Coffee prices at some cafes rise by 10pc after RBA card surcharge ban

Read the original at ABC News (AU) ↗
ABC News (AU) · collected 2026-10-07 · by Lin Lin and Liana Walker

Quick Summary

Some cafes in Australia have raised coffee prices by about 10% following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) ban on card surcharges. According to Small Flat White, an online platform tracking over 1,500 cafes, around 17% of these businesses increased their flat white prices post-ban implementation. Typically, the price increase is about 50 cents per coffee, significantly higher than the previous typical surcharge range of 0.5 to 1.5%. This adjustment comes as some business owners face thin profit margins and struggle with absorbing additional costs.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-07, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent ban on card transaction surcharges has led some cafes and restaurants to increase coffee prices. According to Small Flat White, an online platform tracking over 1,500 cafes, about 17% have raised the price of a flat white by nearly 10%, compared to before the October 1st ban took effect. This contrasts with the typical consumer surcharge of just 0.5 to 1.5% on card transactions.

Avtar Singh, owner of a Thai restaurant in Hobart, noted that while his business is currently absorbing these costs, he anticipates needing to raise prices eventually due to the economic pressure. Former RBA official Luci Ellis predicts the ban will have minimal impact on inflation but acknowledges it could exacerbate cost-of-living pressures during a high-inflation period, suggesting the timing of the ban was poorly chosen.

Written for “RBA Card Surcharge Ban Impact” on 2026-10-07, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but all 3 of its quote(s) are attributed speech - words the article quotes from someone, not the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 61920: attributed speech only · logged 2026-10-07

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
27
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
22%
6 of 27 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Correction & hedging signals
60.9
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-07 · how these are computed

Story

📰 RBA Card Surcharge Ban Impact
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 22% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 9% hedged 9 of 95 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles discuss different consequences of the RBA's surcharge ban on card payments: one focuses on organizations no longer accepting credit cards and the other on cafes raising prices.”

Publisher

ABC News (AU) · 2253 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)
2026-09-15
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2026-09-07
'Her career's finished': Fugitive Sydney developer's daughter avoids jail

Who wrote this

Lin Lin
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Avtar Singh, owner of a Thai restaurant in Hobart, said he was currently absorbing the cost of the surcharges but eventually would have to raise prices.
🔮 ASX set to rebound as US bond yields retreat from multi-decade highs, oil gains The ASX is set to open higher after Wall Street recovered from early losses.
2026-10-01 · assertive framing · Live: ASX to rise as US bond yields recede
🔮 Administrators of failed property developer Bathla have reduced staff down to a "skeleton" and will cease construction work after all but one lender decided not to continue propping up the company.
🔮 The ABC understands the company bank accounts had not been reconciled for some time and may contain about $736 million of overstated inter-company receivables and payables.
2026-09-18 · assertive framing · Bathla's books show company was $736m out
🔮 ASX tipped to gain as Wall St rebounds, oil and bond yields retreat The ASX is expected to open higher after Wall Street rebounded from Wednesday's sell-off.
2026-09-17 · assertive framing · Live: ASX eyes gains as Wall Street rallies
🔮 In short: Beleaguered property developer Bathla Group will survive for another two weeks after administrators secured a temporary lifeline.
Also by Lin Lin
Live: ASX to rise as US bond yields recede
2026-10-01 · ABC News (AU)
Bathla's books show company was $736m out
2026-09-18 · ABC News (AU)
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 6 articles by Lin Lin →
Liana Walker
4 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Avtar Singh, owner of a Thai restaurant in Hobart, said he was currently absorbing the cost of the surcharges but eventually would have to raise prices.
🔮 William Valentine, the distributor of NeeDoh in Australia, confirmed it had taken steps to combat counterfeit products, including registering its intellectual property with the ABF Notice of Objection scheme.
🔮 For some, affordability meant they were likely to purchase styles they may not usually try and make riskier choices.
🔮 The Sydney-based owner of Lonely Kids Club, a genderless graphic tee company, hoped the problem would go away.
Also by Liana Walker
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Hobart RBA Small Flat White Thai the Reserve Bank's

Subjects

RBA ORG · 7× Luci Ellis PERSON · 2× the Reserve Bank ORG · 2× ABC ORG · 1× Avtar Singh PERSON · 1× Hobart GPE · 1× Small Flat White ORG · 1× Thai NORP · 1× Wes Lambert PERSON · 1× the Reserve Bank's ORG · 1×

Narrative

"Ultimately, we think that the RBA kicked an own goal in this,"he added. "They should have known better that inflation was going to remain pesky and that this ban would come online during a cost of living crisis and potentially should have delayed the ban during this high inflationary and high interest environment."
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-07
🔮 Avtar Singh, owner of a Thai restaurant in Hobart, said he was currently absorbing the cost of the surcharges but eventually would have to raise prices.
2026-10-07 · ABC News (AU)
Coffee prices at some cafes rise by 10pc after RBA card surcharge ban · mixed framing

Claims (27 extracted, 6 hedged)

In short: Cafes and restaurants have begun lifting prices in response to the RBA's surcharge ban. asserted
Cafes → begin → ban
The ban was intended to lower prices, but the price hikes appear to be an unintended consequence. asserted
hikes → intend → prices
Former RBA official Luci Ellis says the ban is unlikely to have a significant impact on inflation. asserted
ban → say → inflation
A ban on card surcharges has resulted in some cafe owners raising the price of their coffee. asserted
owners → result → coffee
About 17 per cent of cafes are now charging more for a flat white, compared with prices prior to October 1, when the Reserve Bank's ban took effect. asserted
ban → charge → effect
That is according to Small Flat White, an online platform that tracks coffee prices across more than 1,500 cafes. uncertain
that → accord → cafes
Typically, the increase was 50 cents, or almost 10 per cent of the coffee's price, which is much higher than the typical 0.5 to 1.5 per cent surcharge consumers used to pay on their credit or debit card transactions. asserted
consumers → use → transactions
Not every hospitality business has raised its prices in the immediate aftermath of the ban. asserted
business → raise → ban
Avtar Singh, owner of a Thai restaurant in Hobart, said he was currently absorbing the cost of the surcharges but eventually would have to raise prices. asserted
he → say → prices
"The government needs to understand small businesses are already at a very thin margin," he told the ABC. asserted
he → need → ABC
"If you squeeze it any further, it'll come to a point where doing business is very, very difficult. asserted
doing → squeeze → business
" RBA kicks 'own goal' asserted
RBA → kick → goal
Most cafes or restaurants have raised prices in some way, either by raising menu prices or increasing weekend or public holiday surcharges, said Wes Lambert, chief executive of the Australian Restaurant and Cafe Association. asserted
Lambert → raise → Association
"Increasing prices can always affect demand, so that certainly is an unintended consequence that the RBA could not have predicted, because they believed that prices would only go up 0.1 per cent," he said. uncertain
he → increase → that
Mr Lambert said some businesses had started taking cash-only payments or accepting bank transfers. asserted
businesses → say → transfers
"Ultimately, we think that the RBA kicked an own goal in this,"he added. "They should have known better that inflation was going to remain pesky and that this ban would come online during a cost of living crisis and potentially should have delayed the ban during this high inflationary and high interest environment." asserted
ban → think → environment
The RBA has said the previous system was no longer working as intended, with surcharges increasingly difficult for consumers to avoid. asserted
consumers → say → ?
The central bank has also said only about 16 per cent of businesses were surcharging and the ban was designed to reduce card acceptance costs, particularly for small businesses. asserted
ban → say → businesses
Reforms unlikely to affect interest rates If the surcharge ban results in higher inflation, that effect would likely be temporary and have no effect on interest rates, according to Westpac chief economist Luci Ellis. " uncertain
effect → affect → Ellis
Previously surcharges were imposed to reflect the cost of accepting certain types of payment; that's now been bundled into the price, so some business have increased their prices, but that's a one-off, not inherently inflationary," she said. asserted
she → impose → prices
"Most of the reports we've seen of prices increasing … more than what the surcharge had been were in hospitality. asserted
surcharge → see → hospitality
"There are plenty of other inflationary forces going round, including the pass-through of high energy costs onto other prices that the Reserve Bank's going to be much more focused on." asserted
Bank → be → that
AMP chief economist Shane Oliver agreed. "The overall macroeconomic impact from higher prices flowing from the ban on surcharges may not be that significant," he said. uncertain
he → agree → surcharges
Mr Oliver said many large businesses were already not charging surcharges. asserted
businesses → say → surcharges
"It's really just an issue for small businesses, but there still may be some upwards boost to inflation, albeit minor," he said. uncertain
he → say → inflation
"In theory, the RBA may just look through it as it's a one-off impact, but it may be hard to disentangle a general rise in prices from the impact of the surcharge versus other factors." uncertain
it → look → factors
The Reserve Bank declined to comment. asserted
Bank → decline → ?
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