Andy Burnham's record at stopping the boats worse than Sir Keir Starmer's, figures show, with larger proportion of Channel migrants successfully reaching Britain

Read the original at Daily Mail ↗
Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-09 · by David Churchill

Quick Summary

Mail analysis shows Andy Burnham’s performance in stopping migrants crossing the Channel from France to Britain via small boats is worse than his predecessor Sir Keir Starmer’s. During Burnham's first ten weeks as prime minister, 6,666 of 10,048 attempted crossings succeeded, compared to 9,959 out of 17,966 under Starmer. Critics argue this indicates the issue is not a priority for Burnham, who did not address it in his maiden speech or recent Labour party conference.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-09, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Andy Burnham's record at stopping illegal migrant crossings via small boats across the Channel is worse than that of his predecessor, Sir Keir Starmer, according to Home Office data analyzed by the Mail Online. During Burnham’s first ten weeks as Prime Minister, 6,666 migrants successfully crossed from France to Britain out of a total of 10,048 attempts made, meaning only about one-third were intercepted by French authorities. In contrast, during Starmer's initial tenure in early 2024, just over half (55%) managed to cross, with almost twice as many being stopped compared to Burnham’s period. Since January 1, 20,935 migrants have crossed illegally into the UK via small boats. Critics note that Burnham did not address this issue in his maiden speech or recent Labour Party conference, raising doubts about its priority for him. Smugglers are reportedly shifting tactics by using larger vessels called "mega-dinghies" to avoid detection and interception.

Written for “Channel Migrant Crisis Figures” on 2026-10-09, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans right (beta estimate) Confidence high 2 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans right for article 68376 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-09

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
31
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
0%
0 of 31 hedged
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Correction & hedging signals
64.5
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-09 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Channel Migrant Crisis Figures
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 21% hedged 4 of 19 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles discuss different aspects of Andy Burnham's policies and their effects on migration; one focuses on potential increases in EU immigration if Brexit is reversed, while the other addresses the issue of migrants crossing the Channel.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 8% hedged 2 of 25 📰 publisher trust 64
“Article A describes the seizure of boats at East Midlands Airport intended for people smugglers, while Article B discusses overall statistics about migrants crossing the Channel under Andy Burnham's administration.”

Publisher

Daily Mail · 4577 article(s) · 13 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 13 correction(s)
2026-10-08
Russian plague victim's grieving mother denies scientist daughter was infected after breaking test tube - as PPE-clad team disinfect her home
2026-10-04
Prison chief stands down over botched execution
2026-10-03
Tennessee prison chief who oversaw botched execution of Christa Pike resigns, governor announces
2026-09-25
Twisted teacher who started school FIGHT CLUB and encouraged children to attack each other is given shockingly lenient punishment
2026-09-22
Melbourne inmate vanished without trace while carrying his brother's coffin 150 days ago - and cops are still hunting him
2026-09-21
Magistrate blasts Melbourne marketing mum Christina Georgiou over 'despicable' $50,000 fraud: How a master's graduate with a drug debt ended up rorting Covid and flood relief schemes
2026-09-18
Female corrections officer fired and arrested over claims she sneaked her home cooked meals into jail to give to inmates
2026-09-18
Woke NYC mayor offers condolences after alleged murderer, 20, dies in custody... but makes NO mention of his disabled victim
2026-09-15
Infamous prisoner known for his 'stop snitching' slogan DISAPPEARS during transfer from one federal prison to another
2026-09-15
Charles Manson's 'right-hand man' dies in prison at 83 after his parole was blocked 8 times
2026-09-15
Jeffrey Epstein's suicide watch 'companion' insists paedophile financier DID kill himself after becoming 'defeated' in his final days
2026-09-07
The evidence Epstein did NOT kill himself: Lawyer and pathologist reveal details they claim indicate the paedophile WAS murdered in jail in new documentary
2026-09-06
Clarifications and corrections

Who wrote this

David Churchill
9 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The former Manchester mayor failed to mention the issue in his maiden speech as PM on the steps of Downing Street in July and during his hour-long address at last week’s Labour party conference, raising suspicions it’s not a priority for him.
🔮 They also warned families could be priced out of holidays abroad and took aim at ‘loony’ plans to bring in a new tourist tax on domestic hotel stays.
🔮 Hitting the milestone will pile pressure on Labour to abandon plans to hike Fuel Duty in the New Year after average diesel prices surged to an all-time record of more than £2 a litre last week.
🔮 Drivers face being priced off the roads by new tolls that could spring up across the country under Labour, officials have admitted.
🔮 But to the surprise of diplomats from the EU’s 27 member nations, who would have to sign off the move, she gushed: ‘Dear Mark, I said we must urgently reimagine our partnerships.
🔮 Analysis of thousands of forecourt prices found 236 were selling diesel at more than £2 a litre, with a further 633 pricing it at 199.9p The cost of filling up the average 55-litre tank in a family car with petrol is now £94 and £107 with diesel Richard Tice, deputy leader of Reform UK, said 'drivers are literally being taken for a ride by Labour' amid a planned Fuel Duty hike If average prices surge past £2 a litre it could trigger protests, as it’s the milestone which has threatened to spark past demonstrations. Surging fuel prices, caused by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the war and global oil supplies being squeezed, have been one of the drivers of rising inflation in the UK, which surged from 2.9 per cent to 3.1 per cent, figures revealed today. It will pile pressure on Labour to abandon plans for a Fuel Duty hike in next month’s Budget, the first of Andy Burnham’s premiership.
🔮 It sparked fresh calls today for Labour to use the first Budget of Andy Burnham’s premiership next month to scrap its planned 3p a litre Fuel Duty hike, set to kick in from 1 January.
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Lord Khan, the Labour mayor for London, has more than tripled the number of miles subject to 20mph speed limits on roads under his control.
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source New toll roads could spring up across the country under Labour’s latest ‘war on motorists’.
Also by David Churchill
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 9 articles by David Churchill →

Topics

Britain French Home Office Labour Mail

Subjects

Labour ORG · 9× Burnham PERSON · 7× French NORP · 6× Britain GPE · 3× Andy Burnham PERSON · 2× Chris Philp PERSON · 2× Home ORG · 2× Keir Starmer PERSON · 2× Starmer PERSON · 2× Tory NORP · 2×

Narrative

Since January 1, some 20,935 migrants have reached the UK by crossing the Channel illegally on small boats Andy Burnham failed to mention the issue of small boats in his maiden speech as PM on the steps of Downing Street in July and during his hour-long address at last week’s Labour party conference Smugglers, in a bid to avoid detection and interception by the French authorities, appear to have shifted their tactics by launching so-called ‘mega-dinghies’
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-09
🔮 The former Manchester mayor failed to mention the issue in his maiden speech as PM on the steps of Downing Street in July and during his hour-long address at last week’s Labour party conference, raising suspicions it’s not a priority for him.

Claims (31 extracted, 0 hedged)

Andy Burnham’s record at stopping the boats is worse than Sir Keir Starmer’s, figures show. asserted
figures → stop → Starmer
Analysis of Channel crossings data found a larger proportion of migrants are successfully reaching Britain under Mr Burnham’s administration, raising fresh questions about whether the crisis is a priority for him. asserted
crisis → find → him
The Mail analysis of Home Office data found that during Mr Burnham’s first ten weeks in Downing Street, 6,666 migrants successfully crossed the Channel in small boats. asserted
migrants → find → boats
This was two-thirds (66 per cent) of the total 10,048 who attempted the perilous journey during that period, meaning only a third (3,382) were intercepted by the French authorities. But during ex-PM Sir Keir’s first ten weeks in office in 2024, barely half were successfully reaching Britain. asserted
half → attempt → Britain
Of the 17,966 migrants who attempted to cross during the period, 9,959 (55 per cent) successfully reached Britain. asserted
9,959 → attempt → Britain
Just over 8,000 (45 per cent) were blocked, 12 per cent more than under Mr Burnham. asserted
8,000 → block → Burnham
Since January 1, some 20,935 migrants have reached the UK by crossing the Channel illegally on small boats Andy Burnham failed to mention the issue of small boats in his maiden speech as PM on the steps of Downing Street in July and during his hour-long address at last week’s Labour party conference Smugglers, in a bid to avoid detection and interception by the French authorities, appear to have shifted their tactics by launching so-called ‘mega-dinghies’ asserted
Smugglers → reach → dinghies
Critics said the analysis was yet more proof that Mr Burnham isn’t taking the Channel crossings crisis seriously. asserted
Burnham → say → crisis
The former Manchester mayor failed to mention the issue in his maiden speech as PM on the steps of Downing Street in July and during his hour-long address at last week’s Labour party conference, raising suspicions it’s not a priority for him. asserted
it → fail → him
Tory shadow home secretary Chris Philp said: ‘It did not matter who Labour replaced Keir Starmer with – Labour are the problem. asserted
Labour → say → Starmer
‘Andy Burnham has learnt nothing from his predecessor, and the illegal Channel crossings keep coming. asserted
crossings → learn → predecessor
‘Scrapping the Rwanda deterrent was a disaster, and Labour will never take the action needed to end illegal immigration. asserted
Labour → scrap → immigration
Until every illegal immigrant is removed on arrival, the crossings will not stop. asserted
crossings → remove → arrival
‘The next Conservative Government would leave the ECHR and deport illegal immigrants. asserted
Government → leave → immigrants
Labour simply do not have the backbone to do it.’ asserted
Labour → have → it
Tony Smith, a former UK Border Force chief, said: ‘Burnham hasn’t been as vociferous as Starmer was about this. asserted
Starmer → say → this
‘But I think Burnham has probably under-estimated the strength of feeling in the country about the boats. asserted
Burnham → think → boats
‘He hasn’t said a lot. asserted
He → say → lot
I don’t think that’s because he hasn’t been briefed about it, I think he’s been told it’s really difficult to do this under his current framework. asserted
he → think → framework
‘Labour aren’t saying some of the things that the Tories and Reform are saying, which is in order to do this you’ve got to detain and deport everybody. asserted
you → say → everybody
‘But Burnham is obviously not in a position to say that because I don’t think his parliamentary party would support it. asserted
party → say → it
‘So if you’re not going to detain and deport everybody on arrival and you can’t persuade the French to do anymore than what they’re doing already, well then you’re going to get a continued stream of small boats.’ asserted
you → go → boats
The figures come despite Labour handing over hundreds of millions of pounds more to the French authorities to block crossings. asserted
Labour → come → crossings
The figures come despite Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood handing over hundreds of millions of pounds more to the French authorities to block crossings Tory shadow home secretary, Chris Philp, said 'Labour are the problem' and that 'the illegal Channel crossings keep coming' The deal – signed by Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood in April – included an unconditional £500million to pay for beach patrols in France, plus £160million in performance-related funding. asserted
deal → come → funding
But smugglers, in a bid to avoid detection and interception by the French authorities, appear to have shifted their tactics by launching so-called ‘mega-dinghies’ much further away from the usual launch sites around Calais and Dunkirk. asserted
smugglers → avoid → Calais
Several ‘mega-dinghies’, often carrying more than 100 migrants, have headed towards the Hampshire coast in recent weeks after being launched from Normandy, which is hundreds of miles from Calais. asserted
which → carry → Calais
Since January 1, some 20,935 migrants have reached the UK by crossing the Channel illegally. asserted
migrants → reach → Channel
While the number reaching the UK is around 40 per cent lower than at the same point last year, the relatively low number being intercepted compared to under Sir Keir’s premiership will cause alarm among those wanting Mr Burnham to make the crisis more of a priority and end the crossings. asserted
crisis → reach → crossings
The figures behind the analysis covering his first ten weeks go up to the end of September, the latest Home Office data available for interceptions. But between 1 and 7 October, 1,739 migrants successfully made it across the Channel on 23 boats – an average of 76 per vessel. asserted
migrants → cover → vessel
Monday was the busiest day, with 609 migrants reaching UK shores. asserted
migrants → reach → shores
The Home Office was contacted for comment. asserted
Office → contact → comment
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support