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Week 4 of the NFL season saw significant changes in betting odds, with teams like the Texans and Chargers seeing their playoff chances diminish dramatically due to poor performances. Conversely, the Jaguars and Vikings experienced surging interest, with Jacksonville now favored heavily at -250 to win the AFC South after a strong start. Additionally, rookie receiver Carnell Tate's performance has significantly boosted his standing in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race, moving from +900 odds to around +450.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-06,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
In NFL Week 4, playoff odds for the Houston Texans and Los Angeles Chargers significantly declined due to their poor starts. The Rams moved back to the top of the Super Bowl market at +650 odds following a comeback victory over the Eagles, with the Bills closely trailing despite losing to the Patriots. San Francisco, Baltimore, Kansas City, and Seattle are next in line around +850 odds. Jacksonville's improved record has shortened their odds to 15/1 from longer odds previously, while Philadelphia dropped to 24/1 after consecutive losses. Additionally, Titans rookie receiver Carnell Tate saw his Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY) market position tighten dramatically to +450 after accumulating 145 receiving yards in Week 4, making him a serious contender for that award.
Written for “NFL Betting Odds Recap” on 2026-10-06,
grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Week 4 brought another major reshuffling to the NFL futures market, with a few preseason contenders already in serious trouble and several new names surging up the board.
asserted
names → bring → board
The Texans and Chargers saw their playoff odds crater, the Super Bowl market shifted again, and a hyped wide receiver continued his rapid climb in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race.
asserted
receiver → see → race
Carnell Tate surges in OROY market
Carnell Tate has been one of the biggest movers in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race through four weeks.
asserted
Tate → surge → weeks
The Titans receiver entered the season as more of a secondary contender, but his odds have tightened considerably after a breakout start that included 145 receiving yards in Week 4.
asserted
that → enter → Week
Tate is now sitting around +450 in the market, behind only the top tier of favorites, after opening closer to +900.
asserted
Tate → sit → +900
His combination of early production and a growing role in Tennessee’s offense has quickly made him one of the most serious challengers in what had looked like a much more settled rookie race.
asserted
what → grow → race
Awards markets get shaken up
Josh Allen remains the MVP favorite at roughly +250, but Brock Purdy has surged into second at +400 after throwing 11 touchdowns against one interception during the 49ers’ 4-0 start.
asserted
Purdy → shake → start
Patrick Mahomes sits around +650, while Trevor Lawrence has climbed into the +800 to +900 range.
asserted
Lawrence → sit → range
On defense, Giants linebacker Arvell Reese has climbed to roughly +230, just behind Dolphins rookie Jacob Rodriguez at around +180.
asserted
Reese → climb → +180
Jaguars, Vikings become playoff-market darlings
While Houston and Los Angeles cratered, Jacksonville and Minnesota have made some of the biggest moves in the opposite direction.
asserted
Jacksonville → become → direction
The Jaguars’ playoff odds have jumped from +105 in the preseason to -490 at DraftKings Sportsbook after a 3-1 start.
asserted
odds → jump → start
Minnesota is right behind, moving from +154 to -290 after beginning 4-0.
asserted
Minnesota → move → -290
San Francisco and Kansas City have also surged, with the 49ers moving from -146 to -1000 and the Chiefs from -205 to -900 to make the playoffs.
asserted
49ers → surge → playoffs
Jacksonville is also now -250 to win the AFC South at DraftKings, after entering the season at +245, a dramatic shift with Houston sitting winless.
asserted
Houston → win → +245
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Super Bowl board reshuffles
The Rams moved back to the top of the Super Bowl market after rallying past the Eagles, sitting at +650, with the Bills close behind despite their first loss of the season against the Patriots.
Baltimore and San Francisco are around +850, followed by Kansas City and Seattle.
The Jags have made one of the most notable jumps, shortening to 15/1 after improving to 3-1 on the season, while Philadelphia has drifted to 24/1 following back-to-back losses.
Houston has dropped all the way to 45/1, and the Chargers have essentially fallen off the contender board altogether after their 0-4 start.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports.
asserted
Svoboda → read → sports
He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.
asserted
He → ’ → three
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