Bombshell poll shows LA mayoral candidate suddenly surging in key demographic — hours before pivotal head-to-head

Read the original at New York Post ↗
New York Post · collected 2026-10-09 · by Jamie Paige

Quick Summary

A recent poll from UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times shows mayoral candidate Nithya Raman leading her opponent Karen Bass by 24 points among Latino voters in Los Angeles. Conducted September 15–20 and published October 2, the poll reveals Raman at 45% support versus Bass’s 21%, with 34% undecided. The race intensified this week as both candidates participated in a Univision debate on October 7, amidst growing tensions over policing policies and crime rates.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-09, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

A recent poll from the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies/Los Angeles Times shows mayoral candidate Nithya Raman leading her opponent Karen Bass among Latino voters by 45% to 21%, with 34% undecided. The survey was conducted between September 15 and 20, just weeks before the November 3 election. This poll comes as both candidates face off in a high-stakes televised forum on Hispanic issues hosted by Univision 34. The debate is set to take place at 7 p.m. Thursday night, amid escalating tensions over policing and public safety concerns in Los Angeles.

Written for “LA Mayoral Poll Surges” on 2026-10-09, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans right (beta estimate) Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans right for article 67207 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-09

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
24
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
8%
2 of 24 hedged
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Correction & hedging signals
67.4
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-09 · how these are computed

Story

📰 LA Mayoral Poll Surges
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 8% hedged 2 of 24 📰 publisher trust 67
“Article A describes a campaign forum where Bass and Raman debate, while Article B discusses a poll result that influences their upcoming televised showdown.”

Publisher

New York Post · 8420 article(s) · 28 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 28 correction(s)
2026-10-09
Prison where Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs is serving sentence is at the center of sex abuse scandal
2026-10-08
Christa Pike is ‘up and walking’ after botched execution — and she remembers: ‘She is angry’
2026-10-08
Christa Pike’s aunt believes killer’s survival of botched execution is God’s will: ‘God is in control, not the Department of Correction’
2026-10-08
Manson killer Patricia Krenwinkel granted parole again after nearly 6 decades behind bars
2026-10-07
Former corrections officer allegedly killed his wife — and forced his kids to help
2026-10-04
Ex-US Attorney will lead independent review of Christa Pike botched execution
2026-10-03
Tennessee prison chief resigns after Christa Pike’s botched execution
2026-10-03
Inmates getting paper straws in Canadian prisons for ‘safer snorting’ of drugs
2026-10-02
Gypsy Rose Blanchard and Ken Urker’s relationship timeline: From prison proposal to his untimely death
2026-10-01
‘Triple-G’ weight loss drug update: Even on the lowest dose, trial patients lost 12.7% of their weight
2026-10-01
Christa Pike likely has ‘brain injury’ after botched execution — here’s what went wrong: ‘Degraded’ drugs, damaged veins
2026-09-29
Tennessee’s first female death row inmate in 200 years snubs her last meal ahead of Wednesday execution
2026-09-27
Trump asked China’s Xi Jinping if he’d ‘like to buy’ American weapons, US ambassador reveals
2026-09-27
Police give update on Hayden Panettiere’s death investigation after overdose ruling
2026-09-26
NYC’s embattled jail system saw startling 76% spike in inmate assaults and fights
2026-09-24
‘Pioneer Woman’ Ree Drummond’s son Jamar detained for biting cop months before assault arrest
2026-09-22
GOP’s Bruce Blakeman promises to ease solitary confinement limits as he picks up correction union nod
2026-09-19
‘Landman’ Season 3 Release Date Update: When Does The Next Season of ‘Landman’ Come Out?
2026-09-19
Nick Reiner hasn’t received ‘even $5’ from $1.6M family trust, lawyers claim
2026-09-18
UCLA chancellor pressured to retract rebuke over event with 9/11 ‘mastermind’ lawyer
2026-09-18
Bo Bichette’s willingness to change positions could reshape Mets’ infield
2026-09-18
Mamdani mourns NYC thief accused of murdering man with special needs
2026-09-18
Alabama killer’s last words before he’s executed for 1998 pawnshop double murder revealed
2026-09-18
Shock poll shows another huge swing in California governor’s race
2026-09-15
Fast food chains are making a major shift in customer service amid complaints of a ‘lonely and disconnected’ store experience
2026-09-15
Are Cocoa Puffs Maria Sten’s Favorite Cereal? The ‘Reacher’ and ‘Neagley’ Star Sets The Record Straight: “I Have to Make Clarifications”
2026-09-06
Long Island inmates in jail on drug charges use photo program to get clean
2026-09-06
‘Landman’ Season 3 Release Date Update: When Does ‘Landman’ Return With New Episodes?

Who wrote this

Jamie Paige
20 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 A bombshell poll showing LA mayoral challenger Nithya Raman with a stunning 24-point lead over Karen Bass among Latino voters will loom large as the rivals face off in a high-stakes televised showdown Thursday night.
🔮 LA Mayor Karen Bass has blasted Nithya Raman as “incredibly irresponsible” and claimed she was “not ready for prime time” after the candidate called LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell a “fascist liar.”
🔮 LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell called Raman’s comments “disappointing,” saying that 52 police officers were injured during last year’s violent immigration protests. “I saw that, and I was disappointed that she would be associated with anything like that,” McDonnell told NBC Los Angeles.
🔮 Ed Choi, who posts as @etchaskej and has amassed nearly 800,000 followers across TikTok and Instagram, interviewed the Los Angeles mayoral hopeful in the video that erupted into controversy Monday night.
🔮 Los Angeles mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman is facing backlash over a social media campaign interview with an influencer where she appears to call LAPD police chief Jim McDonnell ”a fascist liar” with a red X across his face.
🔮 Nithya Raman has declared she’ll fire LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell if she’s elected mayor for not stopping ICE from arresting illegal immigrants last June – despite spending the afternoon sipping cocktails as mass protests first rocked Los Angeles.
🔮 Jefferson “Zuma Jay” Wagner, a two-time former Malibu mayor and longtime surf shop owner, said he regularly witnesses dangerous encounters between drivers and cyclists on PCH, including outside Nobu.
🔮 A damning new report says the tax, officially known as United to House LA, or ULA — has had a negative impact on the city’s high-end and multi-family real estate markets and collected less than half what it was expected to generate to tackle the city’s housing crisis.
🔮 At 10:46 a.m., 16 minutes after the fire was reported, a fire helicopter radioed that flames would hit homes “within minutes.”
🔮 Los Angeles mayoral candidate Nithya Raman‘s campaign has been accused of secretly paying social media stars to promote her – while allegedly keeping voters in the dark about who was cashing in.
Also by Jamie Paige
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 20 articles by Jamie Paige →

Topics

Berkeley LAPD Latino Los Angeles UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies

Subjects

Raman PERSON · 11× Bass PERSON · 10× Latino NORP · 7× Berkeley GPE · 4× Los Angeles GPE · 3× McDonnell PERSON · 3× Univision ORG · 3× Hispanic NORP · 2× LAPD ORG · 2× Los Angeles Times ORG · 2×

Narrative

The blistering attack came just hours before both candidates were scheduled to face questions from Hispanic voters during a special Univision 34 forum at 7 p.m. The escalating fight over policing comes as the Berkeley poll found crime and public safety ranked among the most pressing concerns for Los Angeles voters, alongside homelessness, affordable housing and city infrastructure.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-09
🔮 A bombshell poll showing LA mayoral challenger Nithya Raman with a stunning 24-point lead over Karen Bass among Latino voters will loom large as the rivals face off in a high-stakes televised showdown Thursday night.

Claims (24 extracted, 2 hedged)

A bombshell poll showing LA mayoral challenger Nithya Raman with a stunning 24-point lead over Karen Bass among Latino voters will loom large as the rivals face off in a high-stakes televised showdown Thursday night. asserted
rivals → show → showdown
The UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies/Los Angeles Times poll, conducted Sept. 15–20 and published Oct. 2, found Raman leading Bass 45% to 21% among Latino likely voters, with another 34% undecided just weeks before the Nov. 3 election. asserted
% → conduct → election
The political battle has intensified since voters were surveyed, with the candidates clashing over the LAPD, immigration enforcement and Raman’s judgment after she appeared in a since-deleted social media video featuring the words “Only you can stop fascist liars.” asserted
you → intensify → liars
Sign up for the California Morning Report newsletter The biggest news, opinion and culture shaping California right now. Thanks for signing up! asserted
Sign → sign → California
The feud erupted Thursday when Bass blasted Raman as “incredibly irresponsible” and questioned whether her challenger was ready to lead Los Angeles. asserted
challenger → erupt → Angeles
“It certainly showed that she is not ready for prime time,” Bass told The California Post during a news conference. asserted
Bass → show → conference
“I even question if she understands what fascism is or its place in history.” asserted
fascism → question → history
The blistering attack came just hours before both candidates were scheduled to face questions from Hispanic voters during a special Univision 34 forum at 7 p.m. The escalating fight over policing comes as the Berkeley poll found crime and public safety ranked among the most pressing concerns for Los Angeles voters, alongside homelessness, affordable housing and city infrastructure. asserted
crime → come → homelessness
The controversy has exposed a sharp divide over the future of the LAPD. asserted
controversy → expose → LAPD
Bass has defended Chief Jim McDonnell, whom she appointed in 2024, as Los Angeles has recorded significant declines in violent crime. asserted
Angeles → defend → crime
Raman has pledged to replace McDonnell if elected, arguing that his handling of federal immigration raids and the protests that followed has fallen short. asserted
that → pledge → raids
Download The California Post App, follow us on social, and subscribe to our newsletters The latest controversy erupted after a social media video featured Raman repeating the phrase “Only you can stop fascist liars” alongside content creator Ed Choi. asserted
you → download → Choi
The video showed images of Bass and McDonnell and a large red X over the police chief’s face, drawing outrage from the Los Angeles Police Protective League, which warned that the imagery could endanger him. uncertain
imagery → show → him
Raman’s campaign maintains that her remarks referred to ICE and the Trump administration, not McDonnell, and that the video’s creator added the controversial imagery after the interview. asserted
creator → maintain → interview
The campaign said it requested the video’s removal. asserted
it → say → removal
Meanwhile, the Berkeley poll revealed a striking generational divide among Latino voters. asserted
poll → reveal → voters
Among those ages 18 to 49, Raman held a commanding 60% to 9% lead over Bass. asserted
Raman → hold → Bass
But among Latino voters 50 and older, Bass led Raman 36% to 26%. asserted
Bass → lead → %
The numbers mark a sharp contrast with the June primary, when Bass carried 35 Latino-majority neighborhoods compared with just seven for Raman, according to a Los Angeles Times analysis of election results. uncertain
Bass → mark → results
Bass’ campaign has challenged the Berkeley poll’s methodology, pointing to its own August survey showing the mayor leading Raman by two points among Latino voters. asserted
mayor → challenge → voters
The Berkeley survey included 427 Latino respondents, with a six-point margin of error for that subgroup. asserted
survey → include → subgroup
Thursday’s Univision forum, “Los Latinos Preguntan: Los Candidatos Responden,” will feature separate 30-minute interviews with Bass and Raman rather than a traditional face-to-face debate. asserted
forum → feature → debate
Each candidate will answer questions from approximately 15 to 20 members of Los Angeles’ Hispanic community about public safety, homelessness, housing costs, jobs and the economy. asserted
candidate → answer → safety
Univision anchors Gabriela Tessier and Octavio Valdez will moderate the program, airing at 7 p.m. on Univision 34 and streaming nationally on ViX. asserted
Tessier → moderate → ViX.
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support