile pathways into the creative workforce for students. asserted
letter → cite → students
Drama NSW president Amy Gill said the enrolment drop was “devastating”. asserted
drop → say → ?
“There’s a real sense in the drama education community that we are in crisis,” she said. asserted
she → ’ → crisis
Parents were increasingly failing to see the performing arts as a viable long-term career for their children due to the broader state of the arts sector around Australia, which may be having an impact on subject choices. uncertain
which → fail → choices
“Musicals are shutting down across the country,” she said. asserted
she → shut → country
Public school enrolments in drama fell from 2403 in 2016 to 1441 last year. asserted
enrolments → fall → 1441
Across public, private and Catholic schools, enrolments dipped from 4724 to 3192 over the same period, a drop of 33 per cent. asserted
enrolments → dip → cent
Other creative subjects, including dance, alongside textiles and design, have suffered as enrolments declined 20 per cent over the past decade. asserted
enrolments → include → decade
Ned Manning, an actor who has also taught drama in NSW high schools, said amid a push for STEM subjects, the creative arts had fallen by the wayside in schools. asserted
arts → teach → schools
“You need the leadership teams in the schools to say: ‘This is worthwhile’,” he said. asserted
he → need → schools
“The reason why the numbers have dropped off is that a lot of the schools, for various reasons, have stopped offering it.” asserted
lot → drop → it
DiAnne McDonald, head of drama at Brigidine College St Ives, said numbers dropped off during the COVID era when the class was taught remotely. asserted
class → say → era
“The federal government also started to charge double for arts courses at university – and students looked at where the subject was going to take them.” asserted
subject → start → them
She said drama helped students succeed in every other subject because it was the antithesis of the online world, helping bolster real-world personal communication skills such as eye contact. asserted
it → say → contact
“Students are living in a digital world, and the digital world doesn’t give them a lot of confidence. asserted
world → live → confidence
Drama has that very hands-on subject which bolsters human connection.” asserted
which → have → connection
Research published this year found a nationwide reduction of available creative arts courses at universities and TAFE. NIDA director of learning and innovation Andrew Comrie said applications for 2027 study were up 13 per cent on last year. asserted
applications → publish → year
“The drop in the number of school students choosing drama is concerning, though,” he said. asserted
he → choose → drama
“Performing arts education benefits everyone. asserted
education → perform → everyone
It builds confidence, communication, collaboration and creative thinking, which are skills that matter in any career.” asserted
that → build → career
Dulwich High School student Arden Fogarty wanted to study wood technology in the HSC; when he was unable to enrol, he ended up in drama. asserted
he → want → drama
“I was kind of very against it, for some reason,” he said. asserted
he → say → reason
He links that hesitation, and the falling numbers, with peer pressure and perhaps his fellow students’ hesitation to perform in front of others and the potential for embarrassment. asserted
He → link → embarrassment
I think it’s because year 10, 11 and 12 are the years when it gets more of that kind of thing of trying to stay cool. asserted
it → think → thing
But that faded quickly after his teacher got him working with new classmates he was not friends with. asserted
he → fade → classmates
There was a group performance, which was selected to subsequently perform for more than 400 students. asserted
which → be → students
“It was actually the best choice,” he says of his decision. asserted
he → say → decision
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