At least 81 US aircraft worth up to $3.3bn lost or damaged in Iran war

Read the original at Al Jazeera ↗
Al Jazeera · collected 2026-10-08 · by Ahmed Diab

Quick Summary

A Congressional Budget Office report reveals that at least 81 U.S. military aircraft, valued between $1.9 billion and $3.3 billion, have been lost or damaged in the ongoing conflict against Iran since February 28. The report details losses including 12 F-15E Strike Eagles, one F-35A Lightning II, seven KC-135 Stratotankers, and 45 MQ-9 Reaper drones. Analysts highlight how low-cost Iranian drones have inflicted significant damage on U.S. military assets, underscoring the changing dynamics of modern warfare.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-08, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Since Operation Epic Fury began on February 28, 2026, the US military has lost or sustained damage to at least 81 aircraft, including advanced fighters and critical support planes like F-15E Strike Eagles, an F-35A Lightning II, seven KC-135 refueling tankers, an E-3 Sentry, and 45 MQ-9 Reaper drones. This tally is nearly double the number identified five months ago by the Congressional Research Service (CRS), a nonpartisan government body. The estimated cost of these losses ranges from $1.9 billion to $3.3 billion, depending on whether or not the Department of Defense opts to replace them, potentially straining military resources for other operations.

Written for “Iran War Military Costs” on 2026-10-08, grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Centre (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: centre for article 66713 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-08

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
32
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
3%
1 of 32 hedged
Leaning
Centre
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Correction & hedging signals
60.3
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
3
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-08 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Iran War Military Costs
Politics · 3 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads centre and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Fox News · 0.87 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 38% hedged 10 of 26 📰 publisher trust 71
“Both articles report on the loss and damage of US aircraft during the war with Iran, citing government analysis released around the same time.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left further left than this 🔴 18% hedged 2 of 11 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles report on the same specific incident: the loss or damage of US aircraft worth up to $3.3 billion during Operation Epic Fury, based on a Congressional report.”

Publisher

Al Jazeera · 2474 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)
2026-10-03
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2026-09-30
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Who wrote this

Ahmed Diab
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 “An additional month of conflict would cost $2 billion,” the office said.
🔮 Voting across Brazil will open at 8am (11:00 GMT) and will close at 5pm local time (20:00 GMT), with nearly 160 million citizens eligible to vote for president, governors and federal legislators.
Also by Ahmed Diab
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Iran Operation Epic Fury Russia United States Washington

Subjects

Iran GPE · 8× Ullman PERSON · 4× Congress ORG · 3× American NORP · 2× Democrats NORP · 2× Russia GPE · 2× the Congressional Budget Office ORG · 2× CBO ORG · 1× United States GPE · 1× Washington GPE · 1×

Narrative

Ullman pointed to those instances as examples of how the threat of drone attacks has been effective in putting larger militaries on the defensive. “We have seen the US had to relocate its B-1 bombers from the UK fearing Iranian attacks, and we have seen how the Ukrainian Operation Spiderweb, where small drones were launched from inside Russia, targeted and destroyed Russian military assets,” Ullman said.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-08
🔮 “An additional month of conflict would cost $2 billion,” the office said.
2026-10-08 · Al Jazeera
At least 81 US aircraft worth up to $3.3bn lost or damaged in Iran war · assertive framing

Claims (32 extracted, 1 hedged)

At least 81 United States military aircraft, including fighter jets and drones, have been lost or damaged during Operation Epic Fury, the code name for Washington’s military campaign against Iran launched earlier this year. asserted
aircraft → include → Iran
The statistic comes as part of a report released on Monday by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), a nonpartisan government agency that provides budget-related research to the legislature. asserted
that → come → legislature
Recommended Stories list of 3 items- list 1 of 3Hormuz ship attacks surge: Are increased oil exports sustainable? - list 2 of 3US stocks slide as oil prices fluctuate over renewed Iran war fears - list 3 of 3The asserted
prices → surge → fears
bonus: Sailor salaries soar for transits amid Iran war asserted
salaries → soar → war
It estimated that, as of August 1, the cost of the American aircraft losses during the US-Israeli war against Iran was between $1.9bn and $3.3bn. asserted
cost → estimate → Iran
The report this week highlights the growing price tag for the war, which began on February 28. asserted
which → highlight → February
A lasting ceasefire has remained out of reach as the conflict continues into its eighth month. asserted
conflict → last → month
“The asymmetries of warfare show that even small countries with small militaries can inflict damage on the world’s best militaries,” said Harlan Ullman, a former naval officer and chairman of the Killowen Group, a government advisory firm. asserted
Ullman → show → Group
He told Al Jazeera that Iran has managed to achieve a degree of success in damaging US military hardware and bases in the Middle East. asserted
Iran → tell → East
“Iran has plenty of US targets available, and you can imagine what a small drone can do to a major military asset. asserted
drone → have → asset
We have seen examples of that in the Gulf countries during the conflict,” Ullman explained. asserted
Ullman → see → conflict
Monday’s report listed 12 F-15E Strike Eagle fighter jets, one F-35A Lightning II jet and seven KC-135 Stratotanker aerial refuelling aircraft among those affected. asserted
report → list → those
Forty-five of the 81 aircraft identified in the report were MQ-9 Reaper drones. asserted
five → identify → report
Experts like Ullman trace some of the US vulnerabilities to the changing nature of modern warfare, which is increasingly reliant on low-cost drones that are widely available. asserted
that → trace → drones
Many have pointed to Russia’s war against Ukraine as an example of how a smaller military like Kyiv’s can keep a larger adversary at bay through drone warfare. asserted
military → point → warfare
Rumours of a potential drone attack on Royal Air Force (RAF) Fairford — a British base that has hosted US assets during the Iran war — also resulted in the sudden departure of a dozen US aircraft on Sunday. asserted
that → host → Sunday
Ullman pointed to those instances as examples of how the threat of drone attacks has been effective in putting larger militaries on the defensive. “We have seen the US had to relocate its B-1 bombers from the UK fearing Iranian attacks, and we have seen how the Ukrainian Operation Spiderweb, where small drones were launched from inside Russia, targeted and destroyed Russian military assets,” Ullman said. asserted
Ullman → point → assets
The rising costs associated with the war against Iran have also placed political pressure on the administration of US President Donald Trump. asserted
costs → rise → Trump
Earlier this year, his administration requested a record $1.5 trillion in defence spending for fiscal year 2027, citing the demands of the war. asserted
administration → request → war
But the soaring price tag has sparked scepticism in Congress, particularly from Democrats. asserted
tag → soar → Democrats
Last month, 45 Senate Democrats and one independent wrote an open letter to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth demanding transparent accounting of the war’s costs. asserted
Democrats → write → costs
They argued that a “detailed breakdown” of the costs was necessary before Congress considers further supplemental funding. asserted
Congress → argue → funding
“American taxpayers have already paid an extra $100 billion out of their pockets for higher gas and diesel prices alone and at least another $60 billion in higher costs for things like groceries, mortgages, and plane tickets as a result of the war,” the senators wrote. asserted
senators → pay → war
“Now you are asking that they pay again to fund a war of choice that Congress never authorized and the President launched with no strategic plan.” asserted
President → ask → plan
In a separate report issued in September, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that the war with Iran has cost roughly $38bn, as of August 1. asserted
war → issue → August
That amount reflects the costs of replacing expended munitions and equipment lost in battle, as well as increased fuel costs and other operations. asserted
amount → reflect → battle
“An additional month of conflict would cost $2 billion,” the office said. asserted
office → cost → billion
However, it added that, “if the intensity of the conflict increased to roughly the level experienced in July, the cost per month would increase to $3 billion”. asserted
cost → add → billion
The Pentagon said it had “nothing further to provide” in a response to Al Jazeera’s query about whether the losses reported this week were expected and how they would impact the department’s budget. asserted
they → say → budget
Polls indicate the war is widely unpopular among US voters, and analysts have speculated about whether reports of rising costs may have an impact on the US midterm elections, which will decide whether Trump’s Republican Party will retain control of Congress. uncertain
Party → indicate → Congress
But Ullman is sceptical that reports like Monday’s will be a determining factor in the outcome of the vote. asserted
reports → determine → vote
“I do not think that report will influence the course of the upcoming midterm elections, as many Americans, even those who oppose the war, would see it as expected damage in a military operation,” Ullman said. asserted
Ullman → think → operation
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