In Week 4 of their NFL betting contest, ChatGPT won against the author with a score of 3-2, compared to the human's 2-2-1. This article details the specific bets from both contestants and includes their respective records through Week 4; overall, the human leads the season with 11 wins, 8 losses, and 1 tie while ChatGPT has 8 wins and 12 losses. The piece is written in a lighthearted tone, with an acknowledgment of the competitive nature between man and machine in predicting NFL outcomes for betting purposes.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-08,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
It finally happened.
asserted
It → happen → ?
The robot beat me.
asserted
robot → beat → me
After three straight weeks of me earning more units in NFL betting than ChatGPT, GPT edged me out in Week 4 by going 3-2 against my 2-2-1.
asserted
GPT → earn → 1
Not only that, but it beat me head-to-head in both games where we took opposite sides.
asserted
we → beat → sides
This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners.
uncertain
page → contain → partners
If you sign up or place a wager, FOX News may be compensated.
uncertain
News → sign → wager
This content was created by a team that works independently from the FOX newsroom.
asserted
that → create → newsroom
Suddenly, the robot apocalypse seems more realistic than ever.
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apocalypse → seem → ?
That being said, I'm not letting one week deter me and we’re back for another round of human vs. machine.
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we → say → machine
Both of us get five selections from the same odds board, with a maximum price of -120.
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Both → get → -120
The stakes are adjusted so every winning bet produces one unit of profit.
asserted
bet → adjust → profit
For example, -110 requires risking 1.10 units, while +110 requires 0.91 units.
asserted
+110 → require → units
A push returns the stake and counts as zero units.
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push → return → units
Odds were captured Thursday at 4 p.m. ET.
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Odds → capture → ET
Before we get to the Week 5 picks, let’s review last week.
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’s → get → week
GPT tried to warn me about taking the Bengals and the Saints and I just didn't listen.
asserted
I → try → Bengals
And I tried to warn myself about the Bucs but I didn't listen to myself, either.
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I → try → myself
At least the Bucs pushed; I've got nothing positive to say about Cincinnati or New Orleans.
asserted
I → push → Cincinnati
GPT’s Week 4 NFL Betting Picks (3-2, +0.80 units)
- Arizona Cardinals -2½ (-110) ❌ (-1.10 units)
- Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline (+125) ✅ (+1 unit)
- Miami Dolphins-Minnesota Vikings Under 38½ (-107) ✅ (+1 unit)
- Detroit Lions -3½ (-110) ❌ (-1.10 units)
- Atlanta Falcons Moneyline (+115) ✅ (+1 unit)
For the second straight week, GPT predicted more games correctly than it got wrong.
asserted
it → predict → games
I'm proud of you (and please remember I said that when you take over the world).
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you → remember → world
Dan’s analysis:
OK, this is the official "Dan Z.'s Plug Your Nose and Hit 'Place Bet' Bet of the Week."
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Z. → plug → Week
I know I promised to workshop the title and come up with something better, but I'm busy so deal with it.
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I → know → it
Meanwhile, the Jags have looked dominant.
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Jags → look → ?
So why in the world would I back the Eagles?
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I → back → Eagles
Because the second you're sure of something in the NFL (the Eagles stink and the Jaguars are Super Bowl contenders is the common refrain this week), that's when you know you're about to be proven wrong.
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you → stink → NFL
GPT’s analysis:
Getting more than a touchdown in a neutral-site game is the strongest argument for Philadelphia.
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Getting → get → Philadelphia
Jacksonville’s defense just allowed Joe Burrow to throw for 428 yards, giving Jalen Hurts a route to keeping this competitive.
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Burrow → allow → this
My concern is Philadelphia’s depleted offense: Lane Johnson has retired, Cam Jurgens was traded, and Saquon Barkley and DeVonta Smith missed practice again Thursday with hamstring injuries.
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Barkley → retire → injuries
At +7½, a seven-point loss still cashes, but those personnel questions kept the Eagles outside my five.
2.
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questions → cash → 2
The Saints just allowed 45 points against the Falcons while scoring 24.
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Saints → allow → 24
New Orleans has scored at least 24 points in all four games this season.
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Orleans → score → games
But it's also benefited from a weak schedule and one game played in a monsoon.
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it → benefit → monsoon
Minnesota only managed 15 points against the Dolphins last week, but that's a bit misleading.
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that → manage → Dolphins
They couldn't score in the red zone, but that’s largely because they were missing Justin Jefferson and he's expected to play this week.
asserted
he → score → Jefferson
Plus, T.J. Hockenson could have scored a late TD, but slid just outside the end zone so the Vikings could kneel down and end the game.
uncertain
Vikings → score → game
I also expect Kevin O'Connell to have a game plan ready to attack this very vulnerable Saints defense.
asserted
O'Connell → expect → defense
New Orleans’s defense allows five yards per rush, giving Minnesota a favorable opportunity to improve its scoring.
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defense → allow → scoring
Tyler Shough has nine touchdown passes and returned to full practice Thursday, while Jefferson expects to play for Minnesota.
asserted
Jefferson → have → Minnesota
Those developments strengthen your over case.
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developments → strengthen → case
My hesitation remains the Vikings’ strong defense, limited offensive production and Christian Darrisaw’s uncertain availability.
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hesitation → remain → ?
…and 80 more, not listed.
The Aporia
