White House report card: History has not been kind to presidents bouncing from state to state

Read the original at Washington Examiner ↗
Washington Examiner · collected 2026-10-09 · by Rob Crilly

Quick Summary

This piece discusses President Donald Trump's recent activities and approval ratings amid the Iran conflict. His approval has dropped from about 48% to around 35%, likely due to his handling of the war with Iran, which is not favorable for midterm elections. The president spent a busy week traveling through red states, signing an executive order in Nebraska aimed at reducing diesel fuel prices and promoting economic investments in Maryland and Texas. Despite these efforts, there are concerns about Republican candidates' chances in key races, including Governor Greg Abbott's reelection bid in Texas. Trump also hosted the "Golden Age of American Innovation Summit" at the White House, awarding National Medals of Science to several tech industry leaders while facing criticism for cutting federal research funding and the recipients' ties to his campaign.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-09, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that he would not attack Iran before the November 3rd Midterm Elections in the United States. This statement comes as his approval ratings dropped from about 48% to around 35%, partly due to concerns over the war with Iran, which is viewed negatively by voters. Meanwhile, tensions continue to rise: at least eight tankers were attacked while transiting the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, causing oil prices to surge and stock markets to fall. Additionally, escalating conflicts between Houthis and Saudi Arabia further complicate energy exports from the region. These developments highlight Trump's efforts to shift focus away from Iran ahead of critical midterm elections.

Written for “Presidential Approval Ratings” on 2026-10-09, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it +0.35, but all 2 of its quote(s) are attributed speech - words the article quotes from someone, not the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 68750: attributed speech only · logged 2026-10-09

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
73
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
1%
1 of 73 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Correction & hedging signals
69.4
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-09 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Presidential Approval Ratings
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.

Publisher

Washington Examiner · 2398 article(s) · 4 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)
2026-10-09
Christa Pike woke up: With a 7% botch rate, lethal injection is an engineering disaster
2026-10-03
Tennessee’s prison chief resigns after failed Christa Pike execution, Bill Lee says
2026-10-03
Alito says there’s no perfect time to retire while confirming he will reconsider next year
2026-10-01
Christa Pike was set to be the first woman to be executed in Tennessee in 200 years before botched attempts: What to know

Who wrote this

Rob Crilly
9 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 “We will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the Midterm Elections to be held in the United States on November 3rd,” he posted on Truth Social on Thursday.
🔮 No word on if the CEOs will adopt Trump’s “super intelligence” rebrand
🔮 “It was all anyone could think about for days,” said one employee in the parking lot outside its Wichita hangars.
🔮 Could that be about to change?
🔮 They announced Monday that they would not cover the president’s public activities as part of the TV pool — sharing footage with other broadcasters and outlets — while the ban remained in place.
🔮 As usual, we run the rule over Donald Trump’s week, and we celebrate the New York Times reaching 175 years of age with an “editor’s note” for the ages, plus we ask whether AOC would even want Hasan Piker to campaign for her.
🔮 The strategy document, shared with Secrets, explains that culture war issues — such as attacking what it calls the “left’s gender radicalism” — poll well with voters, but will not be enough to save the House or the Senate.
🔮 That would be unwise,” he added.
🔮 Have a great holiday weekend, and Secrets will be back at it on Tuesday.
Also by Rob Crilly
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 9 articles by Rob Crilly →

Topics

Anthropic Iran Republican Washington Secrets the Midterm Elections

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 6× Iran GPE · 4× Alabama GPE · 2× GOP ORG · 2× Republican NORP · 2× Texas GPE · 2× Anthropic ORG · 1× Benedict Arnolds PERSON · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Washington Secrets ORG · 1×

Narrative

All of this while he is not sacrificing anything at all as he continues to talk about a new presidential retreat at his golf club near Mar-a-Lago, an arch that will bear his name, an overly extravagant ballroom, and so on. His own MAGA folks are not even buying it.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-09
🔮 “We will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the Midterm Elections to be held in the United States on November 3rd,” he posted on Truth Social on Thursday.

Claims (73 extracted, 1 hedged)

If a friend sent you this and you’d like to sign up, CLICK HERE. asserted
you → send → this
As usual, today we run the rule over the president’s week with two political strategists. asserted
we → run → strategists
Plus, who did the chief executive of Anthropic label as “Benedict Arnolds?” asserted
executive → label → Arnolds
As so often, you can rely on President Donald Trump to say the quiet part aloud. asserted
you → rely → part
“We will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the Midterm Elections to be held in the United States on November 3rd,” he posted on Truth Social on Thursday. asserted
he → attack → Thursday
The president’s approval rating has sunk from about 48% to somewhere around 35% (depending on which polls you read) today since he launched the war with Iran. asserted
he → sink → Iran
It is no wonder that he wants the war to sink into a low-level confrontation and blockade so that Americans can forget all about it. asserted
Americans → want → it
That reckons without the Iranians, unfortunately. asserted
That → reckon → Iranians
Oil prices surged on Thursday, and stock markets fell after at least eight tankers were attacked as they transited the Strait of Hormuz. asserted
they → surge → Hormuz
At the same time, escalating exchanges between Houthis and Saudi Arabia have only added to the difficulties of exporting energy from the region. asserted
exchanges → escalate → region
It is almost as if Iran is deliberately increasing pressure on Trump during the final month of midterm campaigning. asserted
Iran → increase → campaigning
For his part, the president had another busy week hopping around red states. asserted
president → have → states
He used the occasion to sign an executive order designed to reduce the price of diesel fuel, but the headlines were all about what he said on Iran. asserted
he → use → Iran
“They can take out a city. asserted
They → take → city
Let them take out Los Angeles. asserted
them → let → Angeles
Let them take out San Diego,” he said, apparently in an effort to justify the war, but drew sharp pushback from Gov. Gavin Newsom and California local mayors. asserted
he → let → Newsom
On Tuesday, it was Sparrows Point, Maryland, near Baltimore, to publicize a $3.7 billion Anduril Industries investment to build nuclear-submarine components at a shipyard on the site of the shuttered Bethlehem Steel mill. asserted
it → publicize → mill
The next day, he flew to San Antonio to try to shore up Republican candidates in Texas. asserted
he → fly → Texas
Such is the panic in Republican circles that they are worried about Gov. Greg Abbott‘s (R-TX) reelection chances, let alone Ken Paxton‘s Senate race. asserted
they → worry → chances
The president stayed at the White House on Thursday for a splashy “Golden Age of American Innovation Summit.” asserted
president → stay → Summit
He awarded National Medals of Science to Tesla founder Elon Musk, Google co-founder Sergey Brin, Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang, and Advanced Micro Devices chief executive Lisa Su. asserted
He → award → Musk
“We live in an age of American wonders and technological marvels, and with the help of the brilliant men and women here today, we will always be on top,” Trump said. asserted
Trump → live → top
Some commentators said the event sat awkwardly alongside the administration’s cuts to federal research funding and the fact that most of the honorees are major Trump or GOP donors. asserted
most → say → honorees
Trump heads to Syracuse, New York, later on Friday, for a campaign rally. asserted
Trump → head → rally
On Saturday, the destination is Clarksville, Tennessee, followed by Tuscaloosa, Alabama, for the Georgia-Alabama football game. asserted
destination → follow → game
So what do our two strategists make of it all? asserted
strategists → make → it
John Zogby: F “Frantic” and “panic” are words to associate with Trump this week. asserted
Frantic → associate → Trump
He’s reading the polls (both public and private) and sensing that the GOP is on the ropes this fall. asserted
GOP → read → ropes
His approval rating remains at or near its lowest level, and it is underwater in 47 of 50 states. asserted
it → remain → states
He is traveling from red state to red state to shore up his base, but in normal times that would be seen as non-productive. asserted
that → travel → times
These are not normal times, and he is meeting boos and jeers from previous Trump voters at every stop. asserted
he → meet → stop
The president is attempting to plug some leaks among his supporters while more and more candidates are running away from him, including in Texas and Florida. asserted
candidates → attempt → Texas
But this year, we are experiencing a politics of disappointment. asserted
we → experience → disappointment
The history of desperate presidents bouncing from state to state is fraught with risk. asserted
history → bounce → risk
Reports that he was drunk and combative with crowds led to a massive Republican wave and veto-proof Congress — and impeachment. asserted
he → lead → wave
Woodrow Wilson, against the advice of pretty much everyone, took to the whistle-stop approach to campaign for his League of Nations. asserted
Wilson → take → Nations
He lost it and suffered a stroke, which debilitated him physically and shut him off from the public in the last months of his incumbency. asserted
which → lose → incumbency
He faced a fractured Democratic Party with a candidate from the left (former VP Henry Wallace) and the right (segregationist Strom Thurmond). asserted
He → face → left
Still unknown to many Americans, he got to show off a midwestern everyman authenticity that was missing from his effete GOP opponent, Thomas Dewey. asserted
that → get → opponent
He is talking about how life in the U.S. is better, how Iran is on the ropes, prices are coming down, and Americans need to sacrifice a little longer for things to get better. asserted
things → talk → ropes
…and 33 more, not listed.
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support