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College football enthusiasts will see the Sun Belt conference take center stage on Tuesday night as Troy hosts Southern Miss in Southeastern Alabama. The Trojans are favored by 9.5 points at home; they have a foundational team built from last season, while Southern Miss is struggling under new head coach Blake Anderson after losing key players. Southern Miss ranks poorly statistically and has an abysmal defense against the run, giving Troy’s offense a significant advantage.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-06,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
The Sun Belt Conference will host its first Tuesday night college football game of the season on September 12, featuring Troy and Southern Miss in Southeastern Alabama. The Trojans are favored by 9.5 points at home. Southern Miss, under new leadership following significant player departures, has struggled this year with a record of 1-3 overall and 0-3 against FBS opponents. According to SP+ ratings, they rank as the worst team in FBS (128th out of 130), while Jeff Sagarin ranks them even lower at 140th out of all Division I teams. Troy's defense is particularly strong, ranking highly against passing attacks, which counters Southern Miss’s primary offensive strategy.
Written for “College Football Picks Southern Miss …” on 2026-10-06,
grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
There have been plenty of controversial changes in college football in recent years, but you’d be hard-pressed to find any die-hard out there who is upset that the powers that be have added more weeknight games.
asserted
that → press → games
The MAC used to be the only midweek show in town, but the Sun Belt will take center stage for this season’s first Tuesday night kickoff.
asserted
Belt → use → kickoff
Troy and Southern Miss will do the honors in Southeastern Alabama on Tuesday.
asserted
Troy → do → Tuesday
Southern Miss vs. Troy pick
Blake Anderson has his hands full at Southern Miss this season.
asserted
Anderson → have → Miss
The Golden Eagles put together a compelling 2025 season under Charles Huff, but they did it with his transfers from his previous stop, Marshall, and then Huff took a lot of his best charges with him to his next stop, Memphis, this summer.
asserted
Huff → put → stop
It’s one thing to need to restart a program from scratch, but to do it as the third head coach in as many years is something else entirely.
The results and numbers have been expectedly ugly in Hattiesburg.
Not only is Southern Miss 0-3 against FBS opponents (1-3 overall) this season, but they grade out as the 128th-best team in FBS according to SP+, and Jeff Sagarin has them 140th in Division I, behind several FCS schools.
uncertain
them → ’ → schools
It’s a long road ahead of Anderson and the Golden Eagles.
asserted
It → ’ → Anderson
Troy isn’t a world-beater by any stretch, but the Trojans at least had a foundation to build on from last season, Gerad Parker’s second in charge.
asserted
Trojans → have → charge
A key part of that foundation is struggling senior QB Goose Crowder.
asserted
part → struggle → foundation
This is a great chance for the Gardendale, Ala., native to turn his season around against a defense that ranks 132nd in SP+ this season.
asserted
that → turn → SP+
The Golden Eagles are actually OK against the pass, but they’re abysmal at stopping the run, allowing 5.8 yards per rush (129th in FBS).
asserted
they → ’re → FBS
That should open up time and space for Crowder to get in rhythm and hopefully recapture some of his late 2025 form.
asserted
Crowder → open → form
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With the defense struggling, the onus falls on the Southern Miss offense to provide some cover, but the Golden Eagles aren’t pulling it off.
asserted
Eagles → get → it
They rank 118th in points per game, 97th in yards per play, and are 108th in yards per rush.
Southern Mississippi’s best weapon is its passing game, but that plays right into the strength of Troy’s defense.
Weird stuff happens on Tuesday nights in college football, but this looks like a mismatch.
asserted
this → rank → mismatch
The Play: Troy -9.5 (-110, DraftKings)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry.
asserted
Leboff → trust → industry
He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
asserted
punters → use → sports
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