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Sunny Hostin, a co-host on "The View," predicts that Texas will vote for Democratic candidate Sandy Talarico over Republican incumbent Ken Paxton, based on recent polls showing Talarico leading by 51-45%. Hostin notes significant support among younger voters and Hispanics for Talarico. Other poll data indicate likely voters prefer a Democratic Senate control by a narrow margin of 49% to 50%, with Talarico having an 8-point positive personal rating over Paxton's negative one, despite doubts from co-hosts Whoopi Goldberg and Ana Navarro about relying solely on polls.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-09,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
On The View, co-host Sunny Hostin predicted that Texas could "go blue" due to recent polls showing Democrat** Rafael Bernal Talarico leading Republican incumbent Ken Paxton for the U.S. Senate seat. According to September polls, Talarico had a 51-45% lead over Paxton among voters. Notably, Talarico leads among women (56-40%), younger voters aged 18-29 (66-22%), and Hispanic voters (62-30%). Hostin attributed this shift to voter frustration with current leadership and argued it could be a "perfect storm" for Democrats. Meanwhile, Alyssa Farah Griffin agreed that the state might flip blue, suggesting Talarico is a strong candidate compared to Paxton, who was endorsed by Trump in the GOP primary.
Written for “Texas Election Predictions” on 2026-10-09,
grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted
verbatim and was checked against the article text before being
stored, so you can find it in the original.
Leaning: leans left for article 67752 (medium confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-09
“I think we will.
asserted
we → think → ?
I think we will see Texas go blue, actually.
asserted
Texas → think → ?
I really do,” Hostin remarked.
asserted
Hostin → do → ?
“In September, not only one, but eight pollsters had Talarico ahead 51-45%.
asserted
Talarico → have → September
That is so significant given that a Democrat hasn’t won statewide office in 30 years.
asserted
Democrat → give → years
“That same poll showed that he is leading Paxton among women, 56% to 40%.
asserted
he → show → women
We’re talking about Texas.
asserted
We → talk → Texas
He’s going to win this race.”
asserted
He → go → race
“I mean, the fact that Texas is in play speaks to the moment right now that people are so frustrated with the current leadership,” she said.
asserted
she → mean → leadership
“A Democrat hasn’t won statewide in Texas in over 30 years.
asserted
Democrat → win → years
I still think it could go either direction for Paxton or Talarico, but this is kind of a perfect storm, and it’s a mess of the president’s own making.”
uncertain
it → think → making
Griffin agreed the state might flip blue, calling Talarico a good candidate.
uncertain
state → agree → Talarico
She argued that Sen. John Cornyn would’ve been a better Republican candidate over Paxton, who was endorsed by Trump and came out on top in the GOP primary.
asserted
who → argue → primary
A Fox News poll released in October found Talarico enjoying a net positive personal rating of 8 points among likely Texas voters (52% favorable vs. 44% unfavorable), compared to Paxton, who is underwater by 18 points (40% vs. 58%).
asserted
who → release → %
Republicans are six times more likely to view Paxton unfavorably (32%) than Democrats do Talarico (5%).
asserted
Talarico → view → Paxton
Likely Texas voters are split on control of the Senate: 49% prefer a Democratic Senate while 50% favor a Republican upper chamber.
asserted
% → split → chamber
Eight percent of self-identified Republicans prefer the Democrats in power versus 1% of Democrats crossing over to pick the GOP.
asserted
percent → identify → GOP
All this gives Talarico a slim 2-point edge over Paxton (51-49%) in the poll among likely voters.
asserted
this → give → voters
Co-hosts Whoopi Goldberg and Ana Navarro cast some doubt on the positive polling for the Democratic candidate.
asserted
Goldberg → cast → candidate
“Two-thousand sixteen left me scared,” Navarro said.
asserted
Navarro → leave → me
“I have hope.
asserted
I → have → hope
People should have hope, but hope alone won’t win an election.
asserted
hope → have → election
People got to turn hope into vote.
asserted
People → get → vote
And I don’t think they, you know, relying on polls and just kind of sitting back and getting complacent is something that nobody can afford to do if they want to see change.”
asserted
they → think → change
Paxton’s campaign did not immediately return Fox News Digital’s request for comment.
asserted
campaign → return → comment
They both pointed to Talarico’s absence from campaigning at the event.
asserted
They → point → event
The Senate candidate’s campaign responded to the criticism, explaining Talarico has been sick with the flu and is expected to return to the campaign trail this weekend.
asserted
Talarico → respond → trail
“Anyone taking seriously what Sunny Hostin and Alyssa Farah Griffin say about politics likely has a low enough IQ to qualify as a guest host on ‘The View,’” RNC spokesman Zach Kraft told Fox News Digital in a statement about the co-hosts’ remarks.
asserted
Kraft → take → remarks
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